After trailing 0-2 in their series with the Sacramento Kings, the Golden State Warriors have rattled off three straight victories to take a 3-2 best-of-seven series advantage heading into Game 6 of their Western Conference quarterfinal on Friday night at Chase Center.
In a pivotal Game 5 on Wednesday, the Warriors rallied behind 31 points from Stephen Curry to snatch a 123-116 road victory and take control of the series. With a win in Game 6, Golden State can become the first defending champions in NBA history to win a first-round series after falling behind 0-2.
A Game 7, if necessary, would be played in Sacramento on Sunday.
The Warriors are 7.5-point favourites to close out the series and the total is set at 235 points.
Kings vs Warriors odds
|Kings Moneyline Odds||+240|
|Warriors Moneyline Odds||-300|
|Over/Under||235 points (over -110, under +110)|
|Spread||Warriors -7.5 (-110)|
|Series odds||Warriors -1000, Kings +650|
|Time/Date||Friday, April 28, 8:00 p.m. ET|
Stream: NBA League Pass
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The home team was victorious in each of the first four games of the series until the Warriors put an end to that trend on Wednesday. The teams have combined to play over the total in three of the five games of the series, including the last two contests.
|Date||Home Team||Spread Odds||Result||Total|
|April 15 (Game 1)||Sacramento||Kings -1||126-123 Kings||237.5 (over)|
|April 17 (Game 2)||Sacramento||Warriors -2||114-106 Kings||238.5 (under)|
|April 20 (Game 3)||Golden State||Warriors -6||114-97 Warriors||241 (under)|
|April 23 (Game 4)||Golden State||Warriors -7||126-125 Warriors||234.5 (over)|
|April 26 (Game 5)||Sacramento||Warriors -2||123-116 Warriors||233.5 (over)|
About the Kings (2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS, 3-2 o/u)
The Kings’ hopes of a deep playoff run are fading as quickly as star guard De’Aaron Fox’s health.
Fox showed some serious toughness by playing with a fractured index finger in his left hand (his shooting hand) on Wednesday. He played 42 minutes in the loss and led all Kings scorers with 24 points while adding seven rebounds and nine assists. Fox insisted that “he felt fine” playing with the injury, but he did turn the ball over six times.
Sacramento drained a franchise single-quarter record with eight three-pointers in the first quarter on Wednesday, but the team proceeded to shoot just 2-for-22 from long range over the final three quarters. The Kings have shot just 30.1% from beyond the arc in the postseason. Only the New York Knicks (28.2%) have a worse three-point percentage in the playoffs to this point.
However, keep in mind that the Kings did finish the regular season with the best road record (25-16) in the Western Conference. So, there’s still a glimmer of hope despite Sacramento losing all of the momentum in this series.
About the Warriors (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS, 3-2 o/u)
The Warriors are proving all of their doubters wrong after falling in an 0-2 series hole.
Klay Thompson, Draymond Green, Andrew Wiggins, and Curry combined for 97 of the team’s 123 points on Wednesday, showing the true scoring depth of the defending champions. However, everyone is talking about the monster performance of Kevon Looney, who terrorized the glass to haul in 22 rebounds, seven on the offensive end, in the win. The Warriors forward also grabbed 20 rebounds in Game 3, to help lift his average to 14.4 per game during the series.
Curry is the engine that keeps powering the Warriors, though. Over his first five playoff games this postseason, Curry has scored 157 points, which ranks second in NBA history by a player aged 35 or older behind Michael Jordan’s 166 points in the 1998 playoffs. Golden State is plus-49 with its point guard on the floor this postseason, and Curry surpassed Magic Johnson for 15th on the NBA’s all-time playoff scoring list (he now has 3727 points) on Wednesday. With 28 points on Friday, Curry can match Hakeem Olajuwon for 14th on the all-time list.
The Warriors also made some more NBA history by picking up a clutch road win on Wednesday.
The Warriors will be without Andre Iguodala (left wrist) and Ryan Rollins (foot). Matthew Dellavedova (finger) is out for Sacramento.
- The Kings are 16-7 ATS in the past 23 meetings.
- The Kings are 12-3 ATS in the past 15 meetings at Golden State.
- The under is 4-1 in the Kings’ last five road games.
- The under is 9-4-1 in the Warriors’ last 14 home games.
Player prop trends
- Steph Curry has eclipsed 30 points in four of the five games in this series. His line is set at 31.5 (-115) on Friday night and he should be firing on all cylinders in a potential closeout game in front of the home fans.
- De’Aaron Fox has made three or more three-pointers in four of his last five games (including three with a fractured finger on his shooting hand in Game 5). His line is at 2.5 made threes (-110).
- Jordan Poole has seven steals in five playoff games and at least one theft in each of the last four games. His o/u on steals is 1.5 at bet365.
Wagers to consider
- Bet boost – same game parlay – Warriors to win, Steph Curry five or more three-pointers, Klay Thompson five or more three-pointers: +333. You won’t find any value in betting the Warriors on the moneyline, but adding in Steph and Klay to make it rain from deep in a closeout game makes this boost worth a look. Curry and Thompson have each hit that plateau in three of the five games in the series.
- Steph Curry over 31.5 points: -115. Curry has averaged 27.8 points in 32 career closeout games, but he dumped 34 on the Boston Celtics in Game 6 of the NBA Finals last year. He’s at home, the Warriors have momentum, and he’s poised to have a huge game.
- Thompson over 1.5 turnovers: -120. Klay has turned the ball over at least twice in four of the five games in the series (averaging 2.2 per game in series). In 150 career postseason games, Thompson has averaged 1.7 turnovers per game.