Champions League Soccer: Marseille vs. Liverpool Best Bet

Liverpool forward Mohamed Salah (11) kicks the ball against Arsenal at Lincoln Financial Field

Marseille welcome Liverpool to the Stade Vélodrome Wednesday in a Champions League knockout clash that blends French flair with English Premier League steel.

Les Phocéens ride high on home passion and counter-attacking threat, aiming to upset the Premier League giants who’ve dominated Europe in recent years. Liverpool counter with relentless pressing, clinical finishing, and Mohamed Salah’s magic, setting up a high-stakes battle where tactical nous meets raw intensity.

Our best bet for this Champions League soccer clash between Marseille and Liverpool is a match draw.

Marseille vs. Liverpool best bet

Marseille vs. Liverpool draw

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  • Following their 1-1 draw with Burnley at home, Liverpool have once again shown they lack the winning edge. The Reds may have dominated statistically, but ultimately failed to secure all three points in a heavily-favoured matchup. The French pack more firepower and are a value pick to hold the visitors to yet another tie.
  • Marseille have done exceptionally well at home this season, returning 2.22 PPG domestically and winning two out of three European home fixtures. 
  • Four of the last five Liverpool games have ended in a draw. The Reds have also managed just two clean sheets in the last seven games.
  • With Liverpool’s inconsistent form and both teams in dire need of points, the draw presents an intriguing value pick.

Marseille vs. Liverpool match context

  • The most important match of this Wednesday’s Champions League fixtures is between Marseille and Liverpool, with the French hosts just three points behind the Reds in the standings.
  • Liverpool are ninth with 12 points, level with Inter, Real Madrid, and Atletico Madrid, but currently out of the spots that guarantee direct qualification to the Round of 16 due to an inferior goal difference.
  • Marseille are 16th with 9 points, having won their last two Champions League matches, and another success would guarantee them a spot in the February playoffs.
  • Liverpool are unbeaten in the last 12 games in all competitions, and bookmakers expect them to win, in a match where the likelihood of both teams scoring is very high, exceeding 65%.

Marseille vs. Liverpool odds analysis

  • Liverpool’s odds suggest they have around a 52% chance of winning this game, whereas Marseille, despite home advantage, have around a 36% chance of emerging victorious. 
  • The Asian handicap for this game is set at +0.5 for the home side, meaning bettors can back Marseille on this market and win should the match end in a draw. Liverpool have drawn four of their last five competitive games. 
  • The Asian goal line for this match is set at 3.0, so there would need to be four goals in the match for those backing ‘Overs’ to win. Exactly three goals would result in the same bettors getting their stake back. 
  • Of the players who are predicted to start, Hugo Ekitike is the shortest-priced to get on the scoresheet. The Frenchman has enjoyed a fruitful debut campaign at Anfield.