UFC 300 Betting Results: Favorites Go 10-3 in Historic Event

UFC 300 Betting Results: Favorites Go 10-3 in Historic MMA Event

UFC 300 unfolded on Saturday, April 13th at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. CanadaSportsBetting has all the UFC 300 betting results and trends. The main event featured UFC Light Heavyweight Champion Alex “Poatan” Pereira, who secured a first-round knockout victory over former champion Jamahal Hill as a -130 betting favorite, confirming his status as one of the best and most decorated combat sports athletes in the modern era.

In the co-main event, UFC Women’s Strawweight Champion Zhang Weili emerged victorious against fellow Chinese contender Yan Xiaonan. Weili, a significant -455 favorite, won by decision after five rounds in a bout that was both highly competitive and controversial.

The highlight of the evening was the “BMF” title fight, marking one of the most memorable moments in recent UFC history. Former UFC Lightweight Champion Justin Gaethje faced former UFC Featherweight Champion Max Holloway. Holloway delivered an unforgettable knockout near the end of the fifth round, overcoming his +160 underdog odds to claim his first UFC “BMF” title.

For comprehensive analysis of UFC betting trends and outcomes from UFC 300, and to explore top UFC betting apps available in Canada for the upcoming UFC 301, continue reading below.

At UFC 300, the betting favorite prevailed in 10 of the 13 bouts, with UFC middleweight Bo Nickal coming through as a historic -1430 favorite in the opening fight of the main card. The ‘Over’ proved to be the most profitable betting prop of the evening, with eight fights going ‘Over’ the betting total. A $100 bettor who backed the ‘Over’ in each fight at UFC 300 earned a profit of +$315.

UFC 300RecordProfit (Units)
Fight Goes Distance: Yes5-8-1.09u
Fight Goes Distance: No8-5-1.02u
Coin Flip Favourite3-2+0.22u
Coin Flip Dog2-3-0.3u

The ‘Fight Goes Distance’ prop remains the most lucrative bet in combat sports in 2024, with 52.5% (84 of 160) of UFC fights this year going the distance. A bettor wagering $100 on this prop for every UFC fight in 2024 would have earned a profit of $2,431 to date.

For more detailed information on the most profitable UFC betting trends in 2024, refer to the table below.

UFC – Since 2024RecordProfit (Units)
Fight Goes Distance: Yes84-76+24.31u
Fight Goes Distance: No76-84-30.75u
Coin Flip Favorite28-21+0.78u
Coin Flip Dog21-28-0.87u

The ‘Over’ has cashed in 62.5% of UFC matches in 2024, with 100 out of 160 fights surpassing the betting total. Be sure to scroll down for a a comprehensive analysis of all betting results and UFC betting trends from UFC 300.

Alex Pereira (c) def. Jamahal Hill

ResultMethod PropTotal RoundsDistance Prop
Pereira (-130) via
Round 1 KO (punches)
Inside the Distance (+105)Under 2.5 Rounds (-155)Fight Goes Distance: No (-400)

Alex Pereira secured a first-round knockout victory over Jamahal Hill at UFC 300 on Saturday, cashing in at odds of +105 to win ‘Inside the Distance.’ Pereira has now won five of his eight UFC bouts via stoppage. A bettor who wagered $100 on Pereira to win ‘Inside the Distance’ in each of his UFC fights would have earned a total profit of +$403.

Zhang Weili (c) def. Yan Xiaonan

ResultMethod PropTotal RoundsDistance Prop
Weili (-455)
via Decision (unanimous)
(49–45, 49–45, 49–45)
by Decision +205Over 3.5 Rounds (-121)Fight Goes Distance: Yes (+175)

Zhang Weili emerged victorious over Yan Xiaonan by decision at UFC 300, cashing at odds of +205 to win on the score cards. With this win, Weili’s UFC record improves to 9-2, with four of her last seven UFC wins coming by way of decision. Notably, a bettor who has placed a $100 wager on Weili to win by decision in each of her last nine fights, dating back to 2019, would have earned a profit of $535 in that stretch.

Max Holloway def. Justin Gaethje (c)

ResultMethod PropTotal RoundsDistance Prop
Holloway (+160)
via Round 5 KO (punch)
Inside the Distance (+550)Over 4.5 Rounds (-110)Fight Goes Distance (+108)

Max Holloway etched his name into the book of MMA history on Saturday at UFC 300, with one of the most epic combat sports knock outs of all time. Holloway cashed as a +160 betting underdog in what was seemingly an easy 4-1 decision victory over former UFC lightweight champion Justin Gaethje. However, just seconds before the fight ended, Holloway challenged Gaethje to a stand-up exchange in the center of the octagon, which led to one of the most devastating finishes in all of UFC history.

With his victory, Max Holloway improves to 22-7 in his UFC career, achieving his first consecutive stoppage wins since defeating Brian Ortega at UFC 231 in Toronto in 2018. Despite Holloway cashing on the ‘Inside the Distance’ prop, the ‘Over’ also paid off for bettors at odds of -110. Bettors who wagered on the ‘Over’ in Holloway’s last ten UFC fights have seen a record of 9-1, yielding a profit of +5.07 units during this period.

Arman Tsarukyan def. Charles Oliveira

ResultMethod PropTotal RoundsDistance Prop
Tsarukyan (-195)
via Decision (split)
(28–29, 29–28, 29–28)
by Decision (+420)Over 1.5 Rounds (-125)Fight Goes Distance (+240)

Arman Tsarukyan defeated former UFC lightweight champion Charles Oliveira at UFC 300 by way of decision, cashing as the -195 favorite. With the win, Tsarukyan improves to 9-2 in the UFC, winning 8 of his last 9 fights overall.

Bo Nickal def. Cody Brundage

ResultMethod PropTotal RoundsDistance Prop
Nickal (-1430)
via Round 2 Submission
(rear-naked choke)
Inside the Distance (-900)Over 1.5 Rounds (+225)Fight Goes Distance: No (-1200)

Bo Nickal justified his status as a historic -1430 betting favorite at UFC 300 by securing a second-round submission victory over Cody Brundage. Perhaps unexpectedly, the ‘Over’ also cashed at what was an inflated price of +225, even with 52% of fights in this division going ‘Over’ the betting total since the beginning of 2021.

Nickal’s victory underscores a prevailing trend in the UFC middleweight division where the betting favorite has largely dominated. Since the start of 2023, the betting favorite in this division has won at a near 70% rate (51-22-1). A bettor wagering $100 on the favorite in each fight over this period would have earned a total of $305, averaging a net profit of $4 per fight, win or lose.

This pattern has become even more pronounced since the beginning of 2024, with the UFC middleweight favorite winning 16 of 21 bouts. Bettors backing the favorite with $100 in each of these fights have realized a profit of $320.

For a detailed review of UFC 300 prelim betting results, scroll down.

UFC 300 Prelim Results

Jiří Procházka (+110) def. Aleksandar Rakić via Round 2 TKO (punches)
Aljamain Sterling (-170) def. Calvin Kattar via Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27)
Kayla Harrison (-430) def. Holly Holm via Round 2 Submission (rear-naked choke)
Diego Lopes (-135) def. Sodiq Yusuff via Round 1 TKO (punches)
Renato Moicano (+225) def. Jalin Turner via Round 2 TKO (punches)
Jéssica Andrade (-140) def. Marina Rodriguez via Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28)
Bobby Green (-180) def. Jim Miller Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–25, 29–26)
Deiveson Figueiredo (-335) def. Cody Garbrandt via Round 2 Submission (rear-naked choke)

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