And just like that we’re already in Week 6 of the CFL regular season.
The Toronto Argonauts are the only undefeated team (3-0) heading into play this week and they’ll put their flawless record on the line against the Montreal Alouettes on Friday night.
One night earlier, the Hamilton Tiger-Cats will do battle with the lowly Edmonton Elks, who haven’t won a home game in an eternity it seems.
There’s also a doubleheader scheduled for Saturday. In the early game, the Ottawa Redblacks will host the Winnipeg Blue Bombers. And on Saturday evening, the Calgary Stampeders will visit the Saskatchewan Roughriders.
|Team||Grey Cup Outright Odds|
|Winnipeg Blue Bombers||+200|
Hamilton Tiger-Cats @ Edmonton Elks (+2.5, 42.5 o/u)
About the Tiger-Cats (1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS, 2-2 o/u): After a miserable 0-3 start to the season, the Tiger-Cats clawed out an ugly 21-13 win over the Redblacks at home last week. Ottawa came up a few yards short from scoring a last-second touchdown, which would’ve given it an opportunity for a two-point conversion to tie the game and send the contest to overtime.
Additionally, Redblacks quarterback and former Ticats pivot, Jeremiah Masoli, left the game early with a serious injury (more on that below), which lessened the load on Hamilton’s defence for the remainder of the game as Dustin Crum was forced into action at quarterback as a result of the injury.
A win’s a win, but Hamilton’s passing game looked anemic with Matthew Shiltz under centre as he was hesitant to throw the ball downfield in the win. Running back James Butler shouldered the load, with 62 yards on 17 carries to go along with two receptions. This team will struggle to collect wins, and cover the spread, while first-string quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell remains on the shelf with a leg injury.
About the Elks (0-5 SU, 1-4 ATS, 1-4 o/u): The Elks are once again the laughing stock of the league after a brutal 0-5 start. And the dark cloud is still hanging over Commonwealth Stadium, where Edmonton has the dubious distinction of owning a 19-game losing streak in front of its home fans. Overall, the Elks have lost nine straight contests dating back to last season.
Edmonton ranks dead last in the league in points per game (12.4) despite revamping its receiving corps in the offseason. On the defensive side of the ball, the Elks are allowing 24 points per game, the second-worst mark in the CFL behind Hamilton.
- The over is 6-0 in the past six meetings in Edmonton.
- The Elks are 17-38 ATS in their past 55 home games.
- Hamilton is 2-7 ATS in its past nine road games.
Pick: Tiger-Cats -2.5.
Canada Sports Betting’s full game preview can be found here.
Team Total: Elks under 20.5 points
Toronto Argonauts @ Montreal Alouettes (+5, 48 o/u)
About the Argonauts (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS, 2-1 o/u): The Argos have enjoyed two bye weeks already heading into Week 6 so they’ll be rested and ready for this divisional matchup with Montreal. There’s some big news off the field leading up to this one, as the Argos announced a multi-year extension with head coach Ryan Dinwiddie following the team’s 3-0 start.
Toronto’s ground game has been impressive through three games, averaging a league-best 136.7 yards per game. A.J. Ouellette leads the league with four rushing touchdowns (despite the Argos only playing a league-low three games to this point), and quarterback Chad Kelly has scrambled for three touchdowns as well. Montreal is allowing 5.3 rushing yards per play (second-worst in the league), so you can bet the Argos will continue to attack on the ground in this one.
About the Alouettes (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS, 2-2 o/u): After starting the season 2-0, the Alouettes have dropped two straight games to fall back to the .500 mark on the season.
It won’t get any easier for Montreal on Friday night when the Argos visit town, but Montreal has historically dominated Toronto at home, winning six of the past seven meetings at Percival Molson Stadium.
Receiver Austin Mack leads the league with 388 receiving yards and Canadian receiver Kaion Julien-Grant is also third in the stat category with 351 yards.
Montreal leads the league with 12 passing plays for 30 or more yards this season, proving it isn’t afraid to throw deep against the opposition. If the Als fall behind early, they’ll be taking to the air in an attempt to cut into the deficit.
- The under is 21-8-1 in the past 30 meetings.
- The under is 7-0 in Montreal’s past seven home games.
- Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its past five games overall.
Pick: Alouettes +5.
Canada Sports Betting’s full game preview can be found here.
|Home Team||Away Team||Date/Time (ET)|
|Edmonton Elks||+2.5||42.5 o/u||Hamilton Tiger-Cats||July 13, 9:00 PM|
|Montreal Alouettes||+5||48 o/u||Toronto Argonauts||July 14, 7:30 PM|
|Ottawa Redblacks||+9.5||44.5 o/u||Winnipeg Blue Bombers||July 15, 4:00 PM|
|Saskatchewan Roughriders||-1.5||44.5 o/u||Calgary Stampeders||July 15, 7:00 PM|
Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ Ottawa Redblacks (+9.5, 44.5 o/u)
About the Blue Bombers (4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS, 2-3 o/u): The Bombers have been dominant aside from a Week 3 blip on the radar against the Lions.
Winnipeg has won five straight games against Ottawa and the Bombers should cruise to an easy victory in this one as the Redblacks struggle with a quarterback crisis.
The team leads the CFL with 28 pass knockdowns, which is 10 more than the Roughriders who sit second with 18. Willie Jefferson, Evan Holm and Deatrick Nichols are tied for the league lead with five each and the defence is on pace for a league-record 104 knockdowns this season, which would smash BC’s previous mark of 89 back in 1991. And the defence has 16 sacks on the season, which ranks second in the league.
About the Redblacks (1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS, 0-4 o/u): Things have gone from bad to worse for the Redblacks after Masoli suffered a season-ending ruptured Achilles last week against Hamilton.
Ottawa added two quarterbacks — Tyrrell Pigrome (Towson) and Jake Dunniway (Sacramento State) — to its roster after the devastating news, but Crum will be under centre against Winnipeg. Crum recorded a league-best 91 rushing last week to go along with 149 passing yards in relief of Masoli, but he’ll be facing a much better defence this time around.
One bright spot for Ottawa has been the impressive start from its defence, which is allowing 18.2 points per game through four contests. The unit ranks in the top half of the league in a number of defensive categories including yards allowed per game, rushing yards allowed per game, and sacks.
- The under is 4-0 in the past four meetings.
- Winnipeg is 6-0 ATS in the past six meetings in Ottawa.
- The Redblacks are 3-13 ATS in their past 16 games against teams with a winning record.
Pick: Blue Bombers -9.5. This half-point could be crucial, so grab it before the line moves to Bombers -10.
Spread: Blue Bombers -9.5 points
Calgary Stampeders @ Saskatchewan Roughriders (-1.5, 44.5 o/u)
About the Stampeders (1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS, 1-3 o/u): Only the lowly Elks sit below the Stampeders in the West Division standings, so this is pivotal game to get Calgary’s season back on track.
Devastated by injuries on offence, the Stampeders are throwing the ball for just 228.8 yards per game. Only the aforementioned Elks and Redblacks are throwing for fewer yards. Calgary also has a league-worst 56.7% completion percentage and is averaging a paltry 6.8 yards per pass while throwing for just two touchdowns to this point.
Starting running back Ka’Deem Carey is still on the six-game injured list with a toe issue, but Dedrick Mills has filled in admirably with 273 yards and two touchdowns on the ground to make up for the team’s struggling passing game. An additional injury to deep threat Malik Henry, who is out for the season with an Achilles injury, has also hampered the offence.
Despite the team’s recent shortfalls, the Stampeders are 15-5 in their past 20 matchups with Saskatchewan, and have won eight of their past nine games at Mosaic Stadium.
About the Roughriders (3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS, 2-2 o/u): It’s been a pleasant start to the season for the Roughriders, who prevailed 29-26 in overtime over the Stampeders the last time the teams met in Week 3. However, it should be noted that two of their three wins came against the abysmal Elks.
In that Week 3 matchup, lead back Jamal Morrow rushed for 133 yards against Calgary. He’s averaging 5.4 yards per carry and ranks second in rushing yards with 285 through four games.
Saskatchewan quarterback Trevor Harris doesn’t like playing against Calgary, as evidenced by his 2-10-3 all-time record against the Stampeders. He needs just 231 more passing yards to reach 30,000 in his career, a milestone he’ll likely reach this week.
- The under is 5-1 in Calgary’s past six games overall.
- Saskatchewan is 0-4 ATS in its past four home games.
- Calgary is 12-4-1 ATS in its past 17 road games.
Pick: Calgary +1.5.