RBC Canadian Open Picks, Predictions, and Betting Odds

Nick Taylor (left) shakes hands with Taylor Pendrith and Mackenzie Hughes at the end of their round during the second round of the RBC Canadian Open golf tournament

The PGA Tour heads north this week for one of the most anticipated stops of the season, and our Canadian Open picks break down the best betting opportunities at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open.

With many top players using this event as a final tune-up before the U.S. Open, the field features an intriguing mix of elite contenders, rising stars, and dangerous long shots. Tommy Fleetwood enters Toronto as the betting favourite thanks to his consistent form and strong course history, while players like Wyndham Clark and Aaron Rai offer excellent value deeper down the board.

From outright winners to the top Canadian hopefuls, we’re analyzing the latest odds, recent performances, and course-fit data to uncover the best bets for this week’s tournament.

Canadian Open picks

Wyndham Clark to win outright: +2000

Clark to win the RBC Canadian Open

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+2000

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The red-hot Clark is cruising into Toronto after finishing third at the Memorial Tournament and winning the Byron Nelson. He’s by far the hottest player in the field right now and is worth a shot at 20-1 odds to win in Canada outright.

Clark’s biggest strength continues to be his elite power game. He’s averaging roughly 309 yards off the tee this season while maintaining respectable driving accuracy numbers, making him one of the better total drivers in the field. He’s also averaging around 1.7 putts per hole this season, ranking him second on Tour.

Clark, the 2023 U.S. Open champion, finished T59 at the Canadian Open last season, but he turned in a much better T7 result in his only other appearance at the event in 2022.

Aaron Rai to win outright: +3300

Rai to win the RBC Canadian Open

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+3300

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There’s also value in backing the winner of the 2026 PGA Championship this week in Canada.

After taking a few weeks off after capturing his first major title of the season, Rai returned last week at the Memorial to turn in a very respectable T19 result.

Rai isn’t the longest hitter on the PGA Tour, but his incredible accuracy off the tee and with his irons make him a solid play this week at 33-1 odds. He ranks second in driving accuracy (69.92%) and 16th in Greens In Regulation (69.29%) on Tour this season.

Additionally, Rai has had success in his previous three starts up north, finishing T14 (2024), T3 (2023), and T13 (2022) at the Canadian Open.

Canadian Open betting favourite

Tommy Fleetwood enters this week’s RBC Canadian Open as the betting favourite, and it’s easy to see why. The Englishman has quietly been one of the most consistent players on the PGA Tour throughout the 2026 season, combining elite ball-striking with a remarkably steady all-around game. Fleetwood arrives in Toronto fresh off a T4 finish at the Memorial Tournament and a fifth-place showing at the Truist Championship, continuing a stretch of strong form against world-class fields.

What makes Fleetwood especially appealing at TPC Toronto is how well his skill set matches the course demands. Analysts have highlighted the importance of tee-to-green play, scrambling, and bogey avoidance this week — all areas where Fleetwood excels. He currently ranks among the PGA Tour leaders in bogey avoidance and adjusted scoring average while gaining strokes consistently across every major category.

Fleetwood also has an impressive history at the Canadian Open. He finished runner-up in 2023 after narrowly losing to Nick Taylor in a dramatic playoff and has consistently performed well in Canadian conditions. With Rory McIlroy absent from the field and several top stars resting ahead of the U.S. Open, Fleetwood enters the week as the most complete player in the tournament.

Fleetwood to win the RBC Canadian Open

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+1200

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Canadian open outright odds (top 15)

GolferWorld Golf RankingOutright Odds
Tommy Fleetwood7+1200
Matt Fitzpatrick4+1400
Sam Burns29+1400
Wyndham Clark37+2000
Collin Morikawa10+2200
Justin Rose6+2500
Kristoffer Reitan24+2500
Nicolai Hojgaard32+2800
Robert MacIntyre17+2800
Brooks Koepka109+3000
Aaron Rai13+3300
Alex Noren20+3300
Shane Lowry43+3300
Victor Hovland33+3300
Nick Taylor (Canada)62+3500
Odds courtesy of bet365.

Top Canadians in the field

Nick Taylor (+3500): Taylor, the 2023 RBC Canadian Open champion, has the shortest odds of any Canadian in the field this week. He’s missed the cut just once across 15 PGA Tour events this season but has just one top-10 result (T9 at the Cadillac Championship) in that span.

Mackenzie Hughes (+6000): Hughes will take some momentum into this event on home soil after finishing T10 at the Charles Schwab Challenge at the end of May. He had missed the cut in four of his previous seven events leading up to that, though.

Corey Conners (+6600): It’s been a stinker of a season for Conners up to this point, as the Ontario native has failed to crack a top 10 in an event. His best result over the last six events was a T30 at the Cadillac Championship.

Sudarshan Yellamaraju (+6600): After bursting onto the PGA Tour scene with four top-15 results in his first nine events of the season, Yellamaraju is finally falling back to reality with a pair of missed cuts in his last three events. He finished T40 at the Memorial Tournament last week.

Taylor Pendrith (+6600): Hailing from Richmond Hill, Ontario, this event in Caledon is nearly in his backyard. Pendrith has made five straight cuts but hasn’t finished better than T37 in that span.

Adam Hadwin (+20000): Hadwin is a long shot this week and for good reason: his best finish this season was a T26 at the Zurich Classic. He’s missed the cut in three of his six PGA Tour events this year.

Nick Taylor to finish in the top 10

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+375

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