Premier League Odds: Manchester City vs. Newcastle Best Bet

Newcastle host Manchester City this weekend in a Premier League clash that pits one of the division’s most dangerous counterattacking sides against its most relentless possession machine.

St James’ Park should be electric, with Newcastle desperate for a statement result to steady their top-four ambitions while City look to keep pace in the title race. Eddie Howe’s men will lean on intensity, direct transitions and the crowd’s energy to unsettle the champions, but Pep Guardiola’s side arrive with the quality and depth to dominate the ball and punish any defensive lapses.

With both teams boasting match-winners all over the pitch, this matchup sets up as one of the most intriguing soccer matches of the round for neutral fans and bettors alike.

Manchester City vs. Newcastle best bet

• Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City beat Newcastle in both legs of the EFL Cup semi-final only weeks ago, recording an aggregate score of 5-1.
• Recent head-to-head history, including those EFL Cup victories, is on Man City’s side. They’ve won seven of the 10 most recent meetings against Newcastle. 
• Regarding the ‘Under 4 Man City Goals’ selection, City has only scored four or more goals in one of the ten most recent meetings against Newcastle, indicating that the Under 4 Manchester City goals might be a shrewd way to back the hosts instead of taking their short 1×2 market price.
• City have won 10 of 13 Premier League games at home this campaign. They’ve lost just once in front of home support all season, returning the joint-most points at home, alongside Arsenal (32).
• This week’s scheduling has handed City an advantage in the upcoming match. Newcastle’s UEFA Champions League match in Azerbaijan on Wednesday presents a roughly 11-hour round trip, alongside an intense 90 minutes in between versus Qarabag. City have the whole week to rest and prepare a gameplan to take on Newcastle.

Manchester City vs. Newcastle match context

• Manchester City are second in the table, trailing Arsenal and holding a three-point lead over third-placed Aston Villa. They recently secured a 2-0 FA Cup win at home against Salford City and triumphed 3-0 against Fulham in their most recent league match at the Etihad Stadium.
• Newcastle also emerged victorious in the FA Cup last weekend, defeating Aston Villa 3-1 away, as they aim to qualify for European competitions next season. However, the visitors are currently 10th in the standings with only 36 points and have won just one of their last five league games, a 2-1 away victory against Tottenham.
• Oddsmakers consider the hosts strong favourites, with the latest odds giving Manchester City just under a 50% chance of winning the match by at least a two-goal margin.

Manchester City vs. Newcastle odds analysis

• Manchester City vs Newcastle odds have the champions as clear favourites. Manchester City’s 1×2 price implies a 70% chance of a home win, while Newcastle United are priced at just 16%. This upcoming fixture comes after Newcastle travels to Azerbaijan for a UEFA Champions League fixture on Wednesday evening, an 11-hour round-trip. Not only that, but City are unbeaten in their last 21 home games against Newcastle.
• The Asian handicap line is set at Manchester City -1.25. A two-goal or greater margin of victory for City returns full profit, while a one-goal margin win results in a half-loss. A draw, away win, or a defeat by one goal will reward those opting for the Newcastle +1.25 Asian handicap.
• The Asian goal line is set at over/under 3.25 goals. Over 3.25 requires four or more goals for a full payout, while exactly three goals ensures the over 3.25-goal selection loses half of all stakes. Under 3.25 backers are paid in full if the game produces two goals or fewer.
• Erling Haaland is the only player to be priced at odds-on (-225) in the anytime goalscorer market for the upcoming game. Omar Marmoush closely follows Haaland, with the Egyptian scoring five goals in his last two home games against Newcastle United. He scored a hat-trick in this fixture last season.