Today’s UEFA Champions League clash between Liverpool and PSV Eindhoven at Anfield features two teams seeking crucial group stage points. Liverpool, eager to bounce back from recent struggles, will rely on their home support and talented squad to regain momentum. PSV, known for their disciplined and energetic style, pose a real threat with their attacking prowess. Expect a fast-paced, tactical soccer match as both sides fight for supremacy and advancement in Europe’s elite competition.
Our best bet for Liverpool vs. PSV is Liverpool to win and both teams to score.
Liverpool vs. PSV best bet
Liverpool to win & both teams to score
Pressure continues to grow on Arne Slot as Liverpool’s slump continues. Winning this game will alleviate some of the pressure on the Anfield boss, and they have the personnel to do just that. However, the defensive issues remain, so we are backing a home win with both teams scoring in our Liverpool vs PSV predictions.
Despite enduring a difficult start to the season, Liverpool remains a force on home turf, winning seven of its 10 competitive games at Anfield. The Reds beat Real Madrid on matchday four of the Champions League, and should have scored a few more, but for the heroics of Thibaut Courtois.
However, Nottingham Forest were able to take advantage of Liverpool’s weaknesses at the weekend. Sean Dyche’s side had just 25% possession, but managed to score three goals. PSV can go direct and exploit the Reds’ defensive frailty here.
PSV has found the net in all four of its Champions League matches so far. The team’s matches have averaged 4.0 goals per game, well above the competition average of 3.42. The Liverpool clash looks set to be another goal-friendly affair.
Peter Bosz’s side is a big underdog in this game, but backing the visitors to score gives a more appealing price for a Liverpool win. PSV has scored in 16 of its 17 competitive matches this season, averaging 2.94 goals per game.
There is no room for Liverpool complacency as the calls to sack Slot get louder. Expect the Reds to bounce back after the woeful showing against Forest, but a clean sheet appears unlikely.
Liverpool vs. PSV match context
After two 3-0 defeats in the Premier League against Manchester City and Nottingham Forest, Liverpool is seeking redemption in the Champions League against PSV.
The Reds are virtually out of the title race in England, but have a strong chance of qualifying for the Round of 16 without needing to go through the playoffs.
With nine points, Liverpool is eighth in the standings, having already beaten both Madrid teams at home this year.
18th-placed PSV has five points, but it has bounced back well after an initial home defeat to Union SG. Peter Bosz’s team is unbeaten in 11 games and leads the Eredivisie by six points over Feyenoord.
In the 2024/25 season, PSV defeated Liverpool 3-2 in the final game of the league phase when the Premier League outfit was already among the top eight. According to bookmakers, the match is expected to be one-sided in favour of the hosts. Indeed, the latest Liverpool vs PSV odds give Arne Slot’s side about a 77% chance of winning the game.
Liverpool vs. PSV odds analysis
The Liverpool vs PSV odds heavily favour the home Premier League team. Liverpool’s win price on the 1×2 market implies a 76.9% probability of a home win. The Reds commanding favourite status on matchday five, despite poor form, can be attributed to the disparity in quality between the two teams. The gap in quality, plus home advantage, means Liverpool receives a -1.5 Asian handicap by the bookmakers.
Liverpool requires a two-goal margin victory to cover the Asian handicap line. If the Reds can only muster a one-goal margin win, then the PSV +1.5 Asian handicap will be successful.
Anfield is a tough venue for visiting teams. Liverpool has won each of their last 13 UEFA Champions League home fixtures in the group stage/league phase. Wednesday’s hosts have only lost once in their previous 25 matches at this stage of the competition.
The Asian goal line in the Liverpool vs PSV odds stands at over/under 3.5 goals. The 16 goals in four PSV games, coupled with Liverpool’s attacking power, should mean we see goals in abundance. When you also account for Liverpool’s lack of defensive solidity, losing the last two Premier League games 3-0, it could be a recipe for goals.
Each of Alexander Isak, Mohamed Salah, and Hugo Ekitike has been priced at odds on to score at any time in the game. Considering the latter started as a substitute at the weekend, Ekitike will likely assume the centre forward position from the start.