UFC Betting Trends | UFC 299 Results

UFC 299 Results: UFC 299 went down on Saturday, March 9th from the Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida and was headlined by a UFC men’s bantamweight title fight between ‘Suga’ Sean O’Malley and Marlon ‘Chito’ Vera. O’Malley defeated Vera by way of a unanimous decision, cashing as a -250 betting favourite.

The co-main event saw Dustin ‘the Diamond’ Poirier defeat Benoit Saint-Denis by way of a second-round knock-out. Poirier managed to make the comeback and cash as a near 2-1 betting underdog, once again solidifying his status as a UFC lightweight legend.

UFC 299 also saw the debut of former Bellator interim welterweight title challenger Michael ‘Venom’ Page, as he defeated Kevin Holland in the feature bout of the pay-per-view event. Scroll down to get all the UFC betting trends and results for UFC 299, while checking out the best UFC betting apps available in Canada.

The betting favourite won 9 of 14 fights on the card at UFC 299, with the highest betting favourite, Sean O’Malley, coming through on a long -250 betting line in the main event. The “Over” was the most profitable trend on the night with 11 of 14 fights going ‘Over’ the betting total. A $100 bettor who backed the ‘Over’ in each fight at UFC 299 walked away with a +$450 profit.

UFC 299RecordProfit (Units)
Fight Goes Distance: Yes9-5+3.5u
Fight Goes Distance: No5-9-7.2u
Coin Flip Favourite3-3-0.82u
Coin Flip Dog3-3+0.76u

The “Over” continues to be the most profitable UFC betting trend of the calendar year, having cashed at a 66% rate over the first eight UFC events to take place in 2024. A $100 bettor who has backed in ‘Over’ in every UFC fight in 2024 has turned a profit of +$1570 so far.

To learn more about the most profitable UFC betting trends in 2024, check out the table below.

UFC – Since 2024RecordProfit (Units)
Fight Goes Distance: Yes53-44+12.7u
Fight Goes Distance: No44-53-25.2u
Coin Flip Favorite14-14-3.1u
Coin Flip Dog14-14+4.1u

9 of 14 fights on the UFC 299 card went the distance, including the UFC 299 main event, which saw UFC men’s bantamweight champion Sean O’Malley cash at +130 to win by decision.

Sean O’Malley (c) def. Marlon Vera

ResultMethod PropTotal RoundsDistance Prop
O’ Malley (-250) via
Decision (unanimous)
(50–45, 50–45, 50–44)
O’Malley by Decision +130Over 4.5 Rounds (-142)Fight Goes Distance (+120)

Sean O’Malley came through as a -250 betting favourite in his first title defence at UFC 299 on Saturday evening and avenges his only professional loss in doing so. With the win, O’Malley is now 8-1 in his last 9 pro fights dating back to 2020, turning a profit of +5.29 units on the moneyline in that stretch. After the fight, O’Malley called out newly crowned UFC men’s featherweight champion Ilia Topuria. However, it seems more likely that O’Malley’s next fight will come against another Georgian, current number one contender Merab Dvalishvili.

Dustin Poirier def. Benoît Saint-Denis

ResultMethod PropTotal RoundsDistance Prop
Poirier (+188)
via Second Round KO
(right hook)
Poirier: Inside the Distance (+275)Under 2.5 (-120)Fight Doesn’t Go Distance (-450)

Dustin Poirier pulled off one of the greatest comebacks of his career in the co-main event of UFC 299, cashing as a near 2-1 underdog in doing so. Poirier rallied back in the second round to defeat “The God Of War” Benoit Saint-Denis by way of knock out, cashing at +275 on the ‘Inside the Distance’ prop with the effort. Poirier is now 6-3 in his last 9 UFC bouts dating back to 2019, with 4 of his last 6 wins coming by way of stoppage. In fact, a $100 bettor who has backed Poirier on the “inside the distance” prop in each of his last 9 fights has turned a profit of +$455 along the way.

Michael Page def. Kevin Holland

ResultMethod PropTotal RoundsDistance Prop
Page (+120)
via Decision (unanimous)
(29–28, 29–28, 29–28)
Page by Decision (+225)Over 2.5 Rounds (-180)Fight Goes Distance (-150)

Michael ‘Venom’ Page had a strong UFC debut on Saturday at UFC 299, defeating Kevin Holland by way of unanimous decision, and cashing as +120 underdog. Page managed to slow the fight down to a near walking pace, with the fight easily cashing at -180 to go ‘Over 2.5 rounds.’ With that, the “Over” in the UFC’s welterweight division has improved to 203-122-1 since the start of 2019. A $100 bettor who has backed the “Over” in every UFC welterweight division bout in that stretch has turned a profit of +$3632.

Jack Della Maddalena def. Gilbert Burns

ResultMethod PropTotal RoundsDistance Prop
Della Maddalena (-155)
via Third Round KO
(knee and elbows)
Della Maddalena:
Inside the Distance (+130)
Over 2.5 Rounds (+138)Fight Doesn’t Go Distance (-200)

Jack Della Maddalena turned the tide late in his fight against Gilbert Burns, winning the fight by way of knock out in the later half of the third round. With the win, the betting favourite in the UFC welterweight division has improved to 126-64-1 since the start of 2021.

Petr Yan def. Song Yadong

ResultMethod PropTotal RoundsDistance Prop
Petr Yan (-155)
via Decision (unanimous)
(29–28, 29–28, 29–28)
Yan by Decision (+130)Over 2.5 Rounds (-280)Fight Goes Distance: (-240)

Former UFC men’s bantamweight champion Petr Yan got his name back in the win column to kick off the main card for UFC 299. Yan cashed as a -155 betting favourite over Song Yadong in what was a highly spirited and competitive fight. With the result, the ‘Over’ in the UFC men’s bantamweight division improved to 44-19 since the start of 2023, with all three UFC men’s bantamweight bouts going over the betting total at UFC 299.

UFC 299 Prelim Results

Curtis Blaydes def. Jailton Almeida via Second Round KO (punches)
Maycee Barber def. Katlyn Cerminara via Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28)	
Mateusz Gamrot def. Rafael dos Anjos via Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27)
Kyler Phillips def. Pedro Munhoz via Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27)
Philipe Lins def. Ion Cuțelaba via Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28)	
Michel Pereira def.Michał Oleksiejczuk via First Round Technical Submission (rear-naked choke)
Robelis Despaigne def. Josh Parisian via First Round TKO (punches)
Assu Almabayev def. C.J. Vergara via Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27)
Joanne Wood def. Maryna Moroz via Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28)

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