How Tom Brady's Retirement U-Turn Shook The Betting Markets

How Tom Brady's Retirement U-Turn Shook The Betting Markets

There was only one thing that shook up the NFL futures betting markets more than Tom Brady announced he was retiring, and that was when Brady himself tweeted that his retirement had lasted just 40 days and that he was coming back to spend one more season - at least that's what he said - with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Yes, Brady - also known as the G.O.A.T in the NFL - went to Old Trafford to watch Manchester United play soccer, and shortly after meeting a fellow G.O.A.T in Ronaldo (okay, fans of Messi may disagree), the greatest ever quarterback announced he was no longer retired!

Slightly off-topic, but the parallels between Brady and Ronaldo in their respective sports are quite striking. 

Both are supreme athletes who make looking after themselves their priority. Both men are in the latter years of their careers, but both look fit and able to go on for some time yet.

Quite simply, both are legendary elite athletes, and it’s quite telling that Brady seems to have sought Ronaldo’s opinion before announcing his decision to reverse his retirement.   

So, what has Brady come out of retirement done to the odds to win the 2023 Super Bowl? 

2023 Super Bowl Winner Betting Picks

In the latest Super Bowl winner betting odds, the Buccaneers are now 7.40 betting favourites with Sports Interaction. Before Brady announced his return, the 2002 and 2020 Super Bowl winners were a huge 28.00 to win their third title.

At the time Brady announced his return, those odds were immediately slashed to +800 second favourites, and now they have been further cut to 7.40 outright favourites.  

Latest 2022/23 Super Bowl Winner BettingSports Interaction
Tampa Bay7.40
Buffalo Bills7.50
LA Rams11.00
Kansas City Chiefs11.00
Green Bay Packers11.00
Denver Broncos14.00
San Francisco 49ers14.00
LA Chargers14.00
Cincinnati Bengals17.00
Cleveland Browns19.00
Dallas Cowboys20.00

These odds may slightly alter again over the coming days once the outcome of the NFL Draft is known. The NFL Draft for the 2022/23 season is taking place from April 28th to April 30th.

When Does the 2022/23 NFL Season Start? 

The new NFL season is still a few months off. The scheduled start isn’t until Thursday, September 8th, 2022, when defending Super Bowl champions, the Los Angeles Rams will host the NFL KickOff game. The Super Bowl is on Sunday, February 12th, 2023. 

NFL 2022/23 Season Key Dates

  • September 8th, 2022 - Start of regular NFL season 
  • January 8th, 2023 - End of regular NFL season
  • January 14th, 2023 - Start of NFL Playoffs
  • February 8th, 2023 - Super Bowl Final / End of Playoffs

Super Bowl LVII is to be played at the State Farm Stadium in Arizona, home of the Arizona Cardinals. Who incidentally are 31.00 to win the Super Bowl on home turf.

We have the best NFL betting sites page to help you learn more about GridIron ahead of the new season. Here you will learn more about the most popular NFL betting markets and the best places to place your wagers.

Who is the Favorite to win the MVP Award in 2022/23?

Elsewhere, and another market completely turned on its head by Brady’s U-turn is the NFL Most Valuable Player (MVP) in the regular season. 

Unlike in the Super Bowl market, where the Buccaneers still had a presence, the MVP market originally didn't cater to Brady’s inclusion. 

From nowhere, Brady is now the third favourite at 9.38 to win his third MVP award. Josh Allen of the Buffalo Bills is the 7.25 favourite, followed by Patrick Mahomes, who is 9.00. 

Tom Brady To win MVP Award
9.38
Sports Interaction

There isn’t much between the elite quarterbacks in general though. Aaron Rodgers isn’t far behind Brady at odds of 10.00, while Justin Herbert is 11.00.  

What about Conference Outright Markets?

The market that has seen the biggest shift in odds since Brady’s return is in the betting to win the NFC outright

Before Brady’s u-turn, Tampa Bay was fifth to win the NFC outright at odds of 16.00. Since Brady’s return, they’re now the 3.95 betting favourites

This is a huge shift in the betting, which has seen the Super Bowl defending champions ousted as betting favourites. The LA Rams are now 5.45-second-favourites to win the NFC Conference. 

One market the Bucs were favourites in without Brady, was in the betting to win the NFC South. They’re still the favourites, but the odds have shifted significantly. 

Without Brady, the Buccaneers were 2.45 to win the NFC South. With him? They are a measly 1.31

Tampa Bay To win NFC South
1.31
Sports Interaction

All these odds are from Sports Interaction. You can check out our Sports Interaction Review page for more details on this top Canadian Sportsbook.

The presence of the great man makes a huge difference to any betting market. Tom Brady is a legend of the sport, and he would strengthen any side. This is despite the fact Brady will be 45-years-old when the new season starts

It can’t be certain that Brady’s presence will win the Bucs another Super Bowl. But what is certain is that they have a far better chance of glory with him in the team than they do without him.