NFL Playoff Primer: Super Bowl Outright Odds, Wild Card Weekend Matchups, Super Bowl MVP Favourites

The dust has finally settled on the NFL regular season and 14 teams are now ready to battle it out for Super Bowl LVIII supremacy.

It was a wild Week 18 that saw four division titles decided and five playoff spots determined on the final week of the regular season. Ontario’s adopted NFL team, the Buffalo Bills, clinched their fourth straight AFC East title dramatically with a 21-14 win over the Miami Dolphins to close out the regular season on Sunday night. The Houston Texans, Dallas Cowboys, and Tampa Bay Buccaneers also claimed division titles with victories in the final week.

Buffalo Bills to win the Super Bowl

+650

The Jacksonville Jaguars’ disappointing 28-20 loss to the Tennessee Titans on Sunday opened the door for the Texans to snatch away the AFC South title and allowed the Pittsburgh Steelers to creep into the postseason as the AFC’s seventh seed.

Here’s a look at the Super Bowl LVIII outright odds now that the playoff picture is set:

To win Super BowlTo win conference
San Francisco 49ers+225-120
Baltimore Ravens+320+125
Buffalo Bills+650+300
Dallas Cowboys+750+350
Kansas City Chiefs+900+400
Philadelphia Eagles+1600+700
Detroit Lions+1600+700
Miami Dolphins+2000+1000
Cleveland Browns+3500+1400
Houston Texans+4000+1800
LA Rams+5000+2200
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+6000+3000
Green Bay Packers+6600+3300
Pittsburgh Steelers+12500+6000

All odds courtesy of

Wild Card Weekend odds

Bettors will have six games to handicap this week, concluding with the Eagles and Buccaneers on Monday night. The Eagles backed their way into the playoffs with losses in five of their last six games, but still find themselves as small road favourites against the Bucs.

The Bills have won five straight games (3-2 against the spread during that span) entering their contest with the Steelers and find themselves as the only double-digit favourites (+10) on the board. This game also has the lowest total this week at just 36 points.

The Rams are perhaps the hottest team entering the postseason as winners of seven of their last eight games. Matt Stafford returns to Detroit, where he spent the first 12 seasons of his professional football career, to take on the NFC North-champion Lions in one of the more intriguing opening-round matchups. Detroit opened as a field-goal favourite at bet365 on Sunday night, but the line quickly moved a half-point in favour of the Rams to +3.5.

The Browns, who have thrived this season despite injury issues to their starting quarterback Deshaun Watson and bell cow running back Nick Chubb, are 2.5-point favourites for their clash with the surprising Texans in Houston.

Away TeamHome TeamTime (ET)
Cleveland Browns-2.544 o/uHouston TexansSat. 4:30 PM
Miami Dolphins+3.544 o/uKansas City ChiefsSat. 8:00 PM
Pittsburgh Steelers+1036 o/uBuffalo BillsSun. 1:00 PM
Green Bay Packers+7.550 o/uDallas CowboysSun. 4:30 PM
LA Rams+3.551.5 o/uDetroit LionsSun. 8:00 PM
Philadelphia Eagles-2.544 o/uTampa Bay BuccaneersMon. 8:00 PM

All odds courtesy of

Super Bowl MVP odds

The quarterbacks for the teams with the first-round playoff byes and the shortest Super Bowl odds also have the shortest odds of winning Super Bowl MVP. Lamar Jackson, who is the likely season-long MVP this year after a spectacular campaign both throwing and running the ball for the Ravens, has +400 odds to win Super Bowl MVP. San Francisco pivot Brock Purdy is close behind with +400 odds to win Super Bowl MVP.

Christian McCaffrey to win Super Bowl MVP

+1000

San Francisco’s TD machine, Christian McCaffrey, might be worth a look at +1000 to win the award. Or, how about 49ers sack machine Nick Bosa at +8000? It’s still early to be picking a Super Bowl MVP before the playoffs even get started, but you will find the best value on players now.

If you like the Bills or Chiefs to prevail out of the AFC, elite quarterbacks Josh Allen (+800) and Patrick Mahomes (+1000) have good value.

In the NFC, Dak Prescott (+1200), or CeeDee Lamb (+5000) could be viable longshots if the 49ers come up short of the big game.

To win Super Bowl MVP
Lamar Jackson (BAL)+400
Brock Purdy (SF)+500
Josh Allen (BUF)+800
Christian McCaffrey (SF)+1000
Patrick Mahomes (KC)+1000
Dak Prescott (DAL)+1200
Jalen Hurts (PHI)+1600
Jared Goff (DET)+2800
Tua Tagovailoa (MIA)+2800
Joe Flacco (CLE)+3500
CeeDee Lamb (DAL)+5000
C.J. Stroud (HOU)+5000
Tyreek Hill (MIA)+5000
Baker Mayfield (TB)+6600

All odds courtesy of