The 2023 Women’s World Cup is under way! Hosted in Australia and New Zealand, the tournament features 32 of the best footballing nations in the world seeking glory. For every match day, Canada Sports Betting will break down the matches ahead, providing the key odds and story lines you need to make a play, courtesy of our friends at bet365.
Due to the unique schedule of the tournament, we’ll be looking one day forward at a time. Today we’ll be covering July 23rd‘s fixtures. Three more top ten sides enter the fray on the fourth match day of the FIFA Women’s World Cup. France (FIFA World ranking 5), Sweden (3), and the Netherlands (9) are all involved..
6:00 a.m. Headliner: France vs Jamaica
|France Win In Full Time||-2500|
|Jamaica Win in Full Time||+4000|
|Draw After Full Time||+1200|
|Over/Under||2.5 goals (over -450, under +320)|
|Time/Date||Sunday, July 23, 6:00 a.m. ET|
Stream: TSN GO App
France are heavy favourites heading into their Group F clash against Jamaica at the Sydney Football Stadium in Australia. Les Bleues have won their last three tournament openers – defeating South Korea, England, and Nigeria – while the Reggae Girlz scored just one goal in their three matches at the 2019 edition. France head into the competition with a single loss in their last eight matches, while Jamaica have lost all but three of their last eight.
With France expected to dominate, a Half Time/Full Time of France – France at -400 could be worth the risk, but big sides have struggled to make their quality count thus far in Australia and New Zealand. Only Japan’s win over Zambia came in at more than three goals – and even they had to wait until deep in the first half to take the lead.
Based on that, France’s Team Total Goals Under 3.5 at +110 is interesting – Under 2.5 at +275 might be a bridge too far.
French forwards Kadidiatou Diani (First +240, Last +240, Anytime -300) and Eugénie Le Sommer (+275, +275, -250) have the shortest odds in the goal scorer department – Diani has a Bet Boost to Score from Outside the Box at +600. While for Jamaica Manchester City’s Khadija Shaw is most likely (+500 Anytime) – an opener from Shaw would be quite the shock and pay out at +2200.
Le Sommer took just nine minutes to open the scoring versus South Korea in 2019, so her First goal scorer at +275 has some historical value. Wendie Renard scored twice in that match: a Multi Scorer on the French captain of +600 for 2 or More would pay out handsomely if she repeats that feat.
1:00 a.m. Match: Sweden vs South Africa
|Sweden Win In Full Time||-1600|
|South Africa Win in Full Time||+2800|
|Draw After Full Time||+900|
|Over/Under||2.5 goals (over -225, under +170)|
|Time/Date||Sunday, July 23, 1:00 a.m. ET|
Stream: TSN GO App
Group G’s opener in Wellington, New Zealand is the most lopsided contest of the day by global ranking, with Sweden (FIFA World ranking 3) versus South Africa (54).
The Blågult won both recent meetings, at the 2016 and 2012 Olympics, but their record in tournament openers is troubled: four losses, two wins, and two draws in the previous eight Women’s World Cup. It has been better in recent years – they are unbeaten in four with a pair of draws against Nigeria and wins over Colombia and Chile, but still it is worth noting.
South Africa will have learned from their debut at the World Cup four years ago. Banyana Banyana come in as African Champions having lifted the Women’s Africa Cup of Nations for the first time and will be eager to collect that first point.
Intriguingly, Sweden has kept just two clean-sheets in the eight matches since qualification, while South Africa has been shutout only once since last October, a span of six matches.
Both Team to Score: Yes at +240 catches the eye. Combine that with a Sweden Win (+260) or Draw (+1200) for a higher payout.
Strikers Stina Blackstenius of Arsenal and Fridolina Rolfö of Barcelona are the most likely goal scorers for the Swedes: Blackstenius (First +275, Last +275, Anytime -163) and Rolfö (+375, +375, -120). Rolfö also has a Bet Boost To Score Two or More Goals at +400.
And Sweden should have the majority of the play, so a Bet Boosted Same Game Parlay of Rolfö – Over 1.5 Shots on Target, Blackstenius – Over 1.5 Shots on Target, and Sweden to Win Both Halves at +300 could come into play.
South Africa will be looking to hit on the counter. Speedy forward Thembi Kgatlana scored their only goal in 2019 (Anytime +800) though her strike partner Jermaine Seoposenwe (+650) has shorter odds on the day.
3:30 a.m. Match: Netherlands vs Portugal
|Netherlands Win In Full Time||-200|
|Portugal Win in Full Time||+475|
|Draw After Full Time||+350|
|Over/Under||2.5 goals (over -163, under +125)|
|Time/Date||Sunday, July 23, 3:30 a.m. ET|
Stream: TSN GO App
With the USA taking a lead in the Group E, the Netherlands will be eager to keep pace with a victory over Portugal in their opening match in Dunedin, New Zealand.
The Dutch are unbeaten in four matches against the Portuguese, most recently defeating them 3-2 in their group stage clash at last summer’s UEFA Women’s Euro 2022 in England, but the line is tight between these two European sides.
That is an added wrinkle in this contest: this is the first clash between sides that play in the same confederation. Familiarity can breed contempt and with this one expected to be hard fought Both Teams to Receive a Card, Yes at +120 seems all but certain.
While the two sides come into the Finals in opposite form: The Orange Lionesses beat Belgium 5-0 in their final warm-up match while A Selecção das Quinas have won just one of their last five since qualifying, neither side has been able to keep clean-sheets regularly. The Netherlands have just two in six matches this year, while Portugal matches that mark in one fewer outing.
That the Dutch have more game breakers is reflected in the goal scorers odds. 11 potential Netherlands scorers are listed before the first Portugal threat. No player in the Portuguese squad has more than 25 international goals, while the Dutch have four at or past that mark.
Lieke Martens of Paris Saint-Germain (First +333, Last +333, Anytime -110) has shortest odds. Teenager Esmee Brugts (+500, +500, +150) scored the stoppage-time goal over Iceland that pipped top spot in their qualifying group on the final match day, and Manchester City midfielder Jill Roord (+500, +500, +150) is expected to fill the leadership void left by injury to Vivianne Miedema – Roord had seven goals in qualifying to Miedema’s eight.
Jessica Silva for Portugal (Anytime +350) is most likely, but keep an eye on Tatiana Pinto (+375). Ana Capeta has averaged a goal every four matches for Portugal (+450).