UEFA Champions League soccer heats up on Wednesday, with Monaco taking on Tottenham in group stage action.
Canada Sports Betting’s top prediction for Monaco vs. Tottenham is for both teams to score & over 2.5 goals (bet365).
Monaco vs. Tottenham predictions
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
The goal numbers have been increasing in the Champions League. There was an average of 3.26 per game in the league phase last season, 0.18 more than the group stage of the previous campaign. Heading into matchday three, the current league phase has seen an average of 3.58 goals per game. We are hoping the goals continue to fly in as we back Both Teams To Score and Over 2.5 Goals as part of our Monaco vs Tottenham predictions.
Monaco fought back from 2-0 to earn a draw with Manchester City in its last Champions League outing. Les Monégasques created several chances after the break against a team that looked imperious at times. They certainly have the firepower to hurt Tottenham here, having created three big chances against Pep Guardiola’s team.
There were plenty of goals in Monaco’s other league phase game against Club Brugge. The Belgian side ran out 4-1 victors, having a whopping 26 attempts. The French team also had plenty of chances.
Sébastien Pocognoli has since taken charge at Monaco. His first game in charge against Angers finished 1-1, but with a total xG (expected goals) of 3.65 in the match, there should have been more goals.
Tottenham drew 2-2 with Bodo/Glimt in its last Champions League game. Thomas Frank’s side was on the back foot for much of that game. However, they did manage to pose a threat on the counter and were credited with creating three big chances.
Our selection also won in Tottenham’s home defeat against Aston Villa at the weekend. Spurs looked solid in Frank’s first few games in charge, but with the team’s only clean sheet in six coming against Doncaster, it’s time to back goals in Tottenham matches.
Monaco vs. Tottenham match preview
Both clubs are transforming, with Monaco beginning a new chapter under Sébastien Pocognoli. The 38-year-old Belgian manager, fresh from a successful stint with Union Saint-Gilloise, has debuted with a 1-1 draw at Angers.
His bold, high-pressure style has injected optimism into the Monegasques, who have drawn their last three games and are only seventh in Ligue 1.
Tottenham continues to find its identity under Thomas Frank, and although Spurs look more defensively solid than last season, they’ve won just two of the past six games.
Monaco fans may take heart from their impressive draw against Manchester City, yet Tottenham’s European track record is strong. The visitors are unbeaten in the last four games played away or at a neutral ground.
The Monaco vs Tottenham odds place the Lilywhites as slight favorites at +130, hinting at a 43.5% likelihood of victory.
Monaco has yet to keep a clean sheet this season, and Tottenham could have the edge. But history warns against underestimating the Ligue 1 outfit’s resilience on home soil.
Monaco vs. Tottenham odds discussion
The Monaco vs Tottenham odds have witnessed the market favor the Premier League outfit as kick-off approaches. Tottenham’s win price on the 1×2 market of +130 indicates that the hosts might struggle on matchday three. The current Spurs odds imply a 43.5% likelihood of victory in the South of France.
Monaco came from behind twice against Manchester City (2-2) on matchday two. That was the first time the club had come from behind in the game twice before drawing since the year 2000, against Rangers (2-2). The matchday two performance should provide the new manager, Sébastien Pocognoli, formerly at Royal Union SG, with the belief that his side can unsettle Premier League opposition.
The bookmakers have handed both teams a 0.25 handicap line. In this scenario, a draw will return half profits to pro-Monaco bettors, whilst those siding with Spurs receive half stakes returned.
Interestingly, our internal data projection model, BETSiE, forecasts this to be a tight game: 1.53xG vs 1.69xG. Only one other game on matchday three, Kairat vs Paphos, has a smaller projected goal difference between the two teams.
The Asian goal line is set at over/under 3.0. On this goal line, three goals will return all stakes to both ‘unders’ and ‘overs’ bettors. BETSiE’s match goal output of 3.22xG suggests a 52.8% chance that this fixture will venture over the 3.0 goal line.