
In this article, Canada Sports Betting’s Nick Martin breaks down the two best NHL player prop picks that provide value at online sportsbooks today (4/22/26).
After a 2-0 sweep on Tuesday, these guides are now up +12.82 units this season. The playoffs have been good to us thus far, and we will look to stay hot with a unique pair of selections from Wednesday’s exciting three-game slate.
Trevor Zegras Under 0.5 Points: +125 (Play to +115)
Zegras under 0.5 points
We were really high on a potential bounce-back from Zegras entering the season, as a new environment and being freed from Greg Cronin seemed likely to help the 25-year-old start to live up to his potential after some down years.
Zegras has played fairly well to begin the series and is lining up alongside Owen Tippett, who’s arguably been the best skater from either side. Those facts aren’t lost on us and likely won’t make this pick entirely appealing. But Zegras still looks overvalued in being priced at -165 to record a point given the low-event nature of this series and the amount of minutes he is actually playing.
The Pittsburgh Penguins have clearly been the lesser team in both games of the series, but the Philadelphia Flyers have been particularly dominant from the defensive perspective. The Flyers have generated just 11 high-danger scoring chances and only 44 shots on goal.
Defensively, the Penguins are not allowing all that much relative to NHL average, but their defensive miscues are really sticking out because they are generating next to nothing themselves.
In what is a near “do-or-die” matchup on the road, it seems likely to expect the Pens to offer high attention to detail defensively and plenty of urgency. That may not lead to a result, but this feels like a solid spot to fade some potentially overvalued Flyers skaters’ production in what will likely be a low-event matchup.
Tippett has had some individual moments of brilliance, but the Flyers’ second line of Zegras, Tippett, and Tyson Foerster has generated only seven shots on goal at even strength in this series. The Flyers power play has not yet recorded a goal in the series and has not looked overly threatening after finishing with a 32nd-ranked success rate in the regular season.
The ineffectiveness of the Flyers power play greatly cuts into Zegras’s chances of production. He’s played only 21:52 at five-on-five in this series, and though his spot in the lineup is on paper quite strong, his usage suggests he’s down the list in terms of head coach Rick Tocchet’s preferred options.
Zegras will likely play a few more minutes if the Flyers end up trailing in this game. That possibility is a livable concern, though, given the price of +125 for Zegras to be held pointless in a game which seems likely to be somewhat of a slog.
Vladimir Tarasenko Over 2.5 Shots on Goal: +195 (Play to +185)
Tarasenko over 2.5 SOG
With Mats Zuccarello unable to play in Game 2, Tarasenko bumped onto the Wild’s top line alongside Kirill Kaprizov and Ryan Hartman, and also inherited Zuccarello’s role on the top power play. Assuming Zuccarello, who is listed as day-to-day, remains unavailable for Game 3, this looks to be one of the best bets on the board.
So while it’s not ideal to ask readers to confirm that Zuccarello does ultimately miss the game, this price looks to be way too long if that is the case.
Tarasenko recorded three shots on goal from five attempts in Game 2. While he’s become somewhat of a liability defensively, Tarasenko still possesses a quality shot and has managed solid underlying results offensively this season.
Playing alongside Kaprizov should continue to greatly boost his chances of generating shots on target, while on home ice the Wild will likely attempt to cherry-pick strong spots to employ a five-man unit with the defensive pairing of Quinn Hughes and Brock Faber.
Tarasenko ranked fourth among Wild skaters in shots on goal per 60 this season. That mark is encouraging, and it would likely be a little higher if he had spent more time in his current role.
Our handicap on this one is not overly complicated. A price of +195 seems to be far too long for a proven scorer in Tarasenko to record three shots in his current role, as we saw in Game 2. So long as Zuccarello does not return, which would likely bump Tarasenko down to the third line, this price looks to provide excellent value.
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