Best NHL Player Props Today (4/28/26)

In this article, Canada Sports Betting’s Nick Martin breaks down the two best NHL player prop bets that provide value at online sportsbooks today (4/28/26).

Monday’s pair of unique angles proved to be a massive disappointment, and in losing both bets, our record on the season drops to +8.59 units across 187 selections, good for a +4.6% ROI. We will look to get right with a pair of picks targeting two of the NHL’s best goal scorers Tuesday.

Matt Boldy Over 3.5 Shots on Goal: -105 (Play to -115)

Boldy had a fantastic performance in Game 4, and was surely a popular to pick to be the overtime goal scorer after a dominant performance through regulation.

Kirill Kaprizov has recorded one more point in the series, but it’s been Boldy that has looked to be more consistently threatening, though that may be partially due to the fact that the Dallas Stars are more consistently trying to deploy their top units versus Kaprizov’s line.

It’s not common to see shot props set at 3.5 anymore, especially paying out at lower than even money. But in the instance of Boldy you could argue his volume in this series suggests he should still be an even greater favourite to record four shots, as he’s averaged 10 attempts per game and recorded 21 shots on goal in the series.

The Stars have carried much of the play in the series and, without some incredible play from Jesper Wallstedt, the Wild could easily have lost all three games that followed Minnesota’s dominant win in Game 1.

Minnesota was able to generate far more chances in Game 3 following the injury to Nils Lundqvist, though. That was certainly in part due to the fact that the defensive core had to hang in with just five bodies, but Lundqvist had provided a lot of value in the series playing on an excellent pairing alongside Thomas Harley, and the Stars do not have a comparable replacement.

Boldy recorded 13 shots in the first two games on the road in this series, which could be in part due to the matchups Dallas looked to employ versus Kaprizov’s line while sporting the luxury of last change.

I don’t imagine that it would be hard to sell this pick to anyone who’s watched this series wire-to-wire, and Boldy’s volume of attempts suggests his lofty shot volume thus far is sustainable. At -105, there looks to be value in backing Boldy to record at least four shots on goal in Game 5, something he has done in each of the first four matchups of the series.

Kasperi Kapanen Over 1.5 Shots on Goal: -120 (Play to -130)

In a series where I thought the Oilers would fare extremely well, they have authored a massively disappointing performance and can’t feel too hard done by to return home facing a do-or-die Game 5.

Connor McDavid, Evan Bouchard, Zach Hyman, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins and, to a lesser extent, Leon Draisaitl have all had worse-than-expected impacts in the series, after all being quite excellent during the Edmonton Oilers’ back-to-back trips to the Stanley Cup Final. Whether it be due to injuries or not, the majority of the Oilers’ stars have not been overly strong versus a Ducks side that was, by the majority of meaningful indicators, the worst defensive team to make the postseason.

The Ducks have still allowed 30.07 shots against per 60, despite a number of the Oilers’ top players not quite looking right.

Vasily Podkolzin and Kasperi Kapanen are arguably the only two Oilers forwards who have truly outperformed expectations and offered consistent play in this series. Edmonton’s second line of Kapanen, Draisaitl, and Podkolzin has without question been the team’s best line in the series, and it actually has appeared that has more to do with the play of Kapanen and Podkolzin than Draisaitl.

The Podkolzin-Draisaitl-Kapanen trio holds a 67.6% expected goal share and has outscored the Ducks 5-0 in the series. They have generated 72.67 shot attempts per game, and many of those have come from Kapanen, who has recorded 13 shots from 17 attempts in the series.

Head coach Kris Knoblauch should be eager to heavily deploy what has by a wide margin been the team’s most consistent line in the series in a do-or-die matchup on home ice Tuesday, and a price of -120 for Kapanen to record two shots looks quite appealing given his play thus far in the series.

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