NBA Betting Preview (March 6): Bucks Vs. Warriors Odds

On Wednesday, basketball fans will be treated to matchup featuring two of the hottest teams in the NBA. The Milwaukee Bucks, who’ve won six games in a row and eight of their last 10, will head west to battle a Golden State Warriors team that has won seven of their last 10.

The game is critical for both teams, especially the Warriors, who sit 10th in the Western Conference and are looking to bounce back after an embarrassing loss to the Boston Celtics.

Bet on Bucks vs. Warriors

MIL +4
GSW -4

Let’s take a look at the matchup, how the two teams stack up against one another, whether Giannis Antetokounmpo will play, and a few of the bets that you should be considering going into this contest.

Bucks vs. Warriors odds

Bucks Moneyline Odds+135
Warriors Moneyline Odds-160
Over/Under227 points (over -110, under -110)
SpreadWarriors -4 (-110)
Time/DateMarch 6, 10:00 p.m. ET
TVBroadcast: TSN4
Stream: NBA League Pass
(How to watch the NBA in Canada?)

All odds courtesy of

About the Bucks (41-21 SU, 27-34-1 ATS, 29-32-1 o/u)

It seems like ages ago that the Bucks were struggling to find answers. Going into the end of January, the Bucks hit a stretch where they were just 4-8 and in the middle of transitioning to a new coach, which was hardly going smoothly.

Yet here we are, the Bucks have won six games in a row, and have only lost twice in their last 10. Even more impressively, they have beaten the Timberwolves, 76ers, and Clippers in that stretch. Now is the time when the best of the best play their A-game and the Bucks seem to be doing just that.

The Bucks have put a little bit of daylight between themselves and the third-place Cleveland Cavaliers in the Eastern Conference. Catching the Boston Celtics seems impossible – they’ve 7 1/2 games up on the Bucks – so securing the second spot in the East should now be the goal.

Even better, the stars seem to be getting hot. Damian Lillard had 41 in Monday’s comeback win over the Clippers and Giannis had a whopping 46 points in the game before that. The Bucks can beat anyone in the league when they play like this.

Going into this game, Antetokounmpo remains questionable with Achilles tendinitis. If the Greek Freak is back, the Bucks will undoubtedly be favoured, but without him they’ll go in as slight underdogs. Still, after beating the Clippers without their star man on Monday night, there should be plenty of confidence in the Bucks dressing room no matter who plays.

About the Warriors (32-28 SU, 32-26-2 ATS, 30-30 o/u)

The Warriors might not be quite as scorching as the Bucks but they are playing quite well of late. They have won seven of their last 10 games, but on Sunday night a thumping loss at the hands of the Celtics (140-88) snapped their three-game winning streak.

The issue for the Warriors, really, is that they struggle to compete with the big boys. Their three losses in that 10-game stretch came at home to the Clippers, at home to the Nuggets, and the aforementioned embarrassment at the hands of the Celtics. Meanwhile, the teams they’ve beaten include the likes of the Knicks, Wizards, Raptors, Hornets, Jazz, and so on. The obvious question, then, is whether the Warriors actually have what it takes to beat good teams.

When things have gone well, the key to success for the Warriors has been balance. Steph Curry continues to be consistent but he isn’t doing it by himself. For example, in the Warriors’ last win against Chicago on Mar. 1, Curry led the team with 25 points, but Jonathan Kuminga had 24, Moses Moody had 16, Klay Thompson had 14, and Chris Paul had 13.

The Warriors aren’t the same dynamic team they used to be. That said, they have the skill and the experience behind them to do damage on the right night. Going into Wednesday’s game as both the favourite and the home team, this could be a huge opportunity for the Warriors to prove they have what it takes to play with the NBA’s best.

Steph Curry over 30.5 points + assists


Injury concerns

The biggest question mark for either team is Giannis. He was ruled out on Monday against the Clippers with an Achilles injury and remains day-to-day. He’ll no doubt be a game-time decision, though it wouldn’t be surprising to see him sit just to be safe. If he’s rested, you can expect the Warriors to remain slight favourites.

For the Warriors, their bill of health is pretty clean. The only blemish is guard Brandin Podziemski (knee) who is probable. Andrew Wiggins is back with the team after missing some time due to a personal matter.

  • Crushing loss to the Celtics aside, the Warriors have actually been quite good when it comes to covering the spread. Prior to failing to cover in that one, they had covered in six of seven and a whopping 11 of 13 games going into that contest.
  • The Bucks are not only finding a way to win, but a way to cover as well. They have covered in all six of their wins on this current streak. Interesting to note, they have also gone under on all six of those games.
  • The Warriors have also been surprisingly adept at hitting the under of late. They are on a stretch of seven games straight hitting the under and 12 of 14 overall. They have just three overs going back to the beginning of February.
  • Lillard’s total when it comes to his points + assists + rebounds is sitting at a high, but reachable, 36.5 (-115). He had a whopping 49 total against the Clippers, though in the two games prior failed to hit the 30-point mark. Still, he’s hit 36.5 in four of his last six, and after almost breaking 50 against the Clippers, things look to be trending up.
  • A key figure in the Warriors’ recent wins, Kuminga has his points + rebounds set at 23.5 (-110). Prior to their drubbing by the Celtics, Kuminga had hit this number in four straight games, with over 30 points + assists against both the Raptors and Knicks.
  • Curry’s points prop looks on the high side this week, at 26.5 (-110). Though the Warriors’ superstar has been playing consistently, he’s only hit 26.5 or more three times in his last 10 games, and only once in his last six.

Wagers to consider

  • While both teams have been automatic of late against the spread, they have also been an automatic under as well. Look for this one to come in under 227 points (-110) as both teams continue to show strong play on both ends of the floor.
  • Lillard stepped up big-time in the absence of Giannis. If the former MVP is out for this contest, look for Lillard to pick up the slack. His points + assists + rebounds total is high but will be more than manageable if he is asked to handle the load (36.5, -110)
  • As we mentioned above, Curry’s points total (26.5, -110) is an interesting one to watch. He hit it against the Knicks, but beyond that has struggled to hit those heights, so we like the under. If you think Curry and the Warriors are going to have a good game, consider Curry’s points + assists prop (30.5, -120 ML), which looks more manageable.