The excitement for the 2023 Oscars, also known as the 95th Academy Awards, is at a fever pitch. The ceremony is set to take place on March 12. We already have the nominations for the numerous awards that are to be handed out to the films, actors, support staff, and others that made an impact in our lives during 2022. If you are ready to sit back on the couch with your popcorn in hand and wait for all of the drama to unfold, you might also want to make some wagers on the outcomes of the different awards.
Join us as we take a look at the categories, make our predictions, and highlight which underdogs might have some value with the most up-to-date odds. So without further ado, let’s take a deep dive into the 2023 Oscars.
2023 Oscars – Best Picture – Odds and Prediction
It wouldn’t be the Oscars without the premiere award of the entire show. The Best Picture award is considered to be the most prestigious of the entire ceremony. Therefore, we should start here and take a look at the breakdown of the odds for the nominees.
|Best Picture – Oscars 2023 Winners Odds|
|Everything Everywhere All at Once||-1400|
|All Quiet on the Western Front||+1100|
|The Banshees of Inisherin||+1400|
|Top Gun: Maverick||+2000|
|Avatar: The Way of Water||+12500|
|Triangle of Sadness||+20000|
Although there are many tempting long-shot offers on the board to win Best Picture this year, it’s best to steer clear of all of that. Those films are given very long odds to win for a reason. Truthfully, the best bet on the board is to go with the overwhelming favourite in this case.
However, you will be putting up a lot of money for a small return in the event that Everything Everywhere All At Once does win the award. If you hate betting on heavy favourites, then it might be best to skip out on this category entirely or look for a value play.
The Banshees of Inisherin is a tempting pick at +1400. While the film is a big underdog, as reflected in the odds, it did receive a lot of critical acclaim and it wouldn’t be the biggest surprise winner.
Best Picture Prediction: Everything Everywhere All At Once (-1400)
Value Bet: The Banshees of Inisherin (+1400)
2023 Oscars – Best Actor – Odds and Prediction
The next categories of highest importance for the Oscars have to be Best Actor and Best Actress.
Best Actor, as is true of all other categories aside from Best Picture, has just five nominees to select from. This is currently a two-horse race between Brendan Fraser and Austin Butler, both of whom put in amazing performances this year.
|Best Actor – Oscars 2023 Winners Odds|
|Brendan Fraser (The Whale)||-188|
|Austin Butler (Elvis)||+137|
|Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)||+1200|
|Paul Mescal (Aftersun)||+5000|
|Bill Nighy (Living)||+6600|
This is an interesting category because there are two reasonably viable options to wager on at the top of the list, as well as Colin Farrell who is not far behind. In this case, you probably want to go with the underdog in Colin Farrell. At +1200 odds, that is simply too tempting to pass up. Yes, it’s still not favoured to happen, but The Banshees of Inisherin is expected to be competitive in many categories, and this might be an opportunity to hit an underdog winner.
Best Actor Prediction: Colin Farrell (+1200)
2023 Oscars – Best Actress – Odds and Prediction
Best Actress is another prestigious award that honors the best performance by an actress across all of 2022. Just like the Best Actor odds, this is also a battle between two actresses way ahead of the pack in Michelle Yeoh and Cate Blanchett.
|Best Actress – Oscars 2023 Winners Odds|
|Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All At Once)||-138|
|Cate Blanchett (Tar)||+100|
|Andrea Riseborough (To Leslie)||+2800|
|Michelle Williams (The Fablemans)||+2800|
|Ana de Armas (Blonde)||+5000|
Again, it might be worth taking a stab at a slight underdog in Cate Blanchett at +100. She gave a stellar performance in Tar, as such it’s reasonable to assume that she has a shot at winning. She also was leading this table at certain points during the run-up and depending on the sportsbook you’re using, she may still be the favourite.
Best Actress Prediction: Cate Blanchett (+100)
2023 Oscars – Best Original Screenplay – Odds and Prediction
This award goes to the best screenplay that has not already appeared in a different medium. As far as awards presented to entire films, it’s considered one of the most prestigious alongside the Best Picture category.
|Best Original Screenplay – Oscars 2023 Winners Odds|
|Everything Everywhere All At Once||-150|
|Banshees of Inisherin||+110|
|Triangle of Sadness||+3300|
Naturally, this seems like a two-horse race between the top contenders. You could make the case that Everything Everywhere All At Once is a solid pick, but only if that film is going to sweep nearly every category that it is nominated for. Instead, Banshees of Inisherin does truly seem like the better bet in this case. Everything Everywhere All At Once will do well, but it probably won’t win literally everything. Take the slight underdog.
Best Screenplay Prediction: Banshees of Inisherin (+110)
2023 Oscars – Best Supporting Actor – Odds and Prediction
This category has the most straightforward odds on the list. While these actors didn’t have the lead role in their productions, they still managed to steal the show with their amazing performances.
|Best Supporting Actor – Oscars 2023 Winners Odds|
|Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All at Once)||-5000|
|Brendan Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin)||+1800|
|Barry Keoghan (The Banshees of Inisherin)||+1800|
|Brian Tyree Henry (Causeway)||+3300|
|Judd Hirsch (The Fabelmans)||+3300|
There is simply no question that Ke Huy Quan is going to run away with this win. However, this is already well-reflected in the -5000 odds that he’s getting. It’s difficult to find much value in this betting market.
Best Supporting Actor Prediction: Ke Huy Quan (-5000)
2023 Oscars – Best Supporting Actress – Odds and Prediction
This is another one of the top awards handed out at the Oscars. For those amazing actresses that didn’t get the lead, this is a great chance to get recognized for their work.
|Best Supporting Actress – Oscars 2023 Winners Odds|
|Angela Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever)||+110|
|Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin)||+180|
|Jamie Lee Curtis (Everything Everywhere All at Once)||+200|
|Stephanie Hsu (Everything Everywhere All at Once)||+6000|
|Hong Chau (The Whale)||+6600|
There is a sneaky case to be made for placing a wager on Kerry Condon for this category. A stellar performance by Condon in a film that is expected to potentially win a number of categories at this year’s Oscars means that you should scoop up the +180 odds that you can get at this time. Her odds have been getting shorter as we’ve gotten closer to the big day, a good sign for bettors.
Best Supporting Actress Prediction: Kerry Condon (+180)
2023 Oscars – Best Director – Odds and Prediction
This should be another win for the film that will walk away with the most wins for the entire ceremony. There doesn’t seem to be much suspense in this betting market.
|Best Director – Oscars 2023 Winners Odds|
|Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert (Everything Everywhere All At Once)||-1200|
|Steven Spielberg (The Fabelmans)||+600|
|Todd Field (Tar)||+2000|
|Martin McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin)||+2200|
|Ruben Ostlund (Triangle of Sadness)||+5000|
It seems pretty clear that Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert are going to walk away with this one. While there might not be much value in a straight bet, you could add them to a parlay.
Best Director Prediction: Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert (Everything Everywhere All At Once) (-1200)
Fun 2023 Oscars Prop Picks
While it’s unlikely we get treated to the excitement that was the “Slap Heard Round the World” from the 2022 Oscars, there are occasionally some fun and interesting props that you can attempt to predict.
We’ll highlight a couple here that we think might be worth placing some bets on.
How long will Kimmel’s opening monologue last?
Late Night host Jimmy Kimmel will serve as the MC on Sunday night, and wagering on the length of his opening monologue presents an interesting opportunity.
It’s no secret that the Oscars television broadcast has suffered from a ratings dip in recent years, and one of the main reasons viewers cite is the overall length of the show. Armed with this knowledge, it stands to reason that Kimmel will try to run a tight ship and keep the opening monologue brief. Taking the under here is the way to go.
Jimmy Kimmel Monologue –
Under (in mns)10.5
Best Actor vs. Best Actress – Longer Speech
Speaking of length, it wouldn’t be an Oscars broadcast without a few overly-long, run-on speeches that risk getting played off by the orchestra. Getting the musical hook is typically reserved for those lacking star power, think lowly film editors and make-up artists, so the longest uninterrupted speeches are always made by the A-listers.
That brings us to Best Actor vs. Best Actress for who will talk the longest. If we’re going by our CSB predictions, it’ll be a matchup between Colin Farrell and Cate Blanchett. This makes it an easy call for me, as there are few in the world who can speak longer, and with more enthusiasm, than the Irish. Should Farrell take it, expect a wordy one.
Best Actor v Best Actress – Longer Speech – Best Actor