An Early Look at NBA Awards Futures Odds: Who To Bet Now, Who To Fade

In the dead of summer, any talk of the NBA is done with a lot of speculation in mind. So, why not speculate on who will walk away with next year’s hardware? With odds from bet365 Sportsbook, let’s take a look at some of the contenders for major individual awards in the 2023/24 NBA seasons, as well as some of the smartest wagers that you can make at this time.

Most Valuable Player (MVP)

Nikola Jokic (DEN)+475Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL)+550Luka Doncic (DAL)+600
Joel Embiid (PHI)+650Jayson Tatum (BOS)+850Kevin Durant (PHX)+1300
Stephen Curry (GSW)+1400Lebron James (LAL)+2500Pascal Siakam (TOR)+6000

It’s really hard to argue against Nikola Jokic at this point for next year’s MVP award. There are many that believe he should have won his third consecutive NBA MVP in 2023, though the narrative is that Embiid was picked simply because voters have tired of voting for Jokic. Voter fatigue, for better or worse, is a real thing in modern pro sports.

If you want a value play, keep your eyes on Luka Doncic. With more time to build chemistry with Kyrie Irving, not to mention the fire of wanting to rebound from missing the playoffs, this could be the year Doncic captures the crown. He has all the tools to dominate on any given night and this could finally be the MVP season most have been expecting. 

Doesn’t quite fit: Kevin Durant is one of the best players in the league, how could he not be considered? The last few years have been a battle for KD, without a doubt one of the game’s great superstars. Injuries and a strong supporting cast in Phoenix are the two biggest factors holding him back from being a true contender for his second MVP award.

Nikola Jokic to win 23/24 NBA MVP


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Defensive Player of the Year

Jaren Jackson Jr. (MEM)+550Evan Mobley (CLE)+700Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL)+800
Bam Adebayo (MIA)+1000Anthony Davis (LAL)+1200Brook Lopez (MIL)+1600
Draymond Green (GSW)+1600Joel Embiid (PHI)+1800OG Anunoby (TOR)+2500

Having won the award in 2023, Jaren Jackson Jr. is the clear favourite to capture the award once again this upcoming season. He has all the tools needed to be a premier defender in the league for a long time to come. The Memphis standout is just 23 years old and plays a key part in what the Grizzlies are doing moving forward, especially on the defensive side of the ball. 

That said, Evan Mobley is the name to watch. He was very good in his second year, even getting a First-Team All-Defense nod in the process. He even led the NBA in defensive win shares with 4.8, truly illustrating his value to the Cavs. He is super long yet still quick enough to guard on the perimeter. 

He has the size to be a dominant force on the defensive end for the Cavs. After a pair of solid seasons in Cleveland and the kind of elite defensive tools that few possess, it could be the 22-year-old Mobley’s time to become the youngest DPOTY in league history.

Doesn’t quite fit: With all due respect to Draymond Green, who has won the award and finished runner-up twice, it feels like he’s seen his best days. He will still be an important component for the Warriors going forward but there remain questions about whether he can be the dominant defender he has been until recently. A third-place finish in 2021 might be the highest he’ll get again.

Evan Mobley to win 23/24 NBA Defensive Player of the Year


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Most Improved Player

Mikal Bridges (BRK)+175Cade Cunningham (DET)+600Auston Reaves (LAL)+850
Tyrese Maxey (PHI)+1000Jordan Poole (WSH)+1000Alperen Sengun (HOU)+1400
Evan Mobley (CLE)+1400Josh Giddey (OKC)+1600Scottie Barnes (TOR)+2000

While some players come into the NBA and take it by storm, it is a journey for others. This award is there to recognize those players who have made the biggest leaps and bounds in their game over the course of a season and is typically a precursor for bigger things.

Mikal Bridges had a strong case for the award last year after being dealt in the blockbuster trade that sent Kevin Durant to the Suns. In 27 games with the Nets, he averaged more than 26 points per game, and he could become even bigger in 2023-24. 

Doesn’t quite fit: Jordan Poole got dealt to the Wizards during the offseason and many feel that he could be poised for a big year with more opportunity. He is going to be the guy in Washington, though they project to be one of the worst teams in the year. Poole could see his stat-line rise, but it remains to be seen if he can make “the leap” into true stardom.

Mikal Bridges to win 23/24 NBA Most Improved Player


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Rookie of the Year

Victor Wembanyama (SAS)-160Scoot Henderson (POR)+350Chet Holmgren (OKC)+400
Brandon Miller (CHA)+1600Sasha Vezenkov (SAC)+2000Amen Thompson (HOU)+2500
Cam Whitmore (HOU)+2500Ausar Thompson (DET)+3300Gradey Dick (TOR)+4000

How can you talk about 2023-24 rookies any other way than by mentioning the first overall pick? The hype is through the roof for Victor Wembanyama, who some have called a better draft prospect than LeBron James. With lofty expectations like that, it is hard to go with anyone else as favourite for Rookie of the Year.

Don’t sleep on Scoot Henderson, however. With Damian Lillard likely on his way out of Portland, it will be Scoot’s show and he has the kind of rare explosiveness that can make him impossible to guard. Though there will be growing pains on a bad team in year one, Henderson could emerge as a superstar by year’s end.

Doesn’t quite fit: It is easy to understand why Chet Holmgren is third on the list of odds for Rookie of the Year. That said, he missed the entire 2022-23 season with a foot injury and big men traditionally have a tough time with leg and foot injuries. He has the kind of skill set that could really help him stand out but there is a nagging feeling that he may not be on the court enough to snag him the ROTY win.

Victor Wembanyama to win 23/24 NBA Rookie of the Year


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Coach of the Year

Erik Spoelstra (MIA)+500Nick Nurse (PHI)+600Michael Malone (DEN)+600
Joe Mazzulla (BOS)+650Mark Daigneault (OKC)+750Adrian Griffin (MIL)+1200
Frank Vogel (LAL)+2500Gregg Popovich (SAS)+2000Darko Rajakovic (TOR)+5000

The best coaches are the ones that make the most of a less-than-ideal situation. During the 2022-23 season, there were several times in which the Miami Heat looked like they would flail and fall apart. Yet when the NBA Finals came around, there they were, competing for the franchise’s fourth NBA Championship.

With that in mind, Erik Spoelstra enters as the favourite for NBA Coach of the Year heading into 2023-24. What is even more incredible is that he hasn’t ever won the award, even with three titles and a season like the one he had a year ago. This may help him as he has quite an impressive resume. 

Michael Malone might seem like an easy pick as well, especially coming off of the franchise’s first title in Denver. But with Jokic at the helm and one of the best rosters in the NBA, it might be hard to convince voters that it was more about Malone’s performance as a coach than a stacked roster that ran the table in the 2023 NBA Playoffs.

Doesn’t quite fit: Jamahl Mosley (+2200)  and the Orlando Magic are certainly a topic for debate. They showed growth in the second half of the year and became a tough play for even the best in the East. But this is a young roster on a team that has been bad for as long as most can remember. With all due respect to Mosley, it would take miracle work to get the Magic to a high enough seed to earn him COTY recognition.

Erik Spoelstra (MIA) to win 23/24 NBA Coach of the Year


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