Colorado visits Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday, Nov. 10, with puck drop against Toronto scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Our Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs prediction is Avalanche team total Over 3.5 goals as Toronto enters on a three-game losing streak after Sunday’s 4-0 defeat against New Jersey. Before placing any wagers, compare NHL betting sites in Canada for current prices and lines.
Our Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs Prediction
Colorado Avalanche Over 3.5 team goals
Colorado’s scoring strength supports backing four goals rather than requiring an Avalanche victory: it ranks third in the NHL at 4.00 goals per game, with 72 goals and 550 shots through 18 regular-season games, approximately 30.6 shots per game. Its latest five games provide distinct recent support: 18 goals and 154 shots, averaging 30.8 shots, with four or more goals in three games.
Toronto has been a subpar team defensively, allowing 3.32 goals per game (21st in the NHL). Injuries to Morgan Rielly and Nick Blankenburg also don’t help Toronto’s cause heading into this matchup.
Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs Odds
| Avalanche moneyline odds | -156 |
| Maple Leafs moneyline odds | +131 |
| Puck line odds | Avalanche -1.5 (+153), Maple Leafs +1.5 (-183) |
| Game total | Over 6.5 goals (-112), Under 6.5 (-108) |
Probable Starting Goaltenders
Colorado: Mackenzie Blackwood (9-4, 2.60 GAA, .901 SV%)
Toronto: Sergei Bobrovsky (3-9, 3.34 GAA, .886 SV%)
Betting the Avalanche (10-8 SU, 10-8 ATS, 12-6 o/u)
Colorado’s 4-0 win over Detroit on Saturday followed a 3-2 loss to Nashville and a 7-2 defeat at Columbus. The shutout was a response to those losses, rather than evidence of an established defensive turnaround. Colorado has conceded 55 goals through 18 regular-season games., allowing 3.06 per game (13th in the NHL).
Offensively, the team is potent, boasting the fifth-highest shooting percentage in the league at 13.1 per cent and the 11th-best power play at a 23.3 per cent conversion rate.
Zachary L’Heureux is unavailable with an upper-body injury, and Josh Manson is unavailable with a lower-body injury.
Betting the Maple Leafs (8-11 SU, 11-8 ATS, 10-9 o/u)
Toronto’s latest three defeats have all come at home, with four goals scored and 11 conceded across losses to Utah, Montreal and New Jersey.
Jim Hiller linked the changing combinations against the Devils to a lack of sustained offensive-zone pressure: “Part of it was, after that first period, we weren’t sustaining much in the O-zone.” His subsequent assessment identifies the practical challenge against Colorado: “It is hard to create off the rush nowadays. You have to spend more time in the offensive zone.”
This team is currently ravaged by injuries, with Morgan Rielly, Jack Roslovic, Kirill Marchenko, and Max Domi, all battling various ailments, among others on the roster. Bettors will want to monitor the news cycle to see if Rielly and Roslovic are healthy enough to suit up for this contest.
Player prop trends
- Artturi Lehkonen has registered two or more shots on goal in seven straight games and nine of his last 10. He’s -145 to record over 1.5 shots on goal.
- Nick Paul has blocked a shot in four straight games and seven of his last 10. He’s -140 to block a shot.
- William Nylander has cleared 2.5 shots on goal in three straight games and seven of his last 10. He’s -135 to record three shots or more.
