NCAA Tournament: March Madness Betting Odds & Notes (March 31)

The 2024 NCAA Tournament’s Midwest Regional final and South Regional final will both feature matchups that college basketball fans have already seen this season. First, No. 1-seeded Purdue will try to top No. 2-seeded Tennessee in the Midwest Regional final just like the Boilermakers did back in late November when they won the Maui Invitational title game against the Volunteers 71-67.

Then, No. 4-seeded Duke will attempt to avenge its 74-69 ACC Tournament loss to No. 11-seeded NC State in the South Regional final. Duke will try to recapture the success it had against NC State during the regular season when the Blue Devils beat the Wolfpack handily 79-64 in early March.

Both matchups could be closely contested, so be sure to check out our expert betting nuggets for the Midwest Regional final and the South Regional final below.

March Madness Schedule For March 31st

TeamTeamDate/Time (ET)
(1) Purdue-3.0o/u 147.5(2) TennesseeMarch 31, 2:20 PM
(4) Duke-7.0o/u 143.0(11) North Carolina StateMarch 31, 5:05 PM

All odds courtesy of

(2) Tennessee vs. (1) Purdue – 2:20 p.m. ET

  • Purdue has gone 9-1 in its last ten games but the Boilermakers have only covered the spread in five of these contests, while Tennessee is 8-2 in its last ten games with a slightly better 6-4 record against the spread.
  • Purdue has put together a 3-0-1 record against the spread this season when favoured by fewer than 5 points, while Tennessee finished with a 2-3 record against the record when getting 5 or fewer points as a betting underdog.
  • Purdue went over the game total in 21 of the Boilermakers’ 31 regular-season games but the team has only gone over in two of its five postseason games, while Tennessee has gone under the game total during seven of the Volunteers’ last ten games.
  • Purdue averaged 83.8 points per game (9th-most in the nation) this season and went 15-13 against the spread and 27-3 overall when the Boilermakers put up over 67.3 points in games, which is the average number of points Tennessee allowed during contests this year (41st in the country).
  • Tennessee averaged 79.1 points per game (35th-best in the nation) this season and went 16-8 against the spread and 22-3 overall when the Volunteers scored over 69.4 points in games, which is the average number of points Purdue gave up during games this year (83rd in the country).
  • Purdue center Zach Edey has averaged a nation-leading 24.5 points per game this season with about one-third of his points coming from the free-throw line, while Tennessee averaged 17.3 personal fouls per game this year (211th-highest in the nation).
  • Purdue and Tennessee have met just once in the NCAA Tournament with the Boilermakers beating the Volunteers in a 99-94 overtime thriller in 2019 during a game in which Tennessee was favoured by 1.5 points.
  • Purdue knocked off Tennessee 71-67 in a regular-season game earlier this season and covered a -3 spread in the process, but two of the Volunteers’ key players Zakai Zeigler and Tobe Awaka were hobbled during the contest and unable to play as much as they’re playing now.

Bet on Tennessee vs. Purdue

PER -3.0
TEN +3.0

(11) NC State vs. (4) Duke – 5:05 p.m. ET

  • Duke went 7-3 outright during the Blue Devils’ last ten games while also going 7-3 against the spread during this same span, while NC State has put together an eight-game winning streak during the postseason and gone 6-2 against the spread since the start of it.
  • Duke has gone under the game total in eight of its last ten games, including all four of its postseason games, while NC State has gone under the game total in four of its eight postseason games, including two of its three NCAA Tournament games.
  • Duke has won more than 84% of its games this season (16-3) when favoured by at least -275 on the money line, while NC State has gone 4-4 outright when facing odds of +220 or worse on the money line this year.
  • Duke averaged 79.0 points per game this season (37th-best in the nation) and went 16-9 against the spread and 21-6 overall when scoring over 72.2 points during games, which is the average number of points NC State allowed to opposing teams this year (160th in the country).
  • NC State averaged 76.3 points per game (78th-best in the nation) and went 11-12 against the spread and 16-8 overall when scoring over 66 points during games, which is the average number of points Duke allowed to opponents this year (21st-best in the country).
  • Duke has shot 38% from behind the three-point line this season (13th-highest in the nation) and over 41% from three through its first three NCAA Tournament games, while NC State allowed opponents to shoot 33.5% from three this year (good for just 150th in the country) but has held opposing teams to shooting just 23.7% thus far in the NCAA Tournament.
  • NC State shot 34.8% from behind the three-point line this season (133rd in the nation) but has managed to shoot 37.1% from three so far in the NCAA Tournament and 39.1% from three in the Wolfpack’s last ten games, while Duke has held opponents to shooting 32% from three throughout the season, including shooting just 23.9% from three during the NCAA Tournament.
  • Duke has gone 96-64 against NC State all time with the Blue Devils putting up a 5-3 record against the Wolfpack over the last 5 years.

Bet on NC State vs Duke

NCS +7.0
DUKE -7.0