Sunday’s Premier League showdown at the Emirates pits title frontrunners Arsenal against a resurgent Chelsea in a London derby packed with stakes and history.
The Gunners, fresh from a dominant North London derby rout, aim to widen their lead atop the table before Manchester City’s game in hand closes the gap, while Chelsea desperately need points to safeguard top-five Champions League hopes amid recent dropped leads.
Arsenal’s unbeaten streak versus the Blues (10 games across all soccer competitions) sets the stage for fireworks, with Arteta’s set-piece mastery clashing against Rosenior’s counter-threat—expect goals, tension, and a potential title-race pivot.
Our best bet for Sunday’s match between Arsenal and Chelsea is under 2.5 goals (+110 @ bet365).
Arsenal vs. Chelsea under 2.5 goals scored
- Chelsea opted for a cautious approach when they played at the Emirates earlier in the month, despite coming into that game trailing on aggregate. Arsenal eventually ran out 1-0 victors, but the Blues could opt for a similar approach once again, which makes under 2.5 goals an appealing bet.
- Arsenal boast the best defensive record in the Premier League, conceding an average of 0.75 goals per game. Chelsea also have a solid defensive record, conceding an average of 1.15 goals per game.
- Both of these teams have tremendous attacking output, but this match should prove to be a tough test for both, which should lead to a low-scoring affair.
- There have been two goals or fewer in the last three league meetings between these sides. The teams drew 1-1 in the most recent Premier League encounter, and the total xG (expected goals) of 2.05 suggests that was no fluke.
Arsenal vs. Chelsea match context
- Premier League leaders Arsenal will host fifth-placed Chelsea at the Emirates Stadium for the most significant match of the 28th Premier League game week, kicking off at 16:30 local time on Sunday.
- Arsenal currently hold a five-point lead over Manchester City, although they have played one more match than Pep Guardiola’s side. Last Sunday, Arsenal secured a 4-1 victory against Tottenham.
- Chelsea are level on 45 points with Liverpool and are chasing fourth-placed Manchester United, who are three points ahead.
- Online sportsbooks have made the Gunners strong favourites for this encounter, with the latest odds giving Mikel Arteta’s team a 63% chance of winning.
Arsenal vs. Chelsea odds analysis
- The Arsenal vs Chelsea odds lean strongly towards the title-chasing home team. Arsenal’s 1×2 market price implies a 63% chance of victory at the Emirates, while Chelsea are given just an 18% probability of an away win.
- The Asian handicap line is set at Arsenal -1.0. Pro-Arsenal bettors need a victory by two or more goals to return full profit. A one-goal home win results in stakes being refunded on both sides of the market, while a draw or Chelsea success ensures the Chelsea +1.0 Asian handicap selection wins.
- The Asian goal line is set at over/under 2.75 goals. Three goals in total give ‘overs’ bettors a half-win, with four or more required for a full payout. Two or fewer goals will mean ‘unders’ bettors finish the game with a win.
- Viktor Gyokeres (+125) and Gabriel Jesus (+125) are the favourites in the anytime goalscorer market. After his impressive performance against Spurs, the former has brought his Premier League goalscoring tally to 10 for the 2025/26 campaign from 8.32 xG. No Arsenal player has scored more than Gyokeres in league action this term, with Eberechi Eze (6) his closest competitor.