Best NHL Player Props Today (4/29/26)

In this article, Canada Sports Betting’s Nick Martin breaks down the two best NHL player prop bets that provide value at online sportsbooks today (4/29/26).

Tuesday’s card went 1-for-2, as while our selection on Matt Boldy came through in highly convincing fashion, Kasperi Kapanen had a quiet performance in the Edmonton Oilers‘ 4-1 victory. Our record on the season drops to +8.54 units across 189 selections, good for a +4.5% ROI.

Wednesday’s guide includes a bet on Pavel Dorofeyev to build on his strong performance in Game 4, and a long-shot Conn Smythe bet coming in at +5000.

Pavel Dorofeyev Over 3.5 Shots on Goal: +175

Head coach John Tortorella elevated Pavel Dorofeyev to the top line alongside Jack Eichel and Ivan Barbashev in Game 4, and the move paid immediate dividends as Dorofeyev broke the ice just 1:12 into the game. Dorofeyev finished with four shots on goal from a total of seven attempts.

It seems likely that Wednesday’s matchup will offer a strong game script to ride with this prop. The Golden Knights have outplayed the Mammoth fairly comfortably at even strength, especially with their top lines on the ice, but have failed to create any separation on the scoreboard, as Karel Vejmelka has outplayed Carter Hart somewhat significantly.

Eichel and Barbashev have both been fantastic in the series and should be capable of helping the team’s most lethal shooter get some good looks in Wednesday’s matchup. And while we have not seen it as much as expected, Dorofeyev’s shot from the right circle is the preferred look for the Knights’ strong top power-play unit.

There does seem to be value in taking a safer approach in laying -150 to back Dorofeyev recording three shots, but at +175 there looks, to be value in backing Dorofeyev to record at least four shots for a second consecutive game.

Jesper Wallstedt to Win Conn Smythe: +5000 (Play to +4500)

Minnesota Wild captain Marcus Foligno stated prior to Game 2 that the Dallas Stars “can’t hang with us five-on-five,” and the statement has been proven true to some extent, as the Wild have outscored the Stars 11-3 at five-on-five in the series.

However, a huge part of the Wild’s success at even strength has been the exceptional play of Wallstedt in goal, as he leads all goaltenders with a .974 save percentage at five-on-five in the series. Wallstedt also holds a +3.4 GSAx rating in the series.

The Wild are now down to +1200 to win the Stanley Cup, which seems fair. While Kirill Kaprizov and Matt Boldy would be top candidates to win the Conn Smythe if the Wild were to win it all, Wallstedt seems more likely to be the MVP if they pull it off.

Scoring typically tends to drop in the latter stages of each round, and it seems reasonable to believe Game 6 will be a tight-checking, hard-fought affair in which Wallstedt finishes with another strong stat line. Colorado will likely outplay the Wild somewhat comfortably, and Minnesota will likely be reliant on Wallstedt to steal some games next series in order to find success.

If the Cup Final were to be versus Carolina, which seems possible, we love the chances that Wallstedt faces a lot of medium-quality shots and is viewed as a key reason for the team’s success.

So, while a price of +1200 for the Wild to win the Cup seems fair, +5000 for Wallstedt to be named Conn Smythe winner looks to be worth a stab given his play thus far and the process Minnesota will likely need to follow to shock the Avalanche next round.

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