
In this article, Canada Sports Betting’s Nick Martin breaks down the two best NHL player prop picks that provide value at online sportsbooks today (4/9/26).
These player prop guides enter Thursday’s slate up +6.14 units across 167 selections this season, after a split on Wednesday night’s card. A 3.8% ROI is far from bad, and I’m happy to be a transparent figure in this space, but I’d really love to get things back on track entering what should be a very exciting postseason.
We’ve got two exciting player prop plays to outline Thursday.
Tim Stutzle/Jake Sanderson 1+ Point Each: +105
Stutzle/Sanderson points parlay
Thanks to a pair of convincing offensive outbursts against the Carolina Hurricanes and Tampa Bay Lightning, the Ottawa Senators’ hopes of making the playoffs are now entirely back in their hands, as a 4-0 finish would guarantee a playoff berth. They are massive -305 favourites in Thursday’s matchup versus the Florida Panthers, who shocked the Senators on April 31st.
Chances are we will not see a similar result in this matchup as we did on April 31st, but at worst, we should see Ottawa generate a strong offensive output.
Over the last 30 games, the Senators lead the league with a 4.17 xGF/60 rating and have scored 3.50 goals per game where it counts. Their more lacklustre recent offensive performances came with numerous key defenders out of the lineup, including Jake Sanderson, whose recent return was a key reason for the team’s two most recent offensive outbursts versus a pair of high quality opponents.
Over his last 15 games played, Sanderson has registered 11 points, and he had one of his better offensive performances of the season versus the Lightning on Tuesday. The Senators have spent the second most time of any team in the league in the offensive zone, and many of those minutes involve Sanderson attacking alongside Ottawa’s top offensive trio of Stutzle, Drake Batherson, and Claude Giroux.
With Sanderson back in the role as quarterback, Ottawa’s power play also looks quite convincing and ranks 11th in success rate over the last 25 games.
Stutzle has been one of the NHL’s more consistent producers in the final third of the year, having put up 33 points across the last 30 games, registering at least one point in 25 of those matchups.
He’s shown plenty of offensive flash in many regards, but one thing that’s really stood out to me lately is the way that Stutzle is using his exceptional skating ability to create ultra-dangerous chances off the rush and draw teams out of position. I’m not a huge believer in the predictive relevancy of many NHL Edge metrics, but I wasn’t surprised when I looked and saw Stutzle is in the 96th percentile in terms of max skating speed and 98th percentile in terms of average miles skated per game.
The decimated Panthers have allowed 3.64 goals per game over the last 25 matchups. With many key pieces sidelined, they aren’t the same team defensively we are used to seeing, while Sergei Bobrovsky and Daniil Tarasov have both struggled in goal.
In a game where the Senators should manage a strong offensive output, a price of +105 for Stutzle and Sanderson each to record a point looks quite appealing.
Trevor Moore Over 2.5 Shots on Goal: -115
Trevor Moore over 2.5 SOG
Moore has offered highly consistent shot volume of late, playing on what has been a really effective second line alongside Quinton Byfield and Alex Laferriere. Over the last 10 games, Moore has averaged 3.2 shots on goal per game as well as 5.6 shot attempts per game.
The Moore-Byfield-Laferriere trio has generated 3.18 xGF/60 across 215.4 minutes this season for the Los Angeles Kings and has generated 74.11 shot attempts per 60, which is the highest rate of any Kings line to spend over 100 minutes together.
The trio gets an appealing matchup to generate chances Thursday versus a Vancouver Canucks side that has allowed 29.87 shots against per 60 across 20 games since the Olympic break.
Elias Pettersson’s line has played some highly low-event hockey, while the team’s top defensive pairing of Filip Hronek and Zeev Buium has also been respectable defensively. The depth units have been getting crushed defensively, though, and the Kings’ second trio should spend a lot of time in highly favourable matchups in this game.
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