Tuesday’s massive 13-game NHL slate offers a number of exciting matchups, and a good opportunity to throw a dart on an anytime goal-scorer parlay. Each of our three selections for March 10 appear to provide standalone value, and they’re worth backing as a long-shot parlay at +3215 odds at the best NHL betting sites.
Anytime goal-scorer bets are among the most exciting bets available in any sport. The rush of hitting a long shot goal-scorer is hard to match, but even the NHL’s top scorers are less than 50% likely to score on average, and it is a volatile market subject to randomness, so as always, we do recommend staying within your means. Regardless of the score, any uncashed goal-scorer bet is still live to win, while hitting this type of wager early in any matchup is also extremely satisfying.
Nick’s AGS parlay
Alexis Lafreniere: +240
We outlined Lafreniere to record three shots on goal in Tuesday’s player props piece, and given Lafreniere’s price of +240 to score a goal, I’m willing to double down on the former first overall pick and back him to score as well.
Due to the departure of Artemi Panarin, Lafrenière is now being offered a much greater role skating on the New York Rangers’ top line and top power-play unit. New York’s top trio of Lafreniere, Mika Zibanejad, and Gabriel Perreault had a tremendous showing Monday, as they combined for seven points and nine shots on goal.
Lafreniere, in particular, was notably dominant on Monday, as he recorded a goal and an assist and was named the game’s second star. He had some excellent sequences of play in the offensive zone, and while Zibanejad had a better stat line, Lafreniere did appear to be the Rangers’ most dominant skater.
At the same time that the Rangers were dismantling the Philadelphia Flyers on Monday, Calgary was looking like a pure bottom feeder in allowing seven goals versus a Washington Capitals side that has looked entirely toothless offensively of late. The Flames have allowed 3.50 goals against per game over the last 10 matchups, and will likely continue to feel the effects of losing Nazem Kadri, Rasmus Andersson and MacKenzie Weegar.
In his heightened roles, Lafreniere has recorded nine shots on goal from 18 shot attempts over the last three games, and has scored twice in that span. Considering the soft matchup, +240 seems to be a good price to back Lafreniere staying hot Tuesday.
Brayden Point: +160
The Olympic break afforded Brayden Point the opportunity to get himself fully healthy and prepared for the stretch run. Point has reportedly played through nagging injuries throughout much of the season, which has likely been the main reason that his production has fallen off relative to what we have typically seen from the often-underrated centre, who averaged 46.33 goals over the previous three regular seasons.
Since the restart, Point has put up five goals and 10 points across seven games played. He’s generated 3.62 individual expected goals in that span, which suggests his increased production is sustainable.
A home matchup versus the Columbus Blue Jackets is a fairly solid spot for Point to stay hot. The Blue Jackets have allowed 2.90 goals against per game over the last 10 matchups, and though they have been on fire since Rick Bowness took over as head coach, they still appear to be fairly average defensively and will be playing the second leg of a traveling back-to-back in this matchup.
Cole Perfetti: +275
The Winnipeg Jets have been in desperate need of additional scoring beyond their stacked top line all season long, and they have started to receive a little bit more support from Perfetti of late. Over the last nine games, Perfetti has scored four goals and seven points, and his chance creation numbers are fairly impressive.
Throughout those nine games, Perfetti has generated 4.55 individual expected goals and averaged 3.55 shots on goal per game. The loss of Nikolaj Ehlers has certainly hurt Perfetti this season, but he has started to drive play more effectively of late and is a player that was expected to be a strong producer at the NHL level when he was drafted 10th overall in 2020.
Over the last 15 games, the Anaheim Ducks have allowed 4.21 xGA/60, which is the worst mark in the NHL. They are a fun team to watch and have been a lovable story this season, but still have plenty of room to grow from a defensive perspective. Perfetti recorded two assists and four shots on goal when these sides met on February 27th, and he should have a good chance of authoring another strong offensive performance Tuesday.
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