Premier League Odds: Leeds vs. Manchester City Best Bet

Elland Road hosts a fascinating clash of styles on Saturday as resurgent Leeds United welcome title-chasing Manchester City in Premier League action.

Leeds come into the game on a four-match unbeaten run and with a notably strong recent home record against Pep Guardiola’s side, stoking belief they can bloody the nose of another heavyweight.

Manchester City, meanwhile, arrive needing points to keep the pressure on Arsenal at the top and extend a five-game winning streak in all competitions, but their away scoring dip of late adds a layer of intrigue to a fixture that rarely lacks drama.

Our best bet for Saturday’s Premier league soccer clash between Leeds and Manchester City is City to win and both teams to score: +210.

Leeds vs. Manchester City best bet

• The two goals Leeds scored at the Etihad Stadium should provide a steady belief within the squad that this Manchester City defence can be exploited at Elland Road. Not only that, but going off City’s performance against Newcastle last time out, it’s glaringly obvious that City are susceptible to conceding against teams willing to commit bodies into the final third.
• ‘Both teams to score – yes’ has won in seven of City’s 13 away games this season, representing a 54% strike rate in this market. 
• Leeds United, on the other hand, have failed to score in only three of 13 home games. That’s the joint-third best return for teams scoring one goal or more at home in the Premier League.
• Leeds typically benefit from playing Premier League games in the evening, with the Elland Road factor amplified under the lights. If Daniel Farke’s side can utiliize the advantage of the home crowd, Man City will not have it all of their own way on Saturday evening.

Leeds vs. Manchester City match context

• Leeds host Manchester City at Elland Road in the closing match of Saturday’s Premier League 28th round, with kick-off at 17:30 local time.
• The match holds significant importance both in the battle to avoid relegation and in the race for the Premier League title. Leeds currently sit 15th with 31 points, while Manchester City are chasing Arsenal at the top, trailing by just five points with a game in hand.
• Leeds are in fine form, having remained unbeaten in their last three matches, including a 1-1 draw away to Aston Villa.
• Manchester City have won their last three league matches and defeated Newcastle 2-1 last weekend.
• Despite Leeds’ good form, bookmakers still favour the visitors, with the latest odds giving Manchester City an implied probability of victory close to 63%.

Leeds vs. Manchester City odds analysis

• Leeds’ win price in the 1×2 market implies a 20% probability of winning the upcoming fixture against Manchester City. The favourites, Man City, have been given odds suggesting a 63% chance of an away victory.

• The Asian handicap line is set at Manchester City -1.0. City has to record a two-goal margin of victory to yield profits on the -1.0 Asian handicap line. A one-goal margin City win will return all stakes to any bettors opting for Leeds or City on this line, while a draw or Leeds win will pay out profits on the Leeds +1.0 Asian handicap.
• The Asian goal line is set at over/under 3.0 goals. If three goals are scored in this game, then all stakes are refunded, regardless of whether opting for ‘unders’ or ‘overs’. If four goals or more are scored, ‘overs’ bettors profit, while two or fewer results in the under 3.0 goal line winning.
• Dominic Calvert-Lewin scored the first Leeds goal at 2-0 down versus Manchester City at the Etihad in November, before Lukas Nmecha scored the equalizer. City went on to win that game 3-2 thanks to a late Phil Foden goal. Calvert-Lewin is the fifth favourite in the anytime goalscorer market to find the net in the upcoming game, with the former Everton striker boasting 10 goals in 19 Premier League starts for his new club.