UFC 300 Betting Trends | Does Main Event Go The Distance?

UFC 300 Betting Trends

UFC 300 Betting Trends: UFC 300 is set to be a landmark event on April 13 at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, featuring a lineup of top-tier fighters and a variety of betting opportunities. This event includes significant UFC title fights such as the UFC light heavyweight championship between Alex Pereira and Jamahal Hill, and the UFC women’s strawweight championship between Weili Zhang and Xiaonan Yan. Other notable matchups include Max Holloway vs. Justin Gaethje for the BMF title, and a range of compelling fights like former UFC lightweight champion Charles Oliveira vs. Arman Tsarukyan and the UFC debut of former U.S. Olympian Kayla Harrison, as she takes on formed UFC women’s bantamweight champion, Holly Holm.

Each fight offers unique odds and betting insights, catering to UFC betting trends and providing plenty of analysis for UFC 300 betting trends. These insights into the top UFC odds and predictions are essential for those looking to place informed bets at best UFC betting sites in Canada like Sports Interaction, Bet99 and Bet365 which offer significant sign-up bonuses and betting incentives.

As sports bettors, we often rely on “situational handicapping”—things like home/road splits and trends for against the spread (ATS) and money line (ML) outcomes. What some MMA bettors might not realize is that even though MMA is an individual sport, tracking trends and situational records is just as useful for predicting outcomes in fights as it is in team sports. Every UFC division has certain patterns that can be identified. While some of these patterns are easier to explain than others, they are all incredibly useful for those looking to bet on UFC fights, especially when the number of events is as high as it’s been recently.

By 2023, after witnessing twelve UFC events so far this year, we’ve seen a real mix of results—some events follow the expected patterns, while others are dominated by underdogs. Let’s explore some of the most profitable betting trends we’ve seen in 2023 so far.

UFC – Since 2024RecordProfit (Units)
Fight Goes Distance: Yes53-44+12.7u
Fight Goes Distance: No44-53-25.2u
Coin Flip Favorite14-14-3.1u
Coin Flip Dog14-14+4.1u

The main event of UFC 300 sees UFC light heavyweight champion Alex Pereira take on former champion Jamahal Hill in what should be a highly competitive contest. The most profitable betting trend in the UFC’s light heavyweight division as of late has been the “Fight Goes The Distance” prop, which has cashed at a 47.6% rate since the start of 2023, with 20 of 42 fights at 205 pounds going the distance. A $100 bettor who has backed the “Fight Goes The Distance” prop in every UFC light heavyweight bout since the start of last year has earned a total of +$2294, a net profit of +$55 per fight, win or lose.

There has been just eight UFC light heavyweight bouts in 2024, with exactly half of those bouts going the distance, making this betting trend even more enticing as we get closer to the headline fight for the biggest pay-per-view in UFC history.

Fight Goes Distance


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Dating back to 2020, both Alex Pereira and Jamahal Smith have combined for two decision wins in their last eight fights respectively, with just four of those combined 16 fights going the distance. Currently, the ‘Fight Goes the Distance’ prop in the UFC 300 main event returns +325 on the yes, with odds of -500 on the no.

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