UFC 302 Betting Results: Favorites Go 10-2

UFC 302 Betting Results: Favorites Go 10-2

UFC 302 Betting Results: UFC 302 unfolded on Saturday, June 1st at the Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey. The main event featured UFC Lightweight Champion Islam Makhachev, who secured a victory over former UFC interim lightweight champion Dustin Poirier via D’arce choke in the fifth round, confirming his status as one of the top pound for pound fighters in mixed martial arts today.

In the co-main event, Sean Strickland emerged victorious against Paulo Costa in a bout that was strategic but less than thrilling. Strickland, known for his defensive style, won by unanimous decision after what was a slog of a five round fight.

The evening was filled with improvement seen in both veteran and upcoming fighters, showcasing the depth of talent in the UFC. Notable performances included Kevin Holland’s submission victory and Jailton Almeida’s dominant grappling display.

For comprehensive analysis of UFC betting trends and outcomes from UFC 302, and to explore top UFC betting apps available in Canada for the upcoming UFC 303, continue reading below.

At UFC 302, the betting favorite prevailed in 10 of 12 bouts, with both underdogs on the card winning by decision. The “Over” cashed in all but one bout on the card, going 11-1, while 10 of the 12 bouts went the distance.

UFC 302 Betting Results

UFC 302RecordProfit (Units)
Favorites10-2+1.96u
Dogs2-10-6.58u
Over11-1+8.41u
Under1-11-10.09u
Fight Goes Distance: Yes10-2+9.28u
Fight Goes Distance: No2-10-9.49u
Coin Flip Favourite0-1-1u
Coin Flip Dog1-0+1.02u

The “Over” has become the most lucrative betting trend in the UFC in 2024, with nearly two thirds of fights (64.4%) going over the betting total. A $100 bettor who has backed nothing but overs in the UFC in 2024 has earned a profit of +$3604 along the way.

For more detailed information on the most profitable UFC betting trends in 2024, refer to the table below.

UFC – Since 2024RecordProfit (Units)
Favourites151-71+3.78u
Dogs71-151-14.7u
Over143-79+36.04u
Under79-143-51.01u
Fight Goes Distance: Yes119-103+32.5u
Fight Goes Distance: No103-119-47.59u
Coin Flip Favorite38-27+2.9u
Coin Flip Dog27-38-3.53u

The ‘Fight Goes Distance’ prop has cashed in 53.6% of UFC matches in 2024, with 119 out of 222 fights going the full 15 or 25 minutes. Be sure to scroll down for a comprehensive analysis of all betting results and UFC betting trends from UFC 302.

Islam Makhachev (c) def. Dustin Poirier

ResultMethod PropTotal RoundsDistance Prop
Makhachev (-400)
via Round 5 Submission (D’arce choke)
Inside the Distance (-250)Over 2.5 Rounds (+130)Fight Goes Distance: No (-530)

Islam Makhachev secured a fifth-round submission victory over Dustin Poirier at UFC 302, cashing in at odds of -250 to win ‘Inside the Distance.’ With the stoppage victory, Makhachev has now won 7 of his last 8 fights by stoppage. A $100 bettor who has backed Makhachev to win ‘Inside the Distance’ in every fight since 2021 has turned a profit of +$504.

Sean Strickland def. Paulo Costa

ResultMethod PropTotal RoundsDistance Prop
Strickland (-195)
via Decision (unanimous)
by Decision (+160)Over 3.5 Rounds (-120)Fight Goes Distance: Yes (+110)

Sean Strickland emerged victorious over Paulo Costa by unanimous decision at UFC 302, cashing at odds of +160 to win on the scorecards. With the decision win, Strickland has now won 6 of his last 10 fights by decision. A $100 bettor who has backed Strickland to win by decision since 2021 has earned a whopping profit of +$2065 a long the way.

Kevin Holland def. Michal Oleksiejczuk

ResultMethod PropTotal RoundsDistance Prop
Holland (-275) via Round 1 Submission (armbar)Inside the Distance (-115)Under 1.5 Rounds (+116)Fight Goes Distance: No (-250)

Kevin Holland justified his status as a favorite by securing a first-round submission victory over Michal Oleksiejczuk. Holland’s submission skills were on full display, adding another impressive win to his record.

Niko Price def. Alex Morono

ResultMethod PropTotal RoundsDistance Prop
Price (+240)
via Decision (unanimous)
by Decision (+800)Over 2.5 Rounds (+140)Fight Goes Distance: Yes (+165)

Niko Price defeated Alex Morono in what was a very low intensity welterweight match-up. Price cashed as the highest underdog on the card, and is just the 7th welterweight underdog to pick up a victory in 2024. The welterweight betting trend of fights going “Over” the total continued at UFC 302, with all four bouts at 170 pounds going the distance. With that, the “Over” in the UFC welterweight division in 2024 improves to 18-7, with a $100 bettor who has backed nothing but welterweight overs in 2024 having earned +$877 along the way.

Randy Brown def. Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

ResultMethod PropTotal RoundsDistance Prop
Brown (-176)
via Decision (unanimous)
by Decision (+190)Over 2.5 Rounds (-134)Fight Goes Distance: Yes (-112)

Randy Brown emerged victorious over Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos by unanimous decision, showcasing his striking and defensive skills. With the win, the betting favorite in the UFC welterweight division improves to 18-7 in 2024, with a $100 bettor who has backed nothing but welterweight favorites this year having earned +$382 profit along the way.

For a detailed review of UFC 302 prelim betting results, scroll down.

UFC 302 Prelim Results

  • Roman Kopylov (+102) def. César Almeida via Decision (split)
  • Jailton Almeida (-333) def. Alex Romanov via Submission (rear-naked choke)
  • Grant Dawson (-500) def. Joe Solecki via Decision (unanimous)
  • Jake Matthews (-160) def. Philip Rowe via Decision (unanimous)
  • Bassil Hafez (-350) def. Mickey Gall via Decision (unanimous)
  • Ailín Pérez (-205) def. Joselyne Edwards via Decision (unanimous)
  • André Lima (-275) def. Mitch Raposo via Decision (split)

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