Game 4 of the American League Division Series between the Toronto Blue Jays and New York Yankees will get underway in The Bronx at 7:08 p.m. ET, with the Blue Jays still holding a 2-1 series lead over the Yankees in their best-of-five series.
Our best Blue Jays player prop bet for ALDS Game 4 is Vladimir Guerrero Jr. over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. over 1.5 H+R+RBIs
Is it even possible for Guerrero Jr. to get any hotter at the plate right now?
He recorded his third straight multi-hit game of the postseason against the Yankees on Tuesday night, going 2-for-4 with a home run, two RBIs, a run scored, and an intentional walk, which helped us cash our best Blue Jays player prop bet recommendation for Game 3 at juicy +140 odds. Running back this bet on Guerrero Jr. at +200 odds to record over 0.5 walks in Game 4 is plausible, as the logic that New York will continue to pitch around his red-hot bat remains the same heading into this matchup.
Toronto’s hulking first baseman has also homered in three straight games in this series after smashing just two home runs throughout the whole month of September! If you want to back Vladdy to homer in a fourth straight game, a best industry price of around +475 at bet365 does have some value.
Our main play on Guerrero Jr. will be for him to record over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs, a feat he’s achieved in four straight games overall and in nine consecutive contests against the Yankees. In those last nine games against the Yankees, Vladdy has averaged five hits + runs + RBIs with a median of six. Overall, Guerrero Jr. has cleared this betting line at a 60% rate (96 of 159 games), so we’re getting good value on this prop, which has 53.9% implied odds.
Vladdy has also thrived against New York’s projected starting pitcher, Cam Schlittler, going 4-for-5 (four singles) in an obviously small sample size.
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Game 4 ALDS odds
| Blue Jays moneyline odds | +155 |
| Yankees moneyline odds | -185 |
| Runline odds | Yankees -1.5 (+115), Blue Jays +1.5 (-135) |
| Game total | Over 8.5 runs (-110), Under 8.5 (-110) |
| Date/time | Oct. 8, 7:08 p.m. ET |