The Utah Mammoth visit the Bell Centre on Thursday, Nov. 5, with puck drop against the Montreal Canadiens scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Our Mammoth vs. Canadiens prediction backs Over 6.5 full-game goals.
Montreal enters after Tuesday’s 5–4 overtime loss to Winnipeg. The Canadiens have won four of their last five games, but their latest defeat exposed how quickly a comfortable lead can disappear.
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Our Mammoth vs. Canadiens Prediction
Over 6.5 total goals
We like the Over because Utah’s offence can do much of the heavy lifting, while Montreal’s recent home games have featured scoring at both ends. The Mammoth have generated 57 goals and 485 shots in 16 regular-season games, averaging 3.56 goals and 30.3 shots per game. Their power play has supplied 20 goals on 55 opportunities, a 36.4 per cent success rate.
Montreal has scored 16 goals and allowed 16 across its past four games at the Bell Centre. Expected starter Jakub Dobeš adds to the concern about keeping Utah quiet: he carries a 4.05 GAA and .853 save percentage.
Three of the past four regular-season meetings also exceeded 6.5 goals. Those games, played between November 2024 and November 2025, produced combined totals of seven, eight, eight, and five.
Still, Montreal has recently won lower-scoring games, including 2–0 at St. Louis and 2–1 at Winnipeg. The four-game home and head-to-head runs are short, and neither starting goalie is confirmed. Utah’s season-long scoring and power-play production are the stronger reasons to back seven combined goals, rather than expecting another Over simply because of the history.
Mammoth vs. Canadiens Game Odds
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Mammoth moneyline | -122 |
| Canadiens moneyline | +102 |
| Puck line | Mammoth -1.5 (+195), Canadiens +1.5 (-240) |
| Full-game total | Over 6.5 (-115), Under 6.5 (-105) |
Probable Starting Goaltenders
- Utah: Sebastian Cossa (4-1, 2.95 GAA, .875 SV%)
- Montreal: Jakub Dobeš (2–4, 4.05 GAA, .854 SV%)
Betting the Mammoth (10-6, 5-11 ATS, 9-7 o/u)
Utah’s penalty kill is the other side of its special-teams story. The Mammoth have allowed 15 goals in 50 shorthanded situations, leaving them with a 70 per cent success rate. Montreal’s power play has scored just six times in 46 opportunities, however, so Utah’s weakness does not automatically give the Canadiens a reliable source of offence.
Clayton Keller, Barrett Hayton, and Anders Lee form Utah’s projected first line, listed left wing–centre–right wing. The other tentative combinations are Lawson Crouse–Vincent Trocheck–Logan Cooley, Dylan Guenther–Nick Schmaltz–Jack McBain, and Liam O’Brien–Kevin Stenlund–Michael Carcone.
The projected first power-play unit brings together Mikhail Sergachev, Cooley, Keller, Guenther, and Schmaltz. That group spreads across three tentative even-strength lines, concentrating those offensive options when Utah gets the man advantage.
Sergachev–MacKenzie Weegar, Andrew Peeke–Nate Schmidt, and Dmitriy Simashev–Nick DeSimone are the projected defence pairs.
Maveric Lamoureux is out following surgery to repair a dislocated shoulder, with an expected absence of four to six months. John Marino is on injured reserve with an upper-body injury. Kailer Yamamoto remains day-to-day with an upper-body injury after missing Tuesday’s game.
Betting the Canadiens (9-6, 6-9 ATS, 10-5 o/u)
Protecting a lead is an immediate concern for Montreal. The Canadiens led Winnipeg 2–0 after the first period on Tuesday, but regulation ended 4–4 before the Jets won in overtime.
Jake Evans and Phillip Danault have stepped up at centre during Nick Suzuki’s absence. Chris Kreider’s praise of Evans was straightforward: “It’s like he always makes the right play.”
Owen Beck pointed to Evans and Danault as examples of how to balance defensive responsibility with attacking opportunities. “The way they play, the way they’re defensively responsible, they know when to jump up in the rush and look for opportunities,” Beck said.
Martin St-Louis also credited the older players with helping their younger teammates. “To me, the way those older guys are playing, they’re able to pull the youth a little bit with them,” he said. “They’re leading by example, for sure.” Carrying that decision-making through a full game would be a useful response to Tuesday’s finish.
Suzuki missed the Winnipeg game with an upper-body injury, and his return remains unconfirmed. Kirby Dach is day-to-day with illness after also missing Tuesday’s game. Both appear in Montreal’s tentative forward combinations, which are not confirmation that either will play.
The projected lines, listed left wing–centre–right wing, are Cole Caufield–Suzuki–Juraj Slafkovský; Josh Anderson–Alex Newhook–Kreider; Zachary Bolduc–Danault–Alexandre Texier; and Dach–Oliver Kapanen–Evans.
Noah Dobson–Lane Hutson, Kaiden Guhle–Alexandre Carrier, and Arber Xhekaj–Adam Engström are the projected defence pairs. Mike Matheson remains out with a lower-body injury; Montreal announced a two-week absence on Oct. 31.
Ivan Demidov and Samuel Montembeault are also out with lower-body injuries. Lucas Condotta and Bryce Pickford are out with undisclosed injuries.
Player Prop Trends
- Clayton Keller and Nick Schmaltz have both exceeded 2.5 shots on goal in four straight games. Keller is +130 to record three or more shots on goal; Schmaltz is +145 to reach that milestone.
- Mikhail Sergachev has recorded at least one point in eight straight games and is -150 to extend that streak.
- Josh Anderson has scored in back-to-back games and is +390 to light the lamp on Thursday night.
- Lane Hutson has recorded an assist in three straight games and six of his last 10. He’s -115 to get a helper.
