Looking for the best Blue Jays vs. Diamondbacks odds value on Friday night? Toronto and Arizona clash in Phoenix with the Blue Jays (7–11) bringing a struggling offence to Chase Field, while the Diamondbacks (11–8) lean on a hot start and a stingy pitching staff to maintain one of the best records on the run line in MLB.
Blue Jays vs. Diamondbacks best bet
Andres Gimenez over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs: +105 @ Sports Interaction
Gimenez over 1.5 H+R+RBIs
Gimenez is one of just a few Blue Jays players off to a solid offensive start, with a .292/.333/.492 slash line and three homers in 18 games.
The shortstop has exceeded this line in nine of his 18 games (50% hit rate) this season, including in three of his last four, so we’re getting good value at +105 odds (48.7% implied odds) on this player prop. He’s also hit safely in seven of his last eight contests, including three multi-hit games in that span.
Gimenez has also fared well in a small sample size against Soroka, going 3-for-8 with a pair of home runs and two walks. Left-handed batters have had a fair amount of success against Soroka this season, combining for a .967 OPS.
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Blue Jays vs. Diamondbacks odds
| Blue Jays moneyline odds | +115 |
| Diamondbacks moneyline odds | -135 |
| Run line odds | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+145), Blue Jays +1.5 (-170) |
| Game total | Over 8.5 runs (-120), Under 8.5 runs (+100) |
| Date/time | April 17, 9:40 p.m. ET |
Betting the Blue Jays (7-11 SU, 5-13 ATS, 9-9 o/u)
The Blue Jays have lost five straight series after dropping two of three games to the Milwaukee Brewers earlier this week and now sit tied with the Boston Red Sox for the worst record in the AL East (7-11).
Injuries continue to play a major role in the team’s struggles (see injury section below), as the Blue Jays rank 25th in the majors in runs scored (68) and 22nd in team OPS (.681).
The team’s bullpen owns an ugly 4.52 ERA through 83 2/3 innings and has converted just two of its nine save opportunities.
Betting the Diamondbacks (11-8 SU, 15-4 ATS, 11-7-1 o/u)
Like the Blue Jays, the Diamondbacks are also dealing with a ton of injuries early in the season to many key players, but they’ve still managed a strong 11-8 start.
Arizona’s pitching staff has a combined 3.85 ERA (11th in majors) through 19 games, with the starting pitchers combining for a lower 3.48 mark. Soroka, Eduardo Rodriguez, and Zac Gallen have been terrific out of the gate, helping lift the team to three games above .500.
Offensively, the D-Backs rank in the middle of the pack in the majors in most statistical categories, averaging 4.4 runs per game (14th) with a .376 slugging percentage (eighth).
Probable starting pitchers
Toronto: LHP Eric Lauer (1-2, 7.82 ERA, 1.58 WHIP, 8.53 K/9)
Lauer is coming off a horrific start against the Minnesota Twins, who touched him up for seven earned runs on five hits including two homers. However, he wasn’t too bad in his first two starts, allowing four earned runs over 7 1/3 innings to the Chicago White Sox and Athletics.
The crafty southpaw ranks in the 84th percentile in xBA (.190), suggesting he’s had some bad luck early in the season.
His changeup, which he almost exclusively throws to right-handed batters, has been hit often, with the opposition hitting .308 against the off-speed pitch.
Arizona: RHP Michael Soroka (3-0, 3.82 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 13.21 K/9)
After years of injury setbacks, Soroka appears to have regained his elite form over his first three starts of the season.
He’s shown a dramatic increase in strikeouts, ranking in the 92nd percentile with a 34.3% strikeout rate. His new slurve pitch is showing early dividends, and his revamped velocity on his fastball, which is reaching 97 mph, are two key reasons for the uptick in strikeouts.
Notable injuries
The following notable players are on the injured list for the Blue Jays:
- F Anthony Santander (shoulder)
- P Cody Ponce (knee)
- C Alejandro Kirk (thumb)
- P Trey Yesavage (shoulder)
- P Jose Berrios (elbow)
- P Shane Bieber (elbow)
- P Yimi Garcia (elbow)
- P Bowden Francis (elbow)
- OF Addison Barger (ankle)
- OF George Springer (toe)
The following notable players are on the injured list for the Diamondbacks:
- P Corbin Burnes (elbow)
- P Justin Martinez (elbow)
- P A.J. Puk (elbow)
- 1B Carlos Santana (adductor)
- SS Jordan Lawlar (wrist)
- C Gabriel Moreno (oblique)
- OF Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (knee)
- 1B Pavin Smith (elbow)
Weather
Forecasts are calling for temperatures around 27 C and clear skies this evening in Arizona, so it’s possible this game is played with the retractable roof open. If the roof is open, winds will be light and not a factor.
Blue Jays vs. Diamondbacks betting trends
- Arizona has the best record on the run line in the majors at 15-4.
- The Diamondbacks have hit the team total over in nine of their last 10 games.
- The Blue Jays have hit the F5 team total under in eight of their last 10 games.
- Toronto’s 5-13 record on the run line is the second worst in the majors behind the Philadelphia Phillies (4-14).
Blue Jays vs. Diamondbacks player prop trends
- Diamondbacks infielder Ildemaro Vargas has hit safely in 15 straight games and is -200 to extend that hitting streak.
- Blue Jays outfielder Daulton Varsho takes a seven-game hitting streak into action and is -190 to get a hit. He’s slashing a formidable .385/.407/.808 with three home runs over the last seven days.
- Diamondbacks outfielder Corbin Carroll has struck out at least once in six straight games and is -160 to extend that streak Friday.