NBA player props for February 10 deliver prime betting value across tonight’s slate, with sharps targeting overs on a pair of undervalued bench players and one turnover-prone guard. This NBA betting picks guide breaks down the top props to help you crush online sportsbooks before tip-off.
Find expert analysis on the best NBA player prop bets today!
Brandon Williams over 11.5 points (+100)
Brandon Williams over 11.5 points
Williams offers excellent value to clear 11.5 points tonight as the Dallas Mavericks’ key sixth man against a Phoenix Suns team ripe for allowing points to guards.
Over his last 10 games, Williams has averaged 16.8 points on 46.8% shooting in just 21.7 minutes, surpassing 11.5 in nine of his last 10 outings—including 18 points (8-12 FG) Saturday vs. San Antonio. He’s beaten this points line in 26 of his 44 games (59%), suggesting we’re getting excellent value in this spot at even money odds (50% implied odds).
Additionally, with the Mavericks massive 8.5-point underdogs in this contest, you’d have to think Williams will get a large chunk of minutes off the bench if the game script goes Phoenix’s way, which it likely will.
Phoenix will be missing two guards in this matchup, as Grayson Allen and Cole Anthony have both been ruled out.
Stephon Castle over 2.5 turnovers (-130)
Castle over 2.5 turnovers
Castle is beaming with confidence after dropping 40 points in his last game against the Mavericks, but he did turn the ball over six times amidst the offensive outburst. In fact, Castle has turned the ball over three times or more in four straight games, 12 of his last 20 matchups, and in 63% of his games this season. At -130 odds (56% implied odds), we’re getting good value on this prop that is cashing at a 63% rate this season.
Averaging 3.4 turnovers per game this season, don’t expect Castle to tighten up the handles against the Los Angeles Lakers on Tuesday night. LA is forcing 14.6 turnovers per game this season, which ranks right in the middle of the pack in the NBA. With star guard Luka Doncic a game-time decision due to a hamstring injury, the Lakers will be looking to lock in on defence in order to keep this game close.
Josh Okogie over 0.5 steals (+140)
Okogie over 0.5 steals
The Houston Rockets are 8-point favourites over the Los Angeles Clippers on Tuesday at most online sportsbooks, and if the game script goes according to plan, we should see some solid minutes for Houston’s bench players in this contest.
Okogie has quietly been racking up steals, with at least one theft in three straight games and nine of his last 11, despite averaging just under 20 minutes per game this season. One of the first guards off Houston’s bench on a nightly basis, Okogie has recorded at least one steal in 59% of his games this season, revealing exceptional value at +140 odds (41% implied odds) on this prop.
The Clippers rank 23rd in the league in turnovers per game (15.2), leaving them prone to steals and blocks, especially in the wake of a backcourt overhaul at the trade deadline that brought in Darius Garland and Bennedict Mathurin.