NBA Betting Preview (May 28): Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game 4 Predictions

Kyrie Irving #11 of the Dallas Mavericks shoots the ball against Jaden McDaniels #3 of the Minnesota Timberwolves during the fourth quarter in Game Three of the Western Conference Finals at American Airlines Center on May 26, 2024 in Dallas, Texas.

The Dallas Mavericks have positioned themselves strongly in their playoff series, taking a formidable 3-0 lead against the Minnesota Timberwolves with a 116-107 win in Game 3. This victory puts them on the brink of advancing to the NBA Finals, where they would face the Boston Celtics, pending the outcome of just one more game.

For the Timberwolves, the scenario is quite daunting. Facing a 0-3 deficit, they are now tasked with attempting a reverse sweep — a feat that is exceedingly rare in NBA playoff history. The key for Minnesota will be to take the series one game at a time, focusing first on securing a win in Game 4 on Tuesday to avoid elimination. This requires significant contributions from their core players, including heightened performances from stars like Anthony Edwards and Karl-Anthony Towns, who must lead by example both in scoring and defensive efforts.

Bet on Timberwolves vs. Mavericks GM 4

MIN +1.5
DAL -1.5

The upcoming Game 4 promises high stakes and intense action, as the Timberwolves fight for survival and the Mavericks look to complete their path to the finals.

Let’s look at the best betting odds on both teams for this upcoming matchup.

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks best odds

Timberwolves Moneyline Odds+110 @ DraftKings
Mavericks Moneyline Odds-115 @ Betano
Over/UnderOver 209.5 points (-120) @ Betway
Under 211 points (-101) @ Pinnacle
SpreadMavericks -1.5 (-108) @ Betano
Timberwolves +2 (-110) @ DraftKings
Series OddsMavericks -2000, Timberwolves +1000 (bet365)
Time/DateMay 28, 8:30 p.m. ET
TVBroadcast: SN 360
Stream: NBA League Pass
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About the Mavericks (11-4 SU, 10-5 ATS, 8-7 o/u)

Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving have proven themselves as an exceptional duo for the Mavericks, showcasing their clutch performances once again in a critical playoff game. Both players dramatically ramped up their contributions in the second half of Game 3, with Doncic scoring 18 and Irving adding 19 points.

Doncic’s all-around performance of 33 points, seven rebounds, five assists, and five steals highlights his versatility and ability to impact the game across multiple facets, from scoring to defence. Similarly, Kyrie Irving’s 33-point contribution, along with three rebounds and four assists, underscores his scoring prowess and playmaking skills, which are crucial in tight game situations.

As the series moves back to Dallas for Game 4, the Mavericks are in a prime position to close out the series and advance to the NBA Finals. Doncic and Irving’s leadership and ability to perform under pressure will be pivotal in this potential series-clinching game. Their continued aggressive play and ability to take charge during crucial moments will be key factors as the Mavericks aim to secure a victory at home.

About the Timberwolves (8-6 SU, 8-6 ATS, 9-5 o/u)

The Timberwolves face a critical juncture in their season after falling behind 0-3 in their series against the Mavericks. Despite a strong individual performance from Edwards, who was just shy of a triple-double with 26 points, nine rebounds, and nine assists, the Timberwolves failed to secure a win in Game 3. His contributions, along with decent scoring efforts from Mike Conley and Jaden McDaniels, weren’t enough to overcome the Mavericks.

Towns, in particular, experienced a tough game, as his shooting woes significantly impacted the team’s offensive flow. Shooting just 5-of- 18 from the field and missing all eight of his three-point attempts, Towns’ off night stood out as a key factor in the loss. His ability to score efficiently is typically central to the Timberwolves’ success, and his performance in Game 3 was noticeably lacking.

Looking ahead to Game 4, the Timberwolves find themselves in a do-or-die situation. To extend the series and avoid a sweep, they need a strong bounce-back performance from Towns. His return to form is crucial not only for scoring but also for lifting the team’s overall morale and confidence. Additionally, Edwards needs to maintain his high level of play, and the role players like Conley, McDaniels, and Naz Reid must continue to contribute effectively.

As Game 4 approaches, the Timberwolves’ ability to adapt and overcome adversity will be tested. The team’s resilience and determination to fight back will be key factors in their attempt to push the series to a fifth game back home in Minnesota.

Luka Doncic to score over 30.5 points


Timberwolves vs. Mavericks injury concerns

  • Doncic (knee/ankle) is questionable.
  • Dereck Lively (neck) has been ruled out.
  • Maxi Kleber (shoulder) is expected to miss a significant amount of time, if not the entire postseason, due to a full dislocation of his right AC joint.
  • Olivier-Maxence Prosper (ankle) will not play.
  • The over was 3-1 in the four regular-season meetings between the teams.
  • The over is 3-0 in this playoff series.
  • Doncic has recorded over 30.5 points in four of his last five games. His line is at -115 to record over 30.5 points.
  • Irving has recorded under 4.5 assists in four of his last five games. His line is at -115 to record under 4.5 assists.
  • McDaniels has recorded over 1.5 threes in four of his last five games. His line is at +160 to record over 1.5 threes.

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks predictions

  • Doncic over 30.5 points: -115 (PROLINE +). With the opportunity to lead the Mavericks to The Finals for the first time in his career, Luka will undoubtedly give his best effort in front of the home crowd. Given that he has consistently surpassed this line throughout the series, expect Luka to score over 30.5 points.
  • Over 209.5 total points: -120 (Betway). During the regular season, the total points line was surpassed in three of the four games between these teams. This trend continued in Games 1, 2, and 3, where the total points reached over 210. Given this consistent pattern and historical scoring, expect the total points to go over in Game 4 as well.