Toronto lost 128–109 at Denver on Wednesday, while Milwaukee fell 109–102 at Boston that same night. The Raptors visit the Bucks at Fiserv Forum on Friday, Nov. 6, with tip-off scheduled for 8 p.m. ET in NBA Cup Group Play, part of the NBA regular season. Our Raptors vs. Bucks predictions target Tyler Herro’s perimeter volume, Myles Turner’s passing shot-blocking production, and Jamal Shead’s ability to share the ball.
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Tyler Herro over 2.5 three-pointers made
The pick is Herro over 2.5 full-game made threes, built around sustained attempts rather than a broader points target. His latest five regular-season games, newest first, produced four, four, four, four and three makes on 10, 11, 11, six and six attempts, respectively. He reached the required three makes in each game, with double-digit attempts in the latest three providing repeated opportunities.
His eight-game 2026 regular-season total is 29 makes on 68 attempts. Herro is active and in Milwaukee’s projected, not confirmed, starting lineup. Cooler shooting is the strongest countercase: recent conversion does not remove shooting variance. The measured over asks for three makes, not another four-three performance.
Jamal Shead over 5.5 assists
The 24-year-old floor general has emerged as one of the NBA’s most efficient bench distributors, consistently creating high-percentage opportunities in limited floor time. Shead enters Friday’s clash riding an impressive five-game streak with at least six assists, delivering totals of seven, eight, six, six, and six helpers across his last five outings. Despite averaging only about 22 minutes per contest over that span, his per-minute playmaking numbers remain among the league’s elite. Head coach Darko Rajakovic trusts Shead to orchestrate the second unit entirely, allowing him to dominate ball possession whenever starter Immanuel Quickley takes a breather on the bench.
The matchup against Milwaukee provides an ideal scoring backdrop. The Bucks play at a rapid pace and continue to battle perimeter defensive lapses, regularly conceding open driving lanes and kick-out opportunities to opposing ball-handlers. Shead’s relentless downhill pressure and knack for locating open corner shooters and rolling big men in transition will produce ample assist chances for Toronto. With five straight games clearing this threshold, back Shead to record at least six assists once again on Friday.
Myles Turner over 1.5 blocks
The pick is Turner over 1.5 full-game blocks, supported by shot-blocking production across variable playing time. His latest five regular-season block totals, newest first, are two, five, two, two and four. His minutes ranged from 22 minutes, 29 seconds to 35 minutes, 40 seconds, and both of the two shortest outings produced two blocks.
His eight-game 2026 regular-season total is 22 blocks; the matchup forecast estimates 2.1. RJ Barrett attempted 10 shots in the paint against Denver, a concrete recent example of Toronto’s interior offence, not proof that Turner will receive the same contestable opportunities. Scottie Barnes remains questionable with a groin issue despite appearing in Toronto’s projected lineup, leaving its frontcourt mix unsettled without establishing an absence or replacement.
Fewer contestable attempts or reduced playing time are the material countercase. The recent results support a measured two-block target without requiring one of Turner’s larger totals.
Raptors vs. Bucks odds
| Raptors moneyline odds | -250 |
| Bucks moneyline odds | +205 |
| Spread odds | Raptors -6.5 (-115), Bucks +6.5 (-105) |
| Game total | Over 230.5 points (-107), Under 230.5 (-113) |
