bet365 NBA Betting Preview: Nuggets vs. Thunder Odds (Jan. 31)

A plethora of Canadian talent will be on display Wednesday night when Jamal Murray and the Denver Nuggets visit Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, and the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Denver and Oklahoma City are neck-and-neck behind Minnesota for the top spot in the Western Conference. The Thunder are coming off a 107-101 home loss to the Timberwolves that knocked them from their perch atop the conference.

Bet on Nuggets vs. Thunder

DEN +6.5
OKC -6.5

Denver is coming off back-to-back victories against the Sixers and Bucks and has won four of its last five games overall.

Wednesday’s game will mark the fourth and final regular-season meeting between the teams this season. Denver captured the first meeting and then Oklahoma City rebounded by taking the next two clashes in Denver.

Nuggets vs. Thunder odds

Nuggets Moneyline Odds+225
Thunder Moneyline Odds-275
Over/Under225.5 (over -110, under -110)
SpreadThunder -6.5 (-105)
Time/DateJanuary 31, 8:00 p.m. ET
TVBroadcast: SN1
Stream: NBA League Pass
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All odds courtesy of

About the Nuggets (33-15 SU, 20-27-1 ATS, 17-30-1 o/u)

Murray finished with a game-high 35 points (21 in the first half) to go along with five assists and two steals in 35 minutes against the Bucks on Monday.

In 14 games in January, Murray is averaging 24.1 points, 6.9 assists and 3.7 rebounds while shooting 49.0% from the field and 36.5% from three. He’s also scored 25+ points in six games and had 20+ points in all but three games.

Denver has done a great job of limiting turnovers this season. On Monday, the Nuggets turned the ball over just eight times, marking the 20th time this season they’ve finished with 10 turnovers or fewer.

About the Thunder (32-15 SU, 30-17 ATS, 26-21 o/u)

Oklahoma City, a young team with four rookies and three sophomores on the roster, ranks top-three in the league in field goal percentage (2nd, 50.2%), free throw percentage (2nd, 83.3%), and three-point percentage (3rd, 38.8%). No other team ranks in the top five in all three categories. Additionally, Oklahoma City ranks top-five in the league in both steals (2nd, 8.3) and blocks (t-1st, 6.4) per game. Gilgeous-Alexander leads the league in total steals (103) and steals per game (2.2) while Chet Holmgren ranks fourth in blocks per game (2.6).

Gilgeous-Alexander, who is making a strong case for MVP this season, is currently averaging 31.3 points per game on 54.7% shooting from the field through his first 46 games. The Ontario native has been named a Western Conference All-Star starter for his early-season efforts.

Holmgren, a potential Rookie of the Year candidate, has struggled over these last two games, posting just 13 total points on 6-of-20 shooting (30%). His presence is always felt on the defensive end, though, as he’s posted three games this season with 7+ blocks, most in the NBA.

Chet Holmgren over 2.5 blocks


Injury concerns

Nuggets centre Nikola Jokic is out with lower back pain after his 25-point, 16-rebound, 12-assist performance in Monday’s win over Milwaukee. The Joker has missed just one game this season – Nov. 27 vs. the Clippers – due to injury.

OKC’s injury report is quite lengthy, so bettors will want to monitor the statuses of several players leading up to the tip:

  • Gilgeous-Alexander (illness) questionable.
  • Isaiah Joe (sternum) is out.
  • Jalen Williams (ankle) is out.
  • Dort (ankle) is questionable.
  • Holmgren (ankle) is questionable.
  • Tre Mann (undisclosed) is questionable.
  • The under is 5-1 in OKC’s last six games.
  • The under is 6-0 in Denver’s last six games.
  • The Nuggets are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games.
  • The spread moved from Thunder -1 to -6.5 after Jokic was ruled out Wednesday afternoon.
  • Josh Giddey is in a bit of a scoring funk, averaging just 10.2 points per game over his last 10. He’s -115 to record under 12.5 points, a mark he’s failed to hit in eight of his last 10 games.
  • Dort is struggling from long range, shooting just 3-for-24 (12.5%) from beyond the arc over his last five games. He’s +150 to record under 1.5 threes.
  • Gilgeous-Alexander is getting his pocket picked a lot lately, averaging 3.6 turnovers over his last five games. He’s -125 to commit over 2.5 turnovers on Wednesday, a mark he’s exceeded in five straight games.

Wagers to consider

  • The total opened at 229 points and is now at 225.5 after Jokic was ruled out. These teams have averaged 223.3 combined points per game through the first three matchups this season and both teams have also been trending under on totals recently. Hopefully, bettors grabbed the under 229 points earlier in the day, but there’s still value in the under at 225.5 points.
  • With Jokic out, OKC now has a mismatch at the centre position with Holmgren likely matching up against DeAndre Jordan, who has only played over 20 minutes in a game once since the calendar flipped to January. Yes, Holmgren has struggled of late, but consider taking the over on his points (16.5, -120) and rebounds (7.5, -115) in this one.