Toronto hosts Memphis at Scotiabank Arena on Monday, Nov. 9, with tip-off scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET in this NBA regular-season matchup. Our Grizzlies vs. Raptors predictions target Cameron Boozer’s rebounding and the assist unders for RJ Barrett and Ty Jerome.
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- Cameron Boozer Over 8.5 Rebounds
- RJ Barrett Under 4.5 Assists
- Ty Jerome Under 5.5 Assists
Cameron Boozer over 8.5 rebounds
We’re backing Boozer over 8.5 full-game rebounds. His work on the boards has held up even when his shot hasn’t: against Oklahoma City, he collected 12 rebounds in 31 minutes and 15 seconds despite scoring eight points on 2-for-14 shooting.
His latest five rebound totals, newest first, are 12, six, nine, nine and 12, with four finishes above this line. Across nine regular-season games, Boozer has 90 rebounds in 289 minutes, averaging 10 boards per game.
Isaiah Stewart is out, and coach Tuomas Iisalo has described Boozer playing extensively at centre without him. Iisalo also stressed that Boozer’s inside or outside deployment depends on the matchup. That adds role context, not a promise of extra minutes; Boozer is projected to start, with Memphis’s lineup unconfirmed.
Indiana supplies the clearest warning. Boozer managed six rebounds despite playing 33 minutes and 10 seconds, so substantial court time alone won’t cash this over. The forecast also sits only narrowly above the line. Still, his repeated nine-plus-rebound performances give us enough reason to back the over without needing a scoring bounce-back.
RJ Barrett under 4.5 assists
Barrett can carry a substantial offensive workload and still finish below five assists. We’re taking under 4.5 full-game assists, with his Milwaukee performance offering a useful example: four assists alongside 27 points, 21 field-goal attempts and 36 minutes and 50 seconds on the floor.
His latest five assist totals, newest first, are four, three, three, five and five. Three stayed below this line. Barrett has 35 assists across nine regular-season games.
Toronto’s uncertain personnel situation is the main concern. Scottie Barnes is questionable with a groin injury, and Immanuel Quickley is questionable with a hamstring injury. Both were limited at Sunday’s practice. If either misses Monday’s game, Barrett could take on more scoring responsibility.
Both missed the Milwaukee game, which gives that four-assist finish added relevance without removing the risk. The two recent five-assist outings also show how little room this under has. Barrett is available and projected to start, but Toronto’s lineup is projected but unconfirmed. We still favour the under, with modest confidence rather than an assumption that either teammate returns.
Ty Jerome under 5.5 assists
The third play is Jerome under 5.5 full-game assists. His scoring involvement doesn’t have to translate into six assists: he scored 40 points against New Orleans while recording five assists in 36 minutes and 34 seconds.
Jerome’s latest three box scores show five, three and five assists, newest first. Across eight regular-season games, he has 42 assists, averaging 5.25. Our matchup forecast estimates 5.07 against Toronto. Both figures sit below the line and fit the recent results. He is available and included in Memphis’s projected, unconfirmed starting five.
There isn’t much breathing room at this price. Two of those latest three totals finished at exactly five, and earlier performances included eight assists against Utah and seven against Sacramento. Better teammate finishing could push him past the threshold again. That passing upside keeps this a measured under, but the recent distribution totals and below-line forecast still persuade us to take it.
Grizzlies vs. Raptors Game odds
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Grizzlies moneyline odds | +127 |
| Raptors moneyline odds | -152 |
| Spread odds | Grizzlies +3.5 (-117), Raptors -3.5 (-103) |
| Game total | Over 228.5 (-110), Under 228.5 (-110) |
