Monday’s 10-1 defeat in the series opener marked the lowest point of a highly disappointing season for the Blue Jays. Toronto responded with an encouraging offensive performance on Tuesday, racking up nine runs and 13 hits while displaying an improved approach at the plate. Building on that breakout could prove difficult against red-hot ace Logan Webb, but Toronto should still have a strong chance in this matchup with Dylan Cease set to toe the rubber. Our Blue Jays vs. Giants prediction for Wednesday’s series finale will target under 7 runs at -115.
After a winning selection backing the Jays last Friday, Nick holds a record of +0.74 units across 15 MLB betting predictions this season.
Blue Jays vs Giants Prediction: Under 7 Runs -115 (Play to -120)
Under 7 runs
It seems possible that Tuesday’s performance will spell a turnaround for the Blue Jays offensively. Hitting coach David Popkins’ comments regarding the adjustments the team needs to make at the plate sounded accurate, and the team’s desire to turn it around feels palpable.
As an optimist that has had a hard time accepting the year-over-year offensive dropoff, though, I’ve felt this way before this season, such as following their blowout win on Canada Day or last month’s three-game sweep at Fenway Park.
What we know for certain, though, is that Giants starter Logan Webb has been in tremendous form of late and will offer a difficult test. In seven starts since returning from the IL, Webb has pitched to an ERA of 2.18 and an xERA of 3.21.
While Toronto may struggle to generate much off of Webb, Cease should give the team a fighting chance in this matchup, even if it is to offer another modest offensive output. Over his last five starts, Cease has pitched to an xERA of 2.23, racked up 14.29 strikeouts per nine, and been hard-hit 25.1% of the time.
Slightly greater efficiency from Cease would be ideal, but his recent underlying profile is about as impressive at it gets, and he’s obviously been effective where it counts with a 2.22 ERA throughout his last five outings.
Toronto’s top relief options are still relatively well-rested entering this matchup, and Louis Varland, Tyler Rogers and Jeff Hoffman will all be prepared to follow Cease into this matchup.
Blue Jays vs Giants odds
| Blue Jays moneyline odds | -120 |
| Giants moneyline odds | +100 |
| Run line odds | Blue Jays -1.5 (+155), Giants +1.5 (-185) |
| Game total | Over 7 runs (-120), Under 7 (+100) |
| Date/time | July 8, 3:45 p.m. ET |
Odds courtesy of bet365.
Betting Toronto Blue Jays
Everything Popkins said prior to Tuesday’s matchup seemed to be pretty spot-on, and the lineup did appear to do a relatively good job of making the adjustments recommended by their hitting coach. Popkins pushed the need for more fearlessness and commitment at the plate, attempting to stray away from an approach that had become notably defensive.
Hunt good pitches, put your best swing on it, and don’t be afraid of the outcome. The team also introduced a new home run Dragon in the dugout, which was brought out early following Jonatan Clase’s three-run blast in the second inning.
The one caveat to Toronto’s highly positive performance on Tuesday is that Giants starter Trevor McDonald has not been overly effective this season and was a fairly soft target. Even still, we have obviously seen the Jays lineup tamed by plenty of mediocre starters recently.
Since June 1st, the Blue Jays have hit to a wRC+ of 89 and rank 27th in both BB/K ratio and hard-hit rate. There’s been some positive showings mixed in, but specifically coming out of the series in Seattle, it’s been plain to see the overall lack of confidence among the lineup.
Since returning from his most recent IL stint, Cease has been absolutely dominant, and the only slight knock comes in the fact that he’s averaged less than six complete innings in that time frame. He’s allowed an xBA of .164, holds a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 26.1%, and managed a swinging strike rate of 15.5%.
One positive development for the team has been the return to form from Hoffman. Based on underlying indicators Hoffman did have a notably unlucky start to the year, but obviously many fans had grown tired of hearing that and simply wanted to see results where it counts, which have come to fruition of late.
Hoffman enters this matchup in the midst of a 12-inning scoreless streak, in which he’s struck out 12.0 batters per nine and holds an xERA of 1.96.
Betting San Francisco Giants
Webb pitched to an ERA of 3.22 across 207 innings in 2025 and has been one of the NL’s most consistently effective starters over the last six seasons. After a surprisingly poor start to the season, Webb has turned things around and has looked more like the excellent ground-ball pitcher we are used to seeing.
Webb pitched to an ERA of 3.10 inside the pitcher-friendly confines of Oracle Park last season and holds an ERA of 3.33 across 46 innings at home this year.
Over his last 45 and 1/3 innings, Webb has worked an ERA of 2.18 and an xERA of 3.21. He holds a Pitching+ rating of 104 in that span, and holds a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 15.5%. He was roughed up in his last start, but it was on a day with ideal hitting conditions at Coors Field.
The Giants bullpen has been a concern recently, as their relievers hold an xERA of 4.20 and xFIP of 4.40 over the last 30 days, to go alonside an actual ERA of 5.25.
As has been noted numerous times on the Blue Jays broadcasts in this series, the Giants lineup holds better offensive splits than would generally be expected from a team sporting a record of 38-53. Over the last 30 days they rank 13th in wRC+, and have slugged .446.
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