It’s the Canada Day long weekend and there are three games to bet on the CFL Week 4 schedule.
The action begins Friday night when the Edmonton Elks travel across the country to play the Ottawa Redblacks in a battle of two winless teams.
On Canada Day, the Winnipeg Blue Bombers will visit the surprising Montreal Alouettes, who are one of three undefeated teams this season.
And Week 4 will conclude on the holiday Monday when the undefeated BC Lions travel to Toronto to play the defending Grey Cup champion Argonauts, who are off to a perfect 2-0 start.
|Team||Grey Cup Outright Odds|
|Winnipeg Blue Bombers||+200|
Edmonton Elks @ Ottawa Redblacks (-3.5, 42.5 o/u)
About the Elks (0-3 SU, 0-3 ATS, 1-2 o/u): Desperate to spark some offensive competence, the Elks could turn to Jarret Doege at quarterback this Friday. The first-year player took first-team reps at practice on Tuesday, but Elks head coach Chris Jones is still non-committal on who his starting quarterback will be at this point.
Doege began the year as the fourth quarterback on the team’s depth chart, but after averaging just 260.3 yards and 14.7 points per game through the first three contests of the season, the Elks clearly aren’t getting what they need from Taylor Cornelius and others at the position.
Eugene Lewis, easily one of the top receivers in the CFL, hasn’t developed chemistry with any of the team’s quarterbacks to this point. He has just 11 catches for 200 yards and a touchdown through three games and 148 of those receiving yards came in Week 1.
About the Redblacks (0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS, 0-2 o/u): The Redblacks are a mess at the quarterback position, too. Jeremiah Masoli is still out as he continues to recover from a broken leg he suffered last season.
Nick Arbuckle started the first two games for Ottawa, which is averaging a league-worst 13.5 points per game this year. As a result of the poor offensive start to the season, head coach Bob Dyce has named Tyrie Adams as his starting quarterback against the Elks.
The Redblacks surrendered 332 passing yards against the Stampeders in their Week 2 defeat and will need to tighten up their defensive backfield against 2022 CFL All-Stars Steven Dunbar and Lewis.
- The under is 9-1 in the past 10 meetings.
- The Elks are 1-5 ATS in the past six meetings.
- Edmonton is 0-4 ATS in its last four games.
Pick: Elks +3.5.
Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ Montreal Alouettes (+6, 49 o/u)
About the Blue Bombers (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS, 2-1 o/u): The Bombers were humbled last week by the Lions, who cruised to an unlikely 30-6 victory. After putting up a combined 87 points in their first two contests, the Blue Bombers could only manage a pair of field goals against a ferocious BC defence.
Two of the team’s best offensive players, running back Brady Oliveira (thorax) and receiver Dalton Shoen (hip), played through injuries last week, and both players didn’t practice on Tuesday. Bettors will want to monitor the health of these two players leading up to Canada Day and place their wagers accordingly.
This veteran team is very likely to bounce back in a big way following the embarrasing loss last week.
About the Alouettes: (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS, 1-1 o/u): Oddsmakers set the Alouettes’ season win total at 7.5 this spring, and the team appears on track to smash that projected season win total after an impressive 2-0 start.
Montreal spoiled Hamilton’s home opener with a convincing 38-12 victory after escaping with a 19-12 win in Week 1 over Ottawa.
Defensive back Ciante Evans leads all defensive players with three interceptions, and the Montreal secondary has held opponents to an average of 260.5 yards per game through the air, which ranks third in the league.
This will be Montreal’s first real test against a quality opponent this season, and unfortunately for the Als, Winnipeg will be very pissed off and motivated coming into this one.
- The over is 7-0-1 in the past eight meetings in Montreal.
- The Alouettes are 4-1-1 ATS in their past six home games.
- The under is 6-0 in Montreal’s past six home games.
- The over is 5-1 in Winnipeg’s past six road games.
Pick: Blue Bombers -6.
|Home Team||Away Team||Date/Time (ET)|
|Ottawa Redblacks||-3.5||42.5 o/u||Edmonton Elks||June 30, 7:30 PM|
|Montreal Alouettes||+6||49 o/u||Winnipeg Blue Bombers||July 1, 7:00 PM|
|Toronto Argonauts||+1.5||47.5 o/u||BC Lions||July 3, 7:00 PM|
BC Lions @ Toronto Argonauts (+1.5, 47.5 o/u)
About the Lions (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS, 0-3 o/u): This BC defence looks downright nasty this year. The unit has allowed just one offensive touchdown in its first 12 quarters of play and is holding the opposition to an average of seven points per game during that span.
The Lions’ defence forced three takeaways and registered seven sacks in Week 3 against the Blue Bombers, the league’s best offensive team heading into that game.
Even more impressive is that Vernon Adams Jr. was able to keep the offence rolling last week, even without receivers Dominque Rhymes and Keon Hatcher on the shelf. Both receivers could return to action this week, but bettors will want to monitor the team’s injury reports throughout the week. Adams Jr. threw for 237 yards and two touchdowns without throwing an interception in the win. He also scrambled for an additional 30 yards.
About the Argonauts (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS, 1-1 o/u): The Argos have put up 75 points in their opening two games and are proving last season’s Grey Cup run wasn’t a fluke.
Toronto’s potent rushing attack, which is averaging 152 yards per game, is led by A.J. Ouellette, who amassed 84 yards and three scores on the ground last week. Veteran Andrew Harris is also getting touches in the backfield and quarterback Chad Kelly’s scrambling ability is causing opposing defences to completely break down.
Kelly, who took over as the team’s QB1 after McLeod Bethel-Thompson left the league for the USFL, hasn’t been spectacular through two starts this season (83.3 passer rating), but he hasn’t had to be.
Toronto’s defence has been solid, recording eight sacks through two contests while holding opponents to 349 total yards per game (third in the league).
- The under is 17-4 in the past 21 meetings in Toronto.
- The under is 7-0 in the Lions’ last seven games.
- Toronto is 4-0 ATS in its last four games.
- BC is 13-6 ATS in its past 19 road games.
Pick: Lions -1.5.