Our Tigers vs. Blue Jays prediction focuses on one of Toronto’s hottest hitters, Kazuma Okamoto, who has been producing at an impressive rate throughout September. We’ll also break down the latest Tigers vs. Blue Jays odds, starting pitching matchup, betting trends, injuries and key player props before making our best bet for Tuesday’s game.
Tigers vs. Blue Jays prediction
Kazuma Okamoto over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs: +105 best odds @ Betano
Okamoto over 1.5 H+R+RBIs
Okamoto is tearing the cover off the ball right now, blasting homers in five of his last seven games, including a three-run blast that should’ve put the game away for Toronto in Monday’s series opener with Detroit.
He’s slashing a solid .318/.388/.727 with a 1.115 OPS in 12 games this month with 10 RBIs and six runs scored in addition to his five homers. And he’s done the bulk of his damage against right-handed pitching, smashing 23 of his 33 home runs against righties while also collecting 69 of his 88 RBIs.
Okamoto is 0-for-1 in his career against Detroit’s projected starting pitcher, Drew Anderson, but he’s the type of pitcher the Blue Jays third baseman typically has success against as an above-average fastball hitter (.505 slugging percentage and 22 home runs off fastballs).
Okamoto has beaten this line in seven of his last 10 games and 11 of his last 20, and at a 51% rate overall this season. At +105 odds (49% implied odds), we’re getting excellent value on this player prop on Tuesday night at Betano.
Tigers vs. Blue Jays odds
| Tigers moneyline odds | +115 |
| Blue Jays moneyline odds | -135 |
| Run line odds | Blue Jays -1.5 (+155), Tigers +1.5 (-185) |
| Game total | Over 8.5 runs (-105), Under 8.5 (-115) |
| Date/time | Sept 15, 7:07 p.m. ET |
Betting the Tigers (71-79 SU, 76-74 ATS, 66-78-6 o/u)
Although still mathematically alive in the playoff race, the Tigers are essentially playing the role of spoiler at this point.
They claimed a come-from-behind 6-5 win in the series opener on Monday night to claim their fifth straight win overall, so they definitely have some momentum coming into the second game of this series with Toronto.
Detroit has scored six runs or more in each game of its current winning streak, averaging 7.6 runs per game during that span.
Betting the Blue Jays (75-76 SU, 74-77 ATS, 78-71-2 o/u)
Squandering a lead late in Monday’s series opener will certainly be demoralizing for the Blue Jays, but they didn’t lose any ground in their pursuit of the final AL wild-card spot after the Chicago White Sox prevailed over the Cleveland Guardians.
Toronto sits just one game out of a playoff spot with 12 games to play, and it does have a favourable schedule down the stretch against opponents with losing records. Heading into Tuesday, FanGraphs is giving Toronto a 36% chance of making the playoffs.
Probable starting pitchers
Detroit: RHP Drew Anderson (4-6, 3.80 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 9.74 K/9)
Anderson has endured a somewhat uneven stretch recently, but the Detroit Tigers right-hander remains a useful arm in their rotation. In his most recent start, Anderson took the loss against the Minnesota Twins, allowing three runs on four hits and three walks over 5 1/3 innings while striking out four.
The right-hander boasts an impressive rising fastball that averages around 95 mph with tons of movement, and he ranks in the 90th percentile in chase rate (35.1%) this season.
He threw four innings of shutout ball while allowing just one hit against Toronto on May 15.
Toronto: RHP Braydon Fisher (3-4, 3.22 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 8.92 K/9)
Fisher will act as the opener as part of planned bullpen day, a role he’s thrived in this season. The right-hander has allowed just one run over nine starts (10 innings) while holding opponents to a .094 batting average.
Spencer Miles and Spencer Arrighetti will likely follow Fisher in bulk relief roles.
Notable injuries
The following players are on the injured list for Detroit:
- P Justin Verlander (hip)
- P Jack Flaherty (forearm)
- OF Matt Vierling (heel)
- OF Kerry Carpenter (foot)
- OF Parker Meadows (forearm)
- P Reese Olson (shoulder)
The following players are on the injured list for Toronto:
- P Trey Yesavage (knee)
- OF Anthony Santander (shoulder)
- P Cody Ponce (knee)
- P Patrick Corbin (shoulder)
- P Shane Bieber (shoulder)
- P Jameson Taillon (elbow)
- P Yimi Garcia (elbow)
- OF Addison Barger (elbow)
- P Jose Berrios (elbow)
Weather
Forecasts are calling for temperatures around 21 C with a 40% chance of showers this evening in Toronto, making opening the retractable dome a tricky call. Winds will be light and will not be a factor if the dome is open.
Tigers vs. Blue Jays betting trends
- The season series is tied 2-2.
- The Blue Jays have hit the F5 team total under in 32 of their last 50 home games.
- The Tigers have hit the run line in 16 of their last 24 road games.
- Toronto has hit the team total over in seven straight home games.
Tigers vs. Blue Jays player prop trends
- Anderson has struck out four or more batters in six straight starts and is -145 to record over 3.5 strikeouts on Tuesday.
- Anderson has walked two or more batters in five of his last six starts and is -120 to record over 1.5 walks.
- Max Clark has hit safely in five straight games and seven of his last 10 for the Tigers. He’s -150 to extend his hitting streak.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has struck out in four straight games and eight of his last 10. He’s -137 to strike out at least once.
- Kazuma Okamoto has homered in back-to-back games and in five of his last seven contests. He’s +370 to go deep.
