Today’s Champions League fixture between Atletico Madrid and Inter Milan promises a tactical battle at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano. Atletico enter with home advantage and recent strong form, while Inter has impressed on the road with a solid blend of experience and attacking flair. Both soccer teams have shown resilience in Europe this season, setting the stage for a closely contested match where strategic defence and moments of clinical finishing will likely decide the outcome.
Our best bet for Atletico Madrid vs. Inter Milan is both teams to score at -152 odds.
Atletico Madrid vs. Inter Milan Best Bet
Both teams to score
The odds indicate that this will be a close game. Inter is one of three teams with a perfect record in the league phase thus far, and the team’s defensive efforts have been a significant factor. However, Diego Simeone’s side has home advantage and a capable forward line, so we are tipping Both Teams To Score – Yes as part of our Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan predictions.
Los Colchoneros have had a hard time keeping clean sheets in the Champions League this season, which is unusual for a Simeone team. Atleti has conceded an average of 2.25 goals per game in the league phase, well above the competition average of 1.71.
Nevertheless, Atletico remains a potent attacking force, especially at home. The team has scored in all nine of its competitive home matches this season, averaging 2.89 goals per game during the run. In the Champions League, Atleti has scored eight goals across two matches at the Metropolitana, so it will be confident of breaking down this Inter defense.
Inter has had a favorable start to the league phase campaign in terms of fixtures, so Atleti represents the Italian club’s toughest test to date. Cristian Chivu’s side has secured away wins over Royal Union SG and Ajax, but those teams are languishing near the bottom.
The Nerazzurri’s last Champions League game was a 2-1 home win over Kairat Almaty. The Kazakh side was starved of possession, but still managed to find the net. Atletico has more incisive players in its forward line, which should prove troublesome for the visitors.
Inter is also a potent attacking force, scoring 2.31 goals per competitive match this season. Chivu’s team has already scored 11 goals in the league phase of the Champions League, a tally only bested by four teams.
Both teams have exceptional attacking output, so backing Atletico Madrid and Inter Milan to find the net looks a solid pick here.
Atletico Madrid vs. Inter Milan match context
Atletico Madrid hosts Inter Milan, seeking its third home win in this Champions League campaign, which would edge it closer to the top eight positions. The visitors, meanwhile, are tied with Arsenal and Bayern at the top, thanks to four victories, albeit against relatively modest opponents on paper.
Following a 4-0 defeat at the Emirates Stadium against Arsenal, the Colchoneros have won their last five matches, keeping a clean sheet in three of them. At home, this year, Diego Pablo Simeone’s side remains unbeaten and has eliminated Inter on penalties in the 2023/24 Round of 16.
The Nerazzurri are coming off a 1-0 defeat in the Milan Derby, their fourth loss in 12 Serie A matches. Interestingly, these two teams have already met this year in a friendly in Benghazi. The game ended 1-1 in regular time, with Atlético clinching victory in the penalty shootout.
According to bookmakers, the home side is favoured, with odds suggesting around a 44% chance of Atletico Madrid securing a win.
Atletico Madrid vs. Inter Milan odds analysis
The Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan odds have the La Liga side as odds-against favourites in the 1×2 market. The current pricing implies a 44.4% likelihood of a home win, whilst Inter is given a 32.3% chance of winning.
Notably, Inter is yet to concede a goal in the Champions League from open play. Atleti, on the other hand, has conceded nine goals in its opening four fixtures.
The Asian handicap of -0.25 has been applied to the hosts. This Asian handicap line requires Atleti to win to return profits. However, if a draw is the best Atleti can muster versus Inter, the -0.25 handicap will return half stakes to punters.
Inter hasn’t won in any of its last 12 European away trips to face a Spanish opponent (D4/L8). The most recent head-to-head against Aleti came in the Round of 16 in the UEFA Champions League in 2023/24. Inter kicked off as favorites in both legs, as both home teams secured home wins. Atleti progressed before being knocked out by Dortmund in the quarter-finals.
The Asian goal line in the Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan odds stands at over/under 2.5 goals. Ten years ago, under a younger, more defensive Diego Simeone, Atleti vs Inter would likely have been a low-scoring tactical battle. In 2025, with the likes of Julian Alvarez and Lautaro Martinez converting any chances afforded to them, it might be a different story.