A pitching edge and a shell-shocked Boston squad following the dismissal of several coaches make Toronto the side to back Monday night, and the latest Red Sox vs. Blue Jays odds point to the Jays as the better first-five wager at Rogers Centre. Dylan Cease has been dealing for Toronto, while Ranger Suarez has been inconsistent enough to give the Blue Jays a strong chance to jump out early and control the game script.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays prediction
Blue Jays F5 moneyline: -135 @ Bet99
Blue Jays F5 moneyline
It may be tempting to take the Blue Jays on the full-game moneyline in this matchup, but it’s tough to trust Toronto’s bullpen right amidst a major shakeup at the back end with a new closer-by-committee approach after closer Jeff Hoffman’s struggles. With a 4.43 combined ERA and just six saves in 13 chances, Toronto’s bullpen can’t be trusted right now.
However, it’s very apparent Toronto has an edge in the starting pitching matchup with Cease on the mound Monday. The hard-throwing righty should have no issues carving up Boston’s strikeout-prone lineup through the early innings of the game, giving Toronto a fantastic chance to build an early lead and help us cash on the F5 moneyline.
Boston has only hit the F5 moneyline in 15 of its last 50 games dating back to last season, so back Toronto and Cease with confidence in this spot.
As always, be sure to shop around for the most favourable odds at the best MLB betting sites before locking in your wagers.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays odds
| Red Sox moneyline odds | +140 |
| Blue Jays moneyline odds | -120 |
| Run line odds | Blue Jays -1.5 (+155), Red Sox +1.5 (-185) |
| Game total | Over 7 runs (-120), Under 7 (+100) |
| Date/time | April 27, 7:07 p.m. ET |
Betting the Red Sox (11-17 SU, 9-19 ATS, 15-13 o/u)
The Red Sox were rocked by the news that several members of their coaching staff, including manager Alex Cora, were fired last Saturday night, but the team responded by claiming a 5-3 over the Baltimore Orioles on Sunday to win that three-game series.
Boston has been one of the biggest disappointments in baseball out of the gates, along with the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets, as the team has struggled to consistently produce offence, especially when it comes to the long ball. With just 19 homers through 28 games, Boston is tied for last in that department with the Milwaukee Brewers and San Francisco Giants.
Boston’s starting pitching staff was projected to be one of the best in the majors heading into the season, but the group has struggled mightily, producing an ugly 4.96 ERA and 1.41 WHIP across nearly 140 innings.
Betting the Blue Jays (12-15 SU, 10-17 ATS, 14-13 o/u)
The Blue Jays have won back-to-back series after taking two of three from the Cleveland Guardians over the weekend to inch closer to the .500 mark. They’ll be looking for a third straight win when they send Cease to the mound on Monday against a Boston squad that is currently in a state of flux.
Toronto’s injury list is quite extensive (see injury section below), which is a major reason for the club’s early struggles, although some key bodies are on the mend and should be returning to action shortly, including Trey Yesavage, who is expected to be activated to make Tuesday’s start against Boston.
Toronto is averaging 4.1 runs per game (22nd in majors) while allowing 4.9 (20th in MLB).
Probable starting pitchers
Boston: LHP Ranger Suarez (1-2, 4.00 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 6.33 K/9)
Suarez, Boston’s prized offseason acquisition, has been hit or miss for the Red Sox through five starts. He allowed exactly four earned runs in three of those starts, but he did hold the opposition scoreless in his other two outings.
Suarez is the owner of an ugly 4.99 xERA (28th percentile in MLB) and .284 xBA (15th percentile) this season, and his 17.8% strikeout rate is far from impressive.
The soft-tossing lefty pitches to contact, which should give the Blue Jays plenty of opportunities to hit the ball hard at Boston’s atrocious infield defence.
Toronto: RHP Dylan Cease (1-0, 2.10 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 15.43 K/9)
Cease has been outstanding for the Blue Jays through five starts, holding the opposition to two earned runs or less in each of those appearances while posting an elite 15.43 K/9 rate.
He ranks in the 93rd percentile in fastball velocity (97.8 mph), 98th percentile in whiff rate (40.1%), 99th percentile in strikeout rate (39.6%), and the 90th percentile in ground-ball rate (55.8%).
Notable injuries
The following players are on the injured list for the Red Sox:
- P Patrick Sandoval (biceps)
- P Sonny Gray (hamstring)
- 1B Triston Casas (abdomen/knee)
- P Kutter Crawford (elbow)
- P Justin Slaten (oblique)
- P Johan Oviedo (elbow)
- 1B Romy Gonzalez (shoulder)
- P Tanner Houck (elbow)
The following players are on the injured list for Toronto:
- OF Anthony Santander (shoulder)
- P Cody Ponce (knee)
- C Alejandro Kirk (thumb)
- P Trey Yesavage (shoulder)
- P Jose Berrios (elbow)
- P Shane Bieber (elbow)
- P Yimi Garcia (elbow)
- P Bowden Francis (elbow)
- OF Addison Barger (ankle)
- OF George Springer (toe)
- OK Nathan Lukes (hamstring)
Weather
Cool evening temperatures around 11 C will likely keep the retractable dome at Rogers Centre closed for this contest.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays betting trends
- The Red Sox have hit the team total over in 10 of their last 12 road games.
- The Blue Jays have hit the F5 team total under in nine of their last 12 home games.
- The Red Sox have only hit the F5 moneyline in 15 of their past 50 games.
- The Blue Jays have hit the team total over in 28 of their past 45 games at home.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays player prop trends
- Cease has recorded under 17.5 outs in four of his five starts this season. He’s -105 to last under six innings on Monday night.
- Wilyer Abreu, Marcelo Mayer, and Carlos Narvaez have all hit safely in five straight games. Abreu is -165 to get a hit, Mayer is -135, and Narvaez is +100.
- Blue Jays infielder Ernie Clement has exceeded 1.5 total bases in five straight games and is +107 to extend that streak.
- Red Sox outfielder Roman Anthony has drawn at least one walk in five straight games and is -130 to extend that streak.
- Red Sox first baseman Willson Contreras has homered in back-to-back games and is +525 to go deep.
