Our Blue Jays vs. Orioles prediction for Friday night points to a matchup with clear offensive upside, especially with Toronto trending upward and Baltimore struggling to keep runs off the board. With the Jays looking to climb back to .500 and the Orioles continuing to battle inconsistency on the mound, this AL East clash offers several intriguing betting angles.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles prediction
Blue Jays team total over 4.5 runs: +110 @ Bet99
Blue Jays over 4.5 runs scored
The Blue Jays are in a good position to do some damage on Friday night against Trevor Rogers and the Orioles.
Rogers has been absolutely horrific over his last three starts (17 ER in 12 1/3 innings), and the Blue Jays are one of the best teams in the majors at making contact and putting the ball in play. Baltimore’s bullpen has also been shaky this season, combining for a 4.54 ERA (21st in MLB).
The Orioles are allowing an average of 5.21 runs per game (28th in the majors) this season, one of the reasons why they’re one of the best Over bets on game total in the big leagues (32-24-1 over/under record).
Additionally, the weather forecast is favourable for offence on Friday night, with warm temperatures and light winds blowing out.
As always, shop around for the most favourable odds at the best MLB betting sites before locking in any wagers.
Greg’s Blue Jays predictions are 15-9-2 for +4.29 units this season.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles odds
| Blue Jays moneyline odds | -105 |
| Orioles moneyline odds | -115 |
| Run line odds | Blue Jays -1.5 (+150), Orioles +1.5 (-180) |
| Game total | Over 8.5 runs (-115), Under 8.5 (-105) |
| Date/time | May 29, 7:05 p.m. ET |
Betting the Blue Jays (28-29 SU, 28-29 ATS, 27-29-1 o/u)
The Blue Jays won for the 10th time in the last 14 games after claiming a 2-1 victory over the Orioles in the series opener on Thursday night.
Patrick Corbin allowed a single run and four hits in five-plus innings to continue his great run since signing with Toronto in early April, and now the Blue Jays find themselves just one game below .500 entering play Friday.
Andres Gimenez blasted his sixth home run of the season in the victory, but Toronto did go 0-for-6 with runners in scoring in position.
Betting the Orioles (26-31 SU, 26-31 ATS, 32-24-1 o/u)
Former Blue Jay Chris Bassitt turned in six solid innings of one-run ball against his former club on Thursday, but the Orioles managed just one run on eight hits while going 0-for-5 with runners in scoring position.
The Orioles had managed five wins in six contests heading into Thursday’s series opener with Toronto, but they’ve now lost five straight games to Toronto dating back to last season.
Probable starting pitchers
Toronto: TBD
Baltimore: LHP Trevor Rogers (2-6, 6.96 ERA, 1.62 WHIP, 7.38 K/9)
It’s been an ugly start to the season for Rogers, who has an ugly 12.41 ERA across three May starts against the Tigers, Rays, and Yankees. He coughed up 17 earned runs over 12 1/3 innings in that span, so he certainly won’t be bringing a ton of confidence into this start against Toronto.
Right-handed batters have been killing the southpaw, slashing .328/.389/.522 with a combined .912 OPS against Rogers. However, he’s been extremely effective against left-handed hitters, holding them to a .190 batting average and .589 OPS.
His 4.53 xERA suggests he’s been getting a tad unlucky this season, but Rogers has been a big disappointment overall this season for the Orioles.
Notable injuries
The following players are on the injured list for Toronto:
- OF Anthony Santander (shoulder)
- P Cody Ponce (knee)
- C Alejandro Kirk (thumb)
- P Jose Berrios (elbow)
- P Shane Bieber (elbow)
- P Yimi Garcia (elbow)
- P Bowden Francis (elbow)
- P Dylan Cease (hamstring)
- P Max Scherzer (forearm)
- OF Addison Barger (arm)
- P Joe Mantiply (knee)
- P Tommy Nance (forearm)
The following players are on the injured list for Baltimore:
- P Felix Bautista (shoulder)
- P Zach Eflin (elbow)
- P Dean Kremer (quad)
- P Ryan Helsley (elbow)
- IF Jordan Westburg (elbow)
- 1B Ryan Mountcastle (foot)
- P Cade Povich (elbow)
- OF Heston Kjerstad (hamstring)
- OF Dylan Beavers (oblique)
P Yennier Cano is day-to-day with a hamstring injury.
Weather
Forecasts are calling for clear skies and temperatures around 24 C this evening in Baltimore. Winds will be blowing out to right field at 5 mph.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles betting trends
- The Blue Jays have won the past five meetings dating back to last season.
- Baltimore is 6-11 SU against AL East opponents this season.
- The Blue Jays are 11-16 SU on the road this season.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles player prop trends
- Rogers has recorded under 14 outs in each of his last six starts and is -105 to record under 17.5 outs on Friday night.
- Rogers has walked two or more batters in five straight starts and is -137 to walk over 1.5 batters.
- Nathan Lukes has hit safely in five straight games and is -165 to extend that streak.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has drawn a walk in three straight games and six of his last 10. He’s -160 to get a walk on Friday.
