
Futures lines, offered by top online sportsbooks everywhere these days, add excitement to a sports season and can be very profitable. That is true in the National Football League and odds to win the Super Bowl after posted shortly after the Vince Lombardi Trophy is hoisted on Championship Sunday. The numbers can change rapidly and this page will be updated regularly during the exciting NFL season.
Super Bowl Futures 2019
Part of the sports wagering landscape, 365 days a year now, the NFL has become a twelve month passion for pigskin prognosticators. From Super Bowl and Team Win Total odds, to prices on the MVP and Rookie of the Year, top ranked CSB bookmakers keep their betting boards well stocked with NFL futures options. Our odds display “week over week” changes and CSB readers are invited to check back anytime for regularly updated NFL Championship lines – plus postseason predictions.
Next Important Date: NFL Draft April 26–28, 2018.
NFL Futures Line Movement: Gain: Return Rose Drop: Return Fell: Steady: No Move
Previous Update: 3:00 PM ET on March 16, 2018.
SportsInteraction SB LIII Futures Update 1:00 PM ET on April 14, 2018.
NFL Bold Selection Status: Kicked Off – Sacked – Touchdown
Hot and Not: Pre NFL Draft Super Bowl 53 Odds Update
Never slumbering, National Football League Super Bowl LIII prices continue to shift as we are now just two weeks away from the 2018 NFL Entry Draft. New England slipped for a second straight update as the Patriots opening odds have inflated from (+450) on 13/02/18 to their current (+550) line. Philadelphia (+850) remained steady while Minnesota lost some value as the Vikings fell from (+1000) to (+850) at SportsInteraction. The biggest mover, since our last update, was Los Angeles as the Rams line (+1600 to +900) dropped down dramatically.
No team has been busier than the Rams who acquired boom-or-bust fantasy WR Brandin Cooks from the Patriots and defensive terror NT Ndamukong Suh who left Miami as a free agent. Pittsburgh retained the fifth chalk slot as the Steelers (+1100) price went unchanged. San Francisco (+1400 to +1200) moved to the sixth favorite while Green Bay (+1100 to +1400) fell from fourth to seventh chalk. New Orleans (+1500 to +2000) gained value and fell to eighth while Houston and Jacksonville (+2200 to +2000) round out the top ten.
NFL 2018-19 Super Bowl LIII Futures Movements
16/03/18 Super Bowl LIII New Year Odds Update
Welcome to the 99th National Football League season as March 14 was the official start of the 2018-19 NFL campaign. While many deals leaked out prior, players were not allowed to sign with a new team until 4:00 PM ET. Once the floodgates opened, clubs started doling out dough like drunken Sailors on shore leave. QB Kirk Cousins was one of the first players to load up as the former Washington Redskins pivot signed a three-year deal worth $84 with the Minnesota Vikings. Cousins’ windfall is historic as the first fully guaranteed NFL contract.
With the first wave of free agency now washed over us, 26 of the 32 NFL squads had a Super Bowl 53 price change at top rated CSB sportsbooks like SportsInteraction. New England and Philadelphia remain as top two 2019 NFL Championship chalk though the Patriots (+450 to +500) and Eagles (+600 to +850) both had price adjustments. Minnesota (+1200 to +1000) moved into the third chalk slot while Green Bay (+1000 to +1100) and Pittsburgh (+1400 to +1100) round out the top five favorites. Next Important Date: NFL Draft April 26–28, 2018.
13/02/18 Super Bowl LIII Opening Odds
Confetti has barely settled, after the Philadelphia Eagles exciting 41-33 Super Bowl 52 win over the New England Patriots, and top ranked online bookmakers have already set the bars for the 53rd NFL Championship clash. Familiar faces abound as Tom Brady & Crew (+450) are in their usual top perch position while the Eagles (+600) are lurking just below. It is large digits after that as Green Bay (+900) Minnesota (+1200) and Pittsburgh (+1200) round out the top five. The Cowboys, Saints, Rams and Falcons are next with a (+1800) price.
At the other end of the spectrum, 2018 Wild Card Crews Tennessee (+5000) and Buffalo (+6660) have been installed as hefty Super Bowl 53 underdogs. If we had to pick which team will fall further – we would take the Bills as the Titans still have key pieces in place. Cleveland, who are riding a 1-31 two-season losing streak, are an opening odds longshot. We will go out on a limb and say there will be at least two teams that finish below the Browns. These lines will mellow some now but we will be back with updates as warranted.
13/02/18 Super Bowl LII Pick: Minnesota Vikings (+1200) 1-Unit @ SportsInteraction
2018-19 AFC Championship: Pre NFL Draft Update
We have a boatload of “No Change” on our American Football League Championship futres board as odds movement has been very scare over the past month. New England continues to lead the way as top chalk but we are starting to wonder if this the year the Patriots finally take a slight step back. We’ve been waiting for a Pats lag for over a decade now – though it remains difficult to bet against Bill Belichick, Tom Brady & Crew. Pittsburgh retains their clear AFC second chalk status while Jacksonville nudged ahead of Houston by a US Benjamin.
All four AFC West teams are bunched in the fifth to eighth slots as Denver, Oakland, Los Angeles and Kansas City are priced from (+1200) to (+1500) at top rated CSB sportsbooks. Baltimore and Tennessee round out the top ten and the Titans (+2200) BetWay money line deserves some preseason consideration. Squads bringing up the rear, Indianapolis, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Miami, New York and Cleveland do not warrant a wager or consideration at this point. Out of the bottom feeder group – keep an eye on Cleveland. Did we just type that?
2019 AFC Championship Odds Table: Teams are listed by the final 2017 AFC Standings.
Latest Price Update: 1:00 PM ET on April 14, 2018. Shaded Green: Best Price!
2018-19 AFC Championship Futures Movement
16/03/18 AFC 2019 Championship Opening Odds
Very early in the new season, NFL Conference Championship odds are still being prepped at two of our top four NFL recommended sportsbooks. We imagine they are waiting on more player movement as there are several free agents still available on the open market. Of the deals already done, notable AFC signings included QB Case Keenum moving from Minnesota to Denver and Teddy Bridgewater landing in New York with the Jets who also re-signed Josh McCown. For as busy as they’ve been – the Jets (+5000) are top AFC Championship pups.
Pittsburgh is still negotiating with stud RB Le’Veon Bell who has backed off “retirement” talk after the Steelers placed a Franchise Tag on him. RB Dion Lewis jumped from New England to Tennessee as he inked a 4-year 19.8M deal with the Titans. RB Carlos Hyde moved from San Francisco to Cleveland and he will step in to replace Isaiah Crowell who is now with the Jets. Though we can never be sure what’s going on in the New England backfield – Rex Burkhead signed a 3-year $9.75 deal to remain in New England. The Patriots lost a few key players.
Former Miami WR Jarvis Landry will get paid $15.92M to play in Cleveland during the 2018 NFL season. While they still need a franchise pivot (QB Tyrod Taylor isn’t) Cleveland lost half of their AFC Championship value at Bet365. Another guy who can show up or not, on any given Sunday, WR Sammy Watkins left Super Bowl contender Los Angeles Rams and signed a $48M deal with NFL Championship pretender Kansas City Chiefs. WR Marquise Lee re-signed with Jacksonville although the Jags did lose stud WR Allen Robinson to the Chicago Bears.
AFC Championship Investment: Buy Jacksonville Jaguars (+900) 2-Units @ Bet365
2019 AFC Championship Odds Table: Teams are listed by the final 2017 AFC Standings.
Latest Price Update: 3:00 PM ET on March 16, 2018. Shaded Green: Best Price!
13/02/18 AFC 2019 Championship Opening Odds
At some point, the New England and Pittsburgh gravy trains are going to hit the end of the line. While we do not see either franchise falling completely off the tracks – a realignment period is on the horizon for both squads. Bookmakers don’t see the 2018-19 NFL season as the end of the line though as the Patriots (+200) at Betway and the Steelers (+450) at Bet365 are once again runaway favorites to win the AFC. The drop is steep after that as Jacksonville (+900) Houston (+1000) and Kansas City (+1200) best buy prices round out the first five.
AFC Dog With A Shot Watch: Tennessee Titans (+2200) @ Betway
2019 AFC Championship Odds Table: Teams are listed by their 2017 Final AFC Standings.
Latest Price Update: 8:00 PM ET on February 13, 2018. Shaded Green: Best Price!
2018-19 NFC Championship: Pre NFL Draft Update
Movement was more plentiful in the National Football Conference as several teams had price changes – either inflated or deflated. As mentioned in the Super Bowl section, Los Angeles had the largest line change as the Rams have reloaded and their NFC Championship price (+1100 to +550) took a hit Betway. Already one of the better NFL defenses, the Rams will be even stouter with Ndamukong Suh stopping the run and rushing the passer this season. The defending Champs remain as top chalk though the Eagles odds did bump up a bit.
Green Bay continues to get a ton of respect as the Packers third favorite best value price is (+600) at Betway. Minnesota saw their odds drop slightly as the Vikings (+750) opening line is down to (+700) across the board. Dallas begins a new era as they cut WR Dez Bryant loose and that caused SIA bookmakers to raise (+900 to +1000) the Cowboys price. We are not sure what Betway bookmakers see but they have lower the New Orleans line from (+1000) to (+900) while SIA and Bet365 both kept the Saints as (+1200) quad digit mid-range pups.
2019 NFC Championship Odds Table: Teams are listed by the final 2017 NFC Standings.
Latest Price Update: 1:00 PM ET on April 14, 2018. Shaded Green: Best Price!
2019 NFC Championship | ||||
Philadelphia Eagles | +500 to +550 | OTB | +500 to N/C | +500 to +550 |
Minnesota Vikings | +750 to +700 | OTB | +700 to N/C |
+700 to N/C |
Los Angeles Rams | +1000 to +700 | OTB | +1000 to +700 | +1100 to +550 |
New Orleans Saints | +1200 to N/C | OTB | +1200 to N/C | +1000 to +900 |
Carolina Panthers | +1200 to N/C | OTB | +1200 to N/C | +1200 to +1400 |
Atlanta Falcons | +1000 to N/C | OTB | +1000 to N/C | +900 to +1000 |
Detroit Lions | +1800 to +2000 | OTB | +2000 to N/C | +2000 to +2200 |
Seattle Seahawks | +1200 to +1400 | OTB | +1200 to +1500 | +1200 to +1400 |
Dallas Cowboys | +900 to +1000 | OTB | +900 to N/C | +1000 to N/C |
Ariziona Cardinals | +2800 to +3300 | OTB | +3300 to N/C | +3300 to +4000 |
Green Bay Packers | +500 to N/C | OTB | +500 to N/C | +550 to +600 |
Washington Redskins | +2200 to +2800 | OTB | +2500 to N/C | +2500 to +2800 |
San Francisco 49ers | +1100 to +1000 | OTB | +1000 to N/C | +1000 to N/C |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +2800 to +3000 | OTB | +2800 to N/C | +3300 to N/C |
Chicago Bears | +5000 to N/C | OTB | +5000 to N/C | +6600 to N/C |
New York Giants | +2500 to +2800 | OTB | +2800 to N/C | +3300 to N/C |
2018-19 NFC Championship Futures Movement
16/03/18 NFC 2019 Championship Opening Odds
Player movement was plentiful in the National Football Conference as well as several studs will have new homes this season. While Kirk Cousins’ deal garnered the most attention, a couple of key NFC pivots re-signed as QB Drew Brees (3-years $84M) and Jimmy Garoppolo (5-years $137.5M) will be back the Saints and 49ers respectively. Sam Bradford is also out of the mix in Minnesota as the oft-injured pivot signed a 1-year $20M deal with Arizona. Brees remaining in New Orleans caused the Saints NFC price (+1200 to +1000) to fall at Betway.
Minnesota players made a lot of early headlines as RB Jerick McKinnon left the Vikings to replace RB Carlos Hyde in San Francisco. Under HC Kyle Shannahan, and just 25-years old, McKinnon is projected to take on RB/WR usage roll similar to what RB Devonta Freeman had when Shannahan was the OC in Atlanta. After being the 26th worst rushing team last season – we’re not sure why the New York Giants signed 31-year old RB Jonathan Stewart though he does have connections with NYG GM Dave Gettleman and their new OC Mike Shula.
Most of the early WR movement has been in the AFC, or players moving out of the NFC, and WR Jordy Nelson is big name in the latter group. After nine-seasons in Green Bay, Nelson is now in Oakland with a 2-year $15M contract. This move comes after the Raiders cut WR Michael Crabtree who remains in free agent pool. Very chameleon like, fifth-year WR Taylor Gabriel leaves Atlanta hoping for a fresh start in Chicago. TE Jimmy Graham left Seattle for a 3-year $30M deal in Green Bay though the Packers price at Betway (+500 to +550) inflated.
NFC Championship Investment: Consider San Francisco 49ers (+1000) @ Betway
2019 NFC Championship Odds Table: Teams are listed by the final 2017 NFC Standings.
Latest Price Update: 3:00 PM ET on March 16, 2018. Shaded Green: Best Price!
2019 NFC Championship | ||||
Philadelphia Eagles | +500 to OTB | OTB | +500 to N/C | +450 to +500 |
Minnesota Vikings | +750 to OTB | OTB | +750 to +700 | +700 to +650 |
Los Angeles Rams | +1000 to OTB | OTB | +1000 to N/C | +1200 to +1100 |
New Orleans Saints | +1200 to OTB | OTB | +1200 to N/C | +1200 to +1000 |
Carolina Panthers | +1200 to OTB | OTB | +1200 to N/C | +1200 to N/C |
Atlanta Falcons | +1000 to OTB | OTB | +1000 to N/C | +900 to N/C |
Detroit Lions | +1800 to OTB | OTB | +1800 to +2000 | +1800 to +2000 |
Seattle Seahawks | +1200 to OTB | OTB | +1200 to N/C | +1200 to N/C |
Dallas Cowboys | +900 to OTB | OTB | +900 to N/C | +900 to +1000 |
Ariziona Cardinals | +2800 to OTB | OTB | +2800 to +3300 | +3300 to N/C |
Green Bay Packers | +500 to OTB | OTB | +500 to N/C | +550 to N/C |
Washington Redskins | +2200 to OTB | OTB | +2200 to +2500 | +3300 to +2500 |
San Francisco 49ers | +1100 to OTB | OTB | +1200 to +1000 | +1200 to +1000 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +2800 to OTB | OTB | +2800 to N/C | +3300 to N/C |
Chicago Bears | +5000 to OTB | OTB | +5000 to N/C | +5000 to +6600 |
New York Giants | +2500 to OTB | OTB | +2800 to N/C | +3300 to N/C |
13/02/18 NFC 2019 Championship Opening Odds
Often the case, the defending Champs are early chalk to claim the NFC title as Philadelphia has opened with (+500) best value at SportsInteraction. Feeling Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers returns 100% from his broken collarbone – Betway has posted the Packers (+550) as second favorites. Minnesota is going to be better on offence and Bet365 has the Vikings (+750) as third chalk. Dallas (+900) is fourth overall while Atlanta at (+1000) rounds out the top five NFC contenders. San Francisco is receiving huge respect with a (+1200) NFC title price.
13/02/18 Early NFC Championship Call: Minnesota Vikings (+750) 1-Unit @ Bet365
2019 NFC Championship Odds Table: Teams are listed by their 2017 Final NFC Standings.
Latest Price Update: 8:00 PM ET on February 13, 2018. Shaded Green: Best Price!
2019 NFC Championship | ||||
Philadelphia Eagles | +500 | OTB | +500 | +450 |
Minnesota Vikings | +750 | OTB | +750 | +700 |
Los Angeles Rams | +1000 | OTB | +1000 | +1200 |
New Orleans Saints | +1200 | OTB | +1200 | +1200 |
Carolina Panthers | +1200 | OTB | +1200 | +1200 |
Atlanta Falcons | +1000 | OTB | +1000 | +900 |
Detroit Lions | +1800 | OTB | +1800 | +1800 |
Seattle Seahawks | +1200 | OTB | +1200 | +1200 |
Dallas Cowboys | +900 | OTB | +900 | +900 |
Ariziona Cardinals | +2800 | OTB | +2800 | +3300 |
Green Bay Packers | +500 | OTB | +500 | +550 |
Washington Redskins | +2200 | OTB | +2200 | +3300 |
San Francisco 49ers | +1100 | OTB | +1200 | +1200 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +2800 | OTB | +2800 | +3300 |
Chicago Bears | +5000 | OTB | +5000 | +5000 |
New York Giants | +2500 | OTB | +2800 | +3300 |
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NFL 2017-18 Super Bowl 52 Futures Movements
05/02/18 Philadelphia Super Bowl 52 Champs
Congratulations to the Philadelphia Eagles on their spectacular 41-33 Super Bowl 52 victory over the New England Patriots. Sports fans were treated to a great match as the 2018 NFL Championship clash was loaded with twists and turns from the Coin Toss to the final whistle. In the end, gutsy play calling by Eagles HC Doug Pederson, plus near flawless play by SB MVP QB Nick Foles, was the difference. While we were on the Patriots – our futures bets put us in a no-lose position and that’s exactly were bettors want to be on Super Bowl Sunday.
Following on the heels of our profit taking 2017 CFL and NCAAF season series, we enjoyed a very successful 2017-18 NFL campaign as well. One of the best aspects of futures wagering is bettors don’t need to be perfect – they simply need to cover the proper bases. Small wagers made at key points in the year, on big prices posted by bookmakers, helps yield success. That fact is illustrated in our NFL Championship betting results table below as we our return was 1880 units overall. We are already looking forward to a fantastic Super Bowl 53 race!
Week | Team | Wager | Odds | Units | +/- |
PS | Raiders | AFC Championship | +700 ML | 100 | -100 |
PS | Steelers | AFC Championship | +700 ML | 100 | -100 |
1 | Patriots | Super Bowl LII | +325 ML | 300 | -300 |
1 | Steelers | AFC Championship | +525 ML | 200 | -200 |
2 | Packers | Week 2 ATS vs Falcons | +3 (-110) | 110 | -110 |
2 | Packers | NFC Championship | +400 ML | 300 | -300 |
4 | Lions | NFC Championship | +1200 ML | 100 | -100 |
5 | Titans | AFC South Division | -110 ML | 110 | -110 |
6 | Eagles | NFC Championship | +800 ML | 200 | 1600 |
6 | Chiefs | AFC Championship | +300 ML | 300 | -300 |
7 | Eagles | Super Bowl LII | +850 ML | 200 | 1700 |
9 | Vikings | NFC Championship | +1000 ML | 100 | -100 |
13 | Patriots | Week 13 ATS vs Bills | -9 (-110) ATS | 330 | 300 |
+/- Total | +1880 |
04/02/18 Super Bowl LII Season Finale Advice
New England vs Philadelphia – Who do you like? Patriots in the climate controlled U.S. Bank Stadium or the Eagles away from their Venus flytrap style home nest? Kickoff for the 52nd NFL Championship is now just 12 hours away at 6:30 PM ET. Being as hedging is a personal preference – we are leaving it to those still holding tickets to do what is best for them. Our closing thoughts; Hedge a little if you like New England and stand firm if you like the Eagles.
Starting out, way back on 24/06/17, this will be our final Super Bowl LII futures wagering advice for the 2017 NFL season. We will be back with a fresh set of Super Bowl LIII futures odds as soon as they are posted. It won’t be long after Super Bowl Sunday 2018. Until then one last piece of advice. In all aspects of life, start out ahead – to stay ahead. Get out the Sports Select mud and off to a sprint by wagering with top online bookmakers listed in the Canada Sports Betting Top Five Sportsbooks table. Enjoy Super Bowl LII Everybody!
Super Bowl LII Final Score: Philadelphia Eagles 41 New England Patriots 33
Patriots vs Eagles Selections: NEP (-175) ML NEP -4.5 (-105) ATS OVER 48.5 (-110)
Shaded Green: Indicates Best Value – All odds have (-110) prices unless noted.
Final Super Bowl LII Odds Update: 6:25 PM ET on Sunday, February 4, 2018.
Super Bowl 52 | ||||
New England Patriots | -180 / 49 (-105) O | -175 / 49 O | -200 / 48.5 O | -200 / 49 O |
Philadelphia Eagles | +150 / 49 (-115)U | +155 / 49 U | +170 / 48.5 U | +170 / 49 U |
23/01/18 Active SB LII Ticket Review
Those who held firm last week last week have New England (+775) and Philadelphia (+1400) tickets still alive. If you believe Tom Brady begins work on loading his other hand with rings, there will be hedge opportunities available. We are researching each of the angles and will update everyone well before Super Bowl Sunday. In the meantime enjoy the winning feeling. The opening SB LII lines will not change much and are easily purchased if they do move.
Hedge bets are personal and differ from player to player. Some will take a guaranteed payout every chance they get. Others place a hedge to eliminate risk that could dent their bankroll. Many sit back and ride out their futures tickets until the Champion is crowned. If you hedged last week; Congratulations on a winning run and you will collect with the Patriots (+225) or the Eagles (+850). Savour the win and we will update your hedge options later in the week
20/01/18 Championship Sunday Hedge Bets
Saturday Update: While New England’s (-125) Super Bowl LII futures line has stayed steady, despite the mystery surrounding QB Tom Brady, the other three teams have all experienced price changes during the week. Minnesota (+150 to +200) remains as second chalk, while Jacksonville (+650 to +625) has jumped to third chalk and Philadelphia (+600 to +650) has fallen to fourth favorite. Based on our remaining SB LII futures bets, Patriots vs Eagles is our best shot at cashing large – though we do feel a Patriots vs Vikings matchup is looming.
Risk Return Hedge: Picking the Patriots (+325) prior to Week 1, plus the Eagles (+850) before Week 7, gives us two horses at the 3/4 mile pole of the Super Bowl LII race. A New England win earns a 775 return while a Philadelphia victory delivers a 1400 boost. The bankroll takes a -500 unit hit if neither squad wins. Bettor’s wanting to eliminate all risk can bet Minnesota (+200) 400 units and Jaguars (+625) 150 units on the NFC and AFC contests.
Guaranteed SB LII Returns: Jaguars (+37) Vikings (+150) Patriots (+225) or Eagles (+850)
Predicted Super Bowl LII Matchup: New England vs Minnesota @ SIA
16/01/18 Championship Sunday Odds Update
Injury Update: Tom Brady practiced on 19/01/18 and will be ready to play on Sunday.
Wild Card and Divisional Weekend playoff appetizers have been served and now we eagerly anticipate the Championship Sunday main course. Arguably the most exciting single day on the National Football League calendar, the AFC and NFC Championship games are like two Super Bowl battles on one day. This is the last time we will see Super Bowl LII futures odds on betting boards as the next set of the numbers will be the actual game day money line prices. A surprise to no one – Tom Brady and the New England Patriots are SB LII top chalk.
Opening the season with a (+325) money line back in September, the Patriots NFL title odds have dropped to (-125) at SportsInteraction. New England aims to build on their current record nine Super Bowl appearances and they are looking to get back to the Big Dance for the fourth time over seven seasons. Jacksonville had a (+10000) NFL Championship line prior to Week One but all that value is gone has the Jaguars price has shrunk to (+650) at SIA. The Florida Cats are looking to advance to the Super Bowl for the first time in franchise history.
Draped with far more drama than the AFC contests, Philadelphia and Minnesota survived their Divisional playoff fights to advance to the NFC Championship clash. The Eagles were posted with a (+4000) preseason line and they are third overall (+500) favorites. Philadelphia is looking for their third Super Bowl berth after failed title game appearances in 1981 and 2005. The Vikings (+3330) Week One NFL title price has shrunk considerably to (+150) and Minnesota is trying to make it to Super Bowl Sunday for the fifth time and first since 1977.
08/01/18 Divisional Weekend Odds Update
Welcome to Divisional Playoff Weekend and the NFL Elite Eight round. With four pretenders ushered to the sidelines, eight contenders remain in the Super Bowl LII race. Despite the Lame Stream Media stirring up controversy, SportsInteraction bookmakers are undeterred as New England remains at the top of their NFL Championship futures board. The Patriots price dropped slightly, from +187 to +162, week over week. Slagging the Pats is bad news for the rest of the NFL as the Brady Bunch are at their best when it is them versus the world.
Looking at the rest of the remaining field, Pittsburgh (+500) held steady while the QB Nick Foles led Philadelphia Eagles saw their NFL title line inflate from +1000 to +1400. Minnesota (+400) New Orleans (+750) Atlanta (+800) Jacksonville (+1600) and Tennessee (+3300) all had various price drops. The Falcons had the most dramatic move as the defending NFC Champions Super Bowl LII odds fell from +2000 to +800 at SportsInteraction. It is difficult for us to see anything other than the Vikings and Patriots meeting on Super Bowl Sunday.
Wild Card Weekend, which featured monster spreads across the board at top ranked CSB sportsbooks, went much different than forecasted. What a difference a year makes as chalk teams went 4-0 S/U and ATS last season while home team favorites went 0-4 ATS and 2-2 S/U during the first round of the NFL playoffs this year. Carolina and Buffalo lost versus New Orleans and Jacksonville respectively but covered as dogs. Shocking the Los Angeles Rams and Kansas City Chiefs, on their home turf, Atlanta and Tennessee won outright as pups.
01/01/18 Wild Card Weekend Futures Update
Happy New Year Everyone – All The Best in 2018! As the calendar turns, the NFL also shifts gears as the 17-week regular season flew by and twelve teams remain in the hunt for Super Bowl LII. Taking care of business, with a 26-6 win against the New Jets, New England locked up top spot in the NFL and home-field throughout the playoffs. The Patriots also moved away from the field on the SportsInteraction futures board as Tom Brady & Crew went from +225 to +187 and they now have a week off to rest up before the Divisional Playoff Round
Minnesota, who finished second behind Philadelphia in the NFC, retained the second favorite slot but the Vikings line inflated from +375 to +450. Owning the second BYE in the AFC, Pittsburgh (+475 to +500) remains as third chalk. The numbers grow substantially after that though as the Eagles, Saints and Rams have all been tagged with a +1000 NFL Championship price. The Jaguars and Chiefs (+1800) Panthers and Falcons (+2000) plus Buffalo (+6600) and the Titans (+8000) are all longshot Super Bowl contenders heading into Wild Card Weekend.
Looking back on our in-season futures bets, we have tickets on New England (+325 with 3-Units) and Philadelphia (+850 with 2-Units). While that would be a dream matchup on Super Bowl Sunday for us – we have doubts if QB Nick Foles can lead the Eagles to the grand stage in Minnesota. That said, the other five NFC teams are all warm weather or dome stadium teams who will be challenged by the January elements at Lincoln Financial Field in the City of Brotherly Love. On the AFC side – we are confident in our Patriots NFL Championship pick.
27/12/17 Week 17 Super Bowl LII Futures Update
Plenty remains on the table as we head into Week 17 of the National Football League regular season. It will be a Happy New Year for some, though not so much for others, as all 32 teams play on Sunday, December 31, 2017. On top of that, the schedule plays out so that teams fighting for playoff positions are all playing in the same window so everyone will have all hands on deck to start their games. Matches with a 1:00 PM ET kickoff will decide the top seed in the AFC between New England and Pittsburgh, plus the two Wild Card playoff spots.
Following an impressive 37-16 bashing of Buffalo in Week 16, the Patriots Super Bowl LII price (+240 to +225) leaked a little value as Tom Brady & Crew remain as top chalk. Blanking the Packers 16-0 in Green Bay moved Minnesota past Pittsburgh into the second favorite slot as the Vikings price dropped from +650 to +375. The Steelers moved to third chalk but their price (+600 to +475) fell as well. Tied with a +900 Super Bowl winning line, Philadelphia, New Orleans and Los Angeles round out the SportsInteraction top six contenders list.
21/12/17 Week 16 Super Bowl LII Futures Update
Two weeks remain on the 2017 National Football League regular season schedule that has flown past lightning quick – as it always does. Ten teams remain playoff eligible in the AFC while nine squads still have a shot in the NFC. New England, Pittsburgh and Jacksonville have clinched postseason berths and those three teams are fighting for the two first round BYES. Kansas clinches the AFC West with a win while Tennessee is in with a win plus losses by Baltimore and Buffalo. The Chargers, Raiders and Dolphins need lots of help to get in.
Apart from Green Bay being officially eliminated, little changed in the NFC following Week 15 action. Philadelphia can clinch NFC home-field advantage with a win while Minnesota will earn a BYE with a victory plus a Carolina loss. Thanks to their 42-7 slaughter of Seattle, Los Angeles claims the NFC West if they win on the road against the Titans. New Orleans will win the NFC South, which is still very wide open, with a victory over Atlanta and a Panthers loss. Detroit, Dallas and Seattle need to win out, plus Atlanta to go 0-2, to make the postseason.
New England, after a miracle win in Pittsburgh, are clear top chalk to claim Super Bowl LII as the Patriots line (+240) has dropped to a season low at SportsInteraction. Slayed by Tom Brady & Crew again, the Steelers NFL title price (+600) almost double from where it was last week. After bashing the Bengals 34-7, Minnesota (+800 to -650) remains as the leading NFC contender. The Eagles defense struggled during a 34-29 win over the Giants but their price fell (+1200 to +900) and they are tied with the Saints and Rams as second chalk in the NFC.
14/12/17 Week 15 Super Bowl LII Futures Update
National Football League Week 14 action had a profound affect on the Super Bowl LII futures odds. In addition to twelve teams now being off the board at SportsInteraction, there were several dramatic moves week over week. The largest shift, one that impacts our SBLII futures wager placed prior to Week 7, Philadelphia sunk like a stone from third to fifth favorite after the Eagles lost QB Carson Wentz for the season due to knee injury. After being in the NFL 2017 MVP conversation – this is obviously a huge blow to the Eagles Championship chances.
Placement at the top of our board remained the same but New England losing to Miami (27-20) and Pittsburgh sneaking past Baltimore (39-38) brought the Patriots (+250 to +275) and Steelers (+500 to +350) a lot closer together. Moving into the third chalk spot, despite losing 31-24 to Carolina, Minnesota is now the top NFC contender – though the Vikings price (+700 to +800) was inflated slightly. New Orleans, who lost to Atlanta (20-17) during their TNF fight, moved into the fourth favorite slot as the Saints price (+1000) went unchanged.
Sitting in a tie as fifth favorites, with a +1200 money line the Falcons odds fell (+2200) while the Eagles (+550) price was pumped up. Closing out a group of six NFC teams that fall in after the Patriots and Steelers, Seattle and the LA Rams both have +1600 Championship odds. Tied with the Chargers and Jaguars, Green Bay expects QB Aaron Rodgers to return this week and their line, which was +10000 two weeks ago, has dropped all the way down to +1800 at SIA. We are looking forward to the New England @ Pittsburgh Week 15 fight.
Playoff Clinching: Patriots, Jaguars, Vikings and Rams can earn a playoff berth in Week 15.
07/12/17 Week 14 Super Bowl LII Futures Update
With the dust settled on National Football League Week 13 action, price changes were the most prevalent moves on our Super Bowl LII futures board. Pittsburgh and New England, both at 10-2, held serve as top contenders in the AFC as the Patriots pummelled Buffalo 23-3 and the Steelers charged back late to beat the Cincinnati Bengals 23-20 during the Monday Night Football fight. Minnesota now sits atop the NFC after they won 14-9 in Atlanta and Philadelphia had their nine game winning streak snapped during a 24-10 loss in Seattle.
There is a strange setup on the NFL futures board at SportsInteraction as New England (+250) and Pittsburgh (+500) are the top two favorites. That’s not the weird part though as a group of seven, count ’em seven, NFC teams are next on the board before we get to another AFC squad. That group is still lead by Philadelphia though the Eagles line (+450 to +550) was inflated some. Minnesota’s price fell (+900 to +700) as, week after week, the Vikings look like they are on cruise control and are now one win away from clinching the NFC North title.
Heading into Week 13, Philadelphia was the only team in a position to clinch a playoff berth but they failed to do so after they lost to the Seahawks and Dallas whacked Washington. It’s a much different story as we roll into Week 14 as seven teams can punch their postseason ticket through a variety of scenarios. In the AFC, the Patriots and Steelers are in with a “win or tie” while Jacksonville needs several things to happen but do have a shot at clinching. The Eagles, Vikings, Saints and Rams, can lock up four of the six NFC spots via various scenarios.
30/11/17 Week 13 Super Bowl LII Futures Update
National Football League Super Bowl LII futures odds remain tightly bunched at the top as we roll into Week 13 action. New England (+275) and Pittsburgh (+600) continue to lead the way in the American Football Conference while Philadelphia (+450) and Minnesota (+900) are now the top contenders in the National Football Conference according to the current prices at SportsInteraction. It certainly would not be a surprise if the Patriots and Steelers meet in the AFC Championship and the Eagles and Vikings battle in the NFC title game.
That is not only due to their current standings and form, but also because of mathematics. New England (9-2) has a 99% chance to make the playoffs and win the AFC East, a 91% chance at a first round BYE and a 27% chance to capture the Super Bowl. Pittsburgh has similar odds as the Steelers have a 99% shot to make the playoffs and win the AFC North, plus a 87% shot at a BYE and a 14% chance to claim their seventh NFL Championship. Kansas City (3%) and Jacksonville (2%) are the next closest AFC Super Bowl contenders.
Things are considerably more clouded in the NFC as seven teams have at least a 3% shot at claiming the Vince Lombardi Trophy when the big game plays out at U.S. Bank Stadium on February 4, 2018. Philadelphia (87%) and Minnesota (61%) are the current front-runners to earn a first round BYE while New Orleans (16%) Carolina (11%) and Atlanta (10%) will need to win a lot and hope the Eagles and Vikings stumble. Philadelphia, with an NFL best 10-1 record, can lock up a postseason berth with a victory on the road in Seattle this weekend.
23/11/17 Week 12 Super Bowl LII Futures Update
Welcome to Week 12 of the 2017 National Football League season and Happy Thanksgiving to our friends in the United States. Some position and price changes highlight this update as many of the top chalk teams lost value while others gained. Surprised their line didn’t fall further at SportsInteraction, New England (+333 to +300) ripped the Oakland Raiders 33-8 in Mexico as the Patriots won their sixth straight game. Philadelphia crushed the Cowboys 37-9 in Dallas and the Eagles second chalk Super Bowl LII line dipped (+500 to +450) slightly.
Riding a five match winning streak, Pittsburgh trounced Tennessee 40-17 and Steelers (+650 to +600) remain all alone as third favorites. Position changes take over from there as Kansas City and Seattle both dropped down on our NFL Championship futures board. New Orleans staged a huge comeback and beat Washington 34-31 in OT and the Saints (+1100 to +900) slide into the fourth favorite slot. Mashing the Los Angeles Rams 24-7 at home, Minnesota rounds out the top five contenders as the Vikings price (+1600 to +1100) also took a hit.
Losing to the hapless New York Giants, 12-9 in OT on the road, the Chiefs are crashing as they’ve lost four of five and their SB LII line (+1000 to +1600) at SIA is headed the same way. Seattle is in a similar situation as the Seahawks lost a rare home game (34-31) to Atlanta. We have been anti-Hawks since the preseason and their (+1000 to +1800) price drop backs up our opinion. The Falcons were 6-4 at this point last season, then went 5-1 the rest of the way en route to winning the NFC, and Atlanta (+2200 to +1600) rounds out the top ten.
Super Bowl LII Week 12 Advice: If you haven’t – Buy the Philadelphia +450 SB LII line.
15/11/17 Week 11 Super Bowl LII Futures Update
That was certainly short eh? After pushing New England off the top perch last week, the first time any team had done so in a long time, Philadelphia (+400 to +500) flipped back into the second favorite spot at SportsInteraction. The Patriots pasted Denver 41-16 in Mile High Country, for a fifth straight win, so we understand their (+450 to +333) price change. The Eagles line inflating, from +400 to +500 while on their BYE, is affected by the Vikings, Saints and Rams running hot in the NFC, plus the Pats and Pittsburgh are also rolling in the AFC.
Pittsburgh (+750 to +650) had a big comeback, with 17 unanswered points vs a bad Colts team, and won 20-17 on the road. Moving to 5-1 as visitors, the Steelers play five of their last sevens games at home. Still stacked on offense, but scoring just 20.7 PPG, the defense is doing their part allowing just 16.4 PPG. Kansas City was on a BYE and their odds didn’t move but Seattle joined the Chiefs as fourth favorites with a (+1000) Super Bowl LII money line. Winning six straight, New Orleans (+1400 to +1100) rounds out the top five favorites.
Thoughts on the Saints are expanded in our NFC Championship update but the Bayou Boys have some big battles ahead. With a better defense and similar offense, the Rams (+1400) look like a better buy than New Orleans at this point. The Vikings, solid on defense – suspect on offense, are also tough to tout. Minnesota’s line (+1600) held firm and a tough four-game run is next up. Closing out the top ten heading in to Week 11, and threats in the NFC South title chase, Carolina and Atlanta are tied with a +2200 NFL Championship price.
Week 11 Super Bowl LII Advice: Philadelphia (+500) may be at their top SBLII value ceiling.
08/11/17 Week 10 Super Bowl LII Futures Update
For the first time this season, plus recent memory for that matter, there is a new favorite to win the National Football League Championship. Fresh off of a 51-23 demolition of Denver, the final score actually flatters the Broncos, Philadelphia enters their BYE week with an NFL best 8-1 record. That was enough for SportsInteraction bookmakers to send the Eagles to the top chalk perch as their Super Bowl LII price fell from +700 to +400. Don’t be surprised when the Eagles finish with a 12-4 (or better) record and easily roll to the NFC #1 seed slot.
New England was on a BYE, hopefully working on defence, but the NEP price gained value (+350 to +450) as the Pats dropped to second favorite. Pittsburgh, also on a BYE, retained third chalk status as the Steelers line (+750 to +725) shrunk slightly. Kansas City stays in the fourth slot but a 28-17 loss in Dallas to the Cowboys dropped the Chiefs (+800 to +1000) into quad digit territory. Seattle lost a rare home game, 17-13 to injury riddled Washington, but the Seahawks still round out the top five favorite list on the CSB SB LII futures board.
Cloaked with +20000 NFL title odds prior to Week 1 action, Los Angeles has steadily fallen and their latest line move (+2000 to +1400) has the Rams as new leaders of the second tier group. Quiet underdogs no more, LA leads the NFL with a +108 PF/PA differential which is a smidge better than the Eagles (+104) and well ahead of offensively challenged Jacksonville (+89). After an 0-2 start, New Orleans has won six in a row and the Saints are tied with the Rams. Dallas and Minnesota (both at +1600) round out the top ten Super Bowl favorites.
Week 10 Super Bowl LII Advice: LA Rams are in “buy soon” territory – Wait on the Saints.
02/11/17 Week 9 Super Bowl LII Futures Update
Rolling into the second half the 2017 National Football League season, apart from the New England Patriots price, the numbers have tightened up on our Super Bowl LII futures board. The Belichick & Brady Bunch posted a meager 21-13 Week 8 home win over the Los Angeles Chargers and that nudged SportsInteraction bookmakers to move (+325 to +350) the Pats odds slightly. The Patriots (6-2) line is double the Eagles second chalk price (+700) and that’s surprising as Philadelphia is sitting on top of the overall NFL standings with a 7-1 record.
Despite pushing their record to 6-2, thanks to a 20-15 win over the Lions in Detroit, value (+700 to +750) was added to Pittsburgh’s NFL Championship price. The Steelers retain third chalk status but Kansas City (+900 to +800) closed the gap. The Chiefs (6-2) kept pace with the Patriots and Steelers, as co-leaders in the AFC, as they dumped Denver 29-19 at home during the MNF matchup. Following a 41-38 barn-burner at CenturyLink Field vs Houston, Seattle saw their odds (+1000 to +900) trimmed to round out the top five SB LII favorites.
Second tier contenders moved around some on our board and they also lost some ground to the top five teams. Minnesota (6-2) New Orleans (5-2) and Atlanta (4-3) are now bunched together with a +1800 NFL title line. The Saints lost -200 units of value while the Vikings and Falcons both gained +200 since our last update. Dallas (4-3) who trail Philadelphia by three wins in the NFC East, and the LA Rams (5-2) who are a tie-breaker behind Seattle in the NFC West fight for first, round out the middle chalk positions with a +2000 money line at SIA.
Super Bowl LII Futures Favorite Advice: New England Patriots (+350) won’t last long.
26/10/17 Week 8 Super Bowl LII Futures Update
Flying along, we have hit the National Football League half-mile pole. Apart from Philadelphia (+850 to +700) and Kansas City (+850 to +900) flipping third and fourth favorite spots, price changes were the only moves at the top of our Super Bowl LII futures board. Due to a 23-7 win over Atlanta, during their Super Bowl LI rematch, New England (+45 to +325) fell back to their Week 1 NFL Championship price. After crushing Cincinnati 29-14 Pittsburgh (+800 to +700) has opened a two-game lead in the AFC North and remain as second overall chalk.
Seattle gashed the Giants 24-7 in New York and the Seahawks fifth favorite odds fell (+1100 to +1000) slightly. Not meaning to sound like a stuck record – we still aren’t buying into the Hawks. After being punished by the Patriots, Atlanta is now third in the NFC South behind New Orleans and Carolina. While that division race is wide open – don’t confuse any of those squads as Championship caliber clubs. Six Kai Forbath field goals helped Minnesota win 24-16 vs the Ravens and the Vikings are now tied with the Falcons in the sixth chalk slot.
Championship underdogs are still tough to tout as the bad NFL teams are really terrible. One club that has steadily climbed the ranks is the Los Angeles Rams. Led by turn-around seasons from QB Jared Goff and RB Todd Gurley, the Rams (5-2) have already surpassed the four wins they posted during the entire 2016 NFL season. Leading the NFC West division, by one game over Seattle, the Los Angeles preseason price (+20000 to +1800) has dropped more than any team. The Rams join the Patriots as the only teams undefeated (3-0) on the road this season.
19/10/17 Week 7 Super Bowl LII Futures Update
Bigger story six weeks into the 2017 National Football League season? US President Donald Trump vs the NFL players? Or, the number of top-paid players that are falling like flies during the first October frost? In the Twitter cesspool, the answer is NFL players kneeling during the US Nation Anthem. At a young age, yours truly was rightfully taught to stand at attention, remain still, and face the flag when the Anthem of any Nation is played. Wishing everyone was taught the same – the players have made their point and it would be nice to move on.
On the field however, plus on betting boards at top rated online sportsbooks, it’s the rash of injuries. Tumbling down our Super Bowl LII futures board, Green Bay lost all-world QB Aaron Rodgers for the season due to a broken collarbone. The Packers price plummeted from +550 to +1600 at SportsInteraction. Most of the Packers loss was the Eagles gain as Philadelphia (+1200 to +850) is now the top chalk squad from the NFC. Following a BYE, Seattle is second favorite but the Seahawks price rose (+1000 to +1100) and we still aren’t sold on the Hawks.
With the NFC now being muddled even more, since the Packers took a big step back, New England (+450) Pittsburgh (+800) and Kansas City (+850) have taken over as the top three favorites to claim Super Bowl LII. All of those squads have various issues and none of them look better than the Eagles – who have the same price as the Chiefs. Feeling the Patriots find a fix on defense, we are sticking with New England as our AFC Super Bowl pick and we’ve added Philadelphia (+850) as an NFC representative with two units at SportsInteraction.
Week 7 Super Bowl LII Add: Philadelphia Eagles (+850) Two Units at SportsInteraction.
10/10/17 Week 6 Super Bowl LII Futures Update
Shockingly placed third in the AFC East, tiebreakers behind the Buffalo Bills and New York Jets, New England continues to own the Super Bowl LII top chalk perch. The Patriots price rose (+350 to +400) week over week and a couple of teams have also moved up to close the gap. Following another impressive game winning drive, the 19th of his career and second this season, Aaron Rodgers and Green Bay retained their second favorite slot. The Packers beat the Cowboys 35-31 in Dallas and their price shrunk (+800 to +550) on our futures board.
Steamrolling out to a 5-0 start, the lone undefeated team, SportsInteraction bookmakers chopped the Kansas City Chiefs price (+900 to +650) again this week. Regrouping during their BYE week, Atlanta (+1000) held on to their fourth favorite status though they are tied with Seattle as the Seahawks odds (+1200 to +1000) dipped slightly. Philadelphia (4-1), who have a two-game lead on Washington and Dallas in the NFC East, continue to chip away at their (+4000) preseason Super Bowl line as the Eagles odds (+2000 to +1200) fell again.
5/10/17 Week 5 Super Bowl LII Futures Update
After a “surreal” September, the first quarter of the 2017 NFL season is history. Position and price moves were very plentiful and this is a good time to remind everyone that lines moves are affected by a number of factors. Futures odds will change due to key injuries, current form, placement in the standings, future schedule and the risk bookmakers are carrying. Minnesota is a solid example of the injury factor as the Vikings lost stud rookie RB Delvin Cook and their Super Bowl LII price ballooned from +2800 to +4000 at SportsInteraction.
Recent form works both ways as illustrated by the Chiefs and Giants line swings. Kansas City, the lone undefeated team at 4-0, is sinking like a stone as the Chiefs +2500 Week 1 NFL Championship price has shrivelled to +900 going into Week 5. Meanwhile, as one of the four remaining winless squads, the Giants (0-4) season opening +1600 line has swelled to +10000. In the cellar, Cleveland and San Francisco are the first squads to six digits with a +100000 SB LII price and they are in jeopardy of falling off the board altogether soon.
Fortunate to have Friends in Las Vegas, plus a special kinship with the City of Lights, my heart is broken and I weep over your anguish. You will come back stronger and I hope to see you during Super Bowl Week. Strive for Peace People! To everyone affected by the endless list of disasters, keep your family and friends close, lean on each other, help each other out, and we hope you recover quickly. Having lived directly in the heart of a recent devastating flood, StatsGuru knows first hand that recovery, though taking some time, can and will happen.
28/9/17 Week 4 Super Bowl LII Futures Update
Vanilla over the first 31 games, NFL Week 3 had some spice as several games were close late and two needed extra time. Threatening to drain Survivor Pools across the Planet, Green Bay and New England snatched wins from the jaws of defeat with last minute scores. Thick chalk, and both playing at home, the Packers (-8.5) beat the Cincinnati Bengals 27-24 in overtime after the Patriots (-14) snuck past the Houston Texans 36-33. The G.O.A.T. & Crew retained their Super Bowl LII top favorite status which dropped again (+400 to +350) at Bodog.
Pick a Winner Pools, despite escaping total collapse, leaked a lot of volume when Pittsburgh lost 23-17 in OT vs the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field. Recognizing Pittsburgh largely sucks on the road, Bodog bookmakers raised the Steelers 4th OA chalk price (+1000 to +1100) just slightly. Escaping Detroit, with a 30-28 win over the upstart Lions, Atlanta (+1000 to +800) moved past Seattle into the second favorite spot. Losing 33-27 vs the Titans in Tennessee, the Seahawks (+800 to +1400) fell from second to seventh. We are still avoiding the Field Gulls.
Echoing previous sentiments, a lock to lasso the 2018 NFL Championship hasn’t emerged. In fact, apart from the Kansas City Chiefs (+1200) to a degree, we have not found a squad that is firing on all cylinders. NEP and GB both have deficiencies on defense and with pass protection, the Falcons barely beat the Lions (+3300) and Bears (+10000) while the Steelers struggled to beat Cleveland (+50000) and caught a break when they faced Case Keenum during their home win vs Minnesota. AFC and NFC title odds are discussed below.
21/9/17 Week 3 Super Bowl LII Futures Update
Quoting Homer Simpson; Boooring! That pretty much sums up the first two weeks of the 2017 NFL season. The numbers back it up as 19 of 31 contests have been decided by ten or more points and the margin was at least 20 points in eight matches. FACT: Without sports betting and Fantasy Football, NFL prima donna’s like Odell Beckham Jr. would be largely unwatchable. As far as Super Bowl LII futures go, after a 36-20 pummelling of New Orleans, New England retained their top chalk status as the Patriots price fell from +450 to +400.
Far from impressive, during a 12-9 home win over San Francisco, Seattle managed to take over the second favorite perch as the Seahawks line dropped from +1000 to +800. Green Bay was bashed 34-23 by Atlanta and the Packers fell (+750 to +900) to third favorites. The Falcons SB LII odds dropped from +1400 to +1000 as the Dirty Birds moved into a fourth favorite tie with Pittsburgh who, despite a 26-9 victory over the Vikings, saw their line gain (+750 to +1000) value. Overall, no squads appear to be a Super Bowl lock at this point.
Close early, Oakland obliterated the New York Jets (45-20) so we are a little surprised that the Raiders price gained value (+1000 to +1400). That line move is largely due to AFC West Division stable mates Kansas City (+1600) and Denver both opening with a pair of impressive wins. The Broncos (+2500 to +1800) and the Tennessee Titans (+5000 to +3300) line shifts were two of the biggest upward movers on our board this week. The New York Jets are the first team to reach six-digits as their NFL title line doubled from +50000 to +100000.
14/9/17 Week 2 Super Bowl LII Futures Update
Late Great David Bowie sums up the CSB Week 2 Super Bowl LII futures board as there were a ton of ch, ch, ch, ch changes once the Week 1 action played out. The movement, drastic in some cases, begins with the seemingly invincible Patriots as New England’s price went from +325 to +450. The Pats started fast but faded late and were pasted 42-27 by Kansas City during their Super Bowl LI Celebration at Gillette Stadium. The defending Champs are still top chalk but, after facing the Chiefs top-tier defence, their separation has shrunk.
Pittsburgh (+1000) and Green Bay (+900) odds fell to +750 and they are tied as second chalk. The Packers smothered Seattle (17-9) during their home opener while the Steeler’s escaped the Mistake By The Lake with a 21-18 win vs Cleveland. It’s only one game but the Browns showed they might be Dawgs with some bite this season. Despite their Lambeau Field loss, the Seahawks (+900) leaked value and sit alone as third favorites. The Cowboys line moved from +1400 to +1000 as Dallas is in fourth chalk tie with the Oakland Raiders.
After a surprising price drop last week, Indianapolis was crushed 46-9 by the Rams in LA and the Colts massive price inflation (+4000 to +15000) was expected. Washington ballooning (+6600 to +15000) is a little less justifiable, the Redskins lost 30-17 at home to the Eagles, but the DC Crew is in trouble as the ‘Skins appear to be the fourth best NFC East team. At the far end of the spectrum, the New York Jets are grounded as the longest of the longshots as their +50000 line far exceeds the +30000 tags Cleveland and San Francisco are sporting.
6/9/17 Week 1 Super Bowl LII Futures Update
As dawn breaks on a new NFL season, StatsGuru is LIVE in Las Vegas soaking up the Week 1 buzz in Sin City. Online bookmakers, including those at SportsInteraction, have posted their final pre-season Super Bowl LII odds. While many of the price moves were small – they were certainly plentiful. One team that did not see a price change is the Patriots as New England (+325) heads into their Thursday Night Fight with the Kansas City Chiefs as top chalk. A NFL Championship double-dip is difficult but Belichick and the Brady Bunch have a solid shot.
Green Bay is still the leading NFC contender, and second overall chalk, but the Packers price has swelled from +800 to +900. Pittsburgh and Seattle join Oakland (+1000) to form a three way tie on the third favorite perch. One move that surprised us is the Colts odds dropping (+5000 to +4000) despite QB Andrew Luck not starting in Week 1. One has to feel for San Francisco, Cleveland and New York fans as the Browns, 49ers and Jets each own a gaudy +30000 Super Bowl LII price. Dreams of a cash with those teams will soon be a nightmare.
It’s Game Time Everybody! Save for (gulp) injuries, there isn’t much that can push the BBTB Express of the rails. New England plays in the horrible AFC East, they are stacked with a Tom Brady led offence, and the defense appears to be ready to hold the fort when the GOAT & Crew take a break. Give us New England (+325) with three units to claim Super Bowl LII on February 4, 2018. Our hearts go out to everyone dealing with Hurricane Irma. Stay safe, heed official warnings, and do not mess with Mother Nature when she is at her fiercest.
1/9/17 NFL Post-Preseason SB LII Futures
National Football League futures bettors, not to mention Fantasy Owners around the Planet, can exhale as NFL preseason contests are now complete. It’s been a tumultuous four weeks as star players like New England Patriots slot-receiver Julian Edelman, Kansas City Chiefs starting RB Spencer Ware, plus Chicago Bears rising star WR Cameron Meredith, are all done for the season – before it even started. The Pats and Chiefs will be OK – ‘Da Bears won’t be.
Through it all, we were rather surprised that the overall Super Bowl LII futures odds barely moved. That is true of our last update (26/08/17) as the numbers at SportsInteraction did not change. What has changed, and may eventually move the lines, is Dallas Cowboys RB Ezekiel Elliott’s battle with the NFL over his six-game suspension. Following many legal manoeuvrings, by both sides, the appeal process ended after two days of testimony.
This is an ugly fight and, while neither side looks good, the NFL is taking a beating after it was leaked that the only NFL investigator who interviewed Elliott suggested that a suspension was not warranted. If this were a US Tennis Open match, it would be advantage Ezekiel as his suspension is on the verge of being wiped out completely. The Cowboys vs Giants line is -3.5 (-110) ‘Boys at SIA. Jump on those Dallas Week 1 odds now as Zeke will be with be in the backfield to open the season and their SB LII futures price will rise once he remains there.
26/8/17 NFL Super Bowl LII Futures Update
Week 3 NFL exhibition games are playing out this weekend. If you must bet on X-Games, this is the time to do it as the contests are fairly close to wagering on regular season action. That said, we avoid wagering on meaningless matches – at all costs. Expect the cry to limit X-Games to grow even louder as players are dropping like flies during the preseason. It’s for that reason that we are holding off until the preseason ends to confirm our SB LII picks.
New England (+325) who still own the top over chalk spot, on Super Bowl LII futures board above, lost stud WR Julian Edelman for the season during the Pats 32-30 win over Detroit on 25/08/17. On the same night, Kansas City lost starting RB Spence Ware to a knee injury and he’s out indefinitely. Both injuries will affect the Patriots vs Chiefs Thursday Opening Night Fight on September 7, 2017, but Tom Brady still has plenty of weapons in his arsenal.
Tom Brady & Crew strengthen their hold as top favorite as their price dropped from +350 to +325 while the Packers second chalk line went up from +750 to +800. Oakland lost some value as the Raiders price dipped from +1200 to +1000. The Seahawks, Falcons and Steelers tied at +1200, and the Cowboys at +1400, round out the top five Super Bowl LII chalk. We don’t see Atlanta returning to the Dance and we are keeping a close eye on Raider Nation.
04/8/2017 NFL Hot And Not: Preseason Update
Football fans, that grew weary of watching another Calgary Stampeders CFL blowout win had an option on August 3, 2017, as NFL exhibition games are underway. X-Game Opening night featured the Dallas Cowboys fourth and fifth stringers posting a 20-18 victory over the same ranked players from the Arizona Cardinals. Not big fans of exhibition betting, no matter the sport, it is amazing that the top recommended CSB sportsbooks were right on the mark with their -2 (-110) Cowboys money line. And so it begins with the online bookmakers eh?
Despite some injuries, the number will pile up as we roll through four weeks of preseason action, the Super Bowl LII futures prices at SportsInteraction have not changed much since our last update. The only notable movement is the Green Bay Packers line as it dipped from +800 to +750 at SIA. We are surprised that Miami’s price stayed firm at +5000 as it appears Dolphins starting QB Ryan Tannehill may be lost for the season with a knee injury. Houston has lost their #2 WR Will Fuller (collarbone) as he is out until Week 4ish. Houchie Mama!
As the X-Games play out, these numbers will begin to change – especially after the Week 3 preseason battles play out. Don’t forget, SportsInteraction bookmakers have already posted Week 1 regular season lines. Tons of futures and proposition wagering options, including each teams season Win Totals, as well as NFL MVP and Rookie Of The Year prices, are also hot tickets prior to the New England vs Kansas City Thursday Night season opening fight. That battle kicks off at 8:30 PM ET on September 7, 2017, Gillette Stadium in Foxboro, MA.
24/6/2017 NFL Hot And Not: Preseason Update
Illustrated in the CSB Super Bowl LII futures table above, New England (+350) are favorites to capture back-to-back NFL Championships. Much easier said than done, Bill Belichick, Tom Brady and Crew would be the first team to turn the double since the Patriots claimed Super Bowl XXXVIII and XXXIX. If the argument is still ongoing, with all due respect to stud QB Joe Montana – it shouldn’t be, a sixth ring would cement Brady as the best pivot in NFL history.
Bookmakers at SportsInteraction are forecasting the Patriots last hurdle being Aaron Rodgers and Green Bay. Loaded with weapons on offence, the Packers (+800) are fairly solid second chalk. Defense is another story as Green Bay ranked in the bottom half of the NFL in 2016. The Pack lost some key players (Sam Shields, Micah Hyde and Julius Peppers) during the offseason. Turning WR Ty Montgomery into a fulltime running back is a key for the Packers.
Rounding out the current top five, the Dallas Cowboys, Seattle Seahawks and Oakland Raiders all have (+1200) Super Bowl LII odds. Some teams have numbers that indicate their season is over – before it has even started. That includes the Buffalo Bills (+10000) and LA Rams (+15000) plus the New York Jets, Cleveland Browns and San Francisco 49ers, who all have a (+20000) overall underdog line. None of those teams are worthy of a SB LII wager.
2017-18 AFC Championship Futures Movement
13/02/18 AFC 2017-18 Betting Results Wrap Up
Despite backing three of the six squads that advanced to the American Football Conference postseason, our AFC futures picks returned nothing but feathers and no chicken. Pittsburgh getting pounded by Jacksonville, during their AFC Divisional playoff round battle, still sticks in our craw as the Steelers defensive implosion wasn’t on our radar and it was costly overall.
We got sucked in by the Kansas City Chiefs but – our Week 13 wager on New England was placed to covered that 300 unit loss. The Titans fell a game short of winning the AFC South while the Oakland Raiders had a season to forget. Overall, our NFC gains covered our AFC losses and we’ll be back to forecast the 2019 AFC Championship chase so stick with us!
16/01/18 AFC Championship Sunday Update
Class of the American Football Conference, for most of the year, #1 seed New England will host #3 seed Jacksonville in the AFC Championship at 1:05 PM ET on January 21, 2018, at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA. The Patriots are playing in an astounding 7th straight AFC title match and the 14th in franchise history. This is the 8th time the Patriots are at home for an AFC Championship clash and they have a sparkling 6-1 record during the previous seven. With game day prices now the AFC title lines – Tom Brady & Crew are thick chalk.
Jacksonville beat Buffalo (10-3) in the Wild Card round, then mauled a pitiful Pittsburgh defense (45-42) in the Divisional playoffs, to earn a trip to New England. Now in their 23rd season, Jacksonville and Carolina joined the NFL in 1995, the Jaguars are making their third AFC Championship appearance. Looking to participate in their first Super Bowl, Jacksonville lost AFC title games 20-6 at New England in 1996 and 33-14 vs Tennessee in the 1999. Big dogs in this contest, on the road, we do not see a third time being the charm for the Cats.
20/01/18 Update: When Jacksonville punted Pittsburgh out of the playoffs – our final AFC Championship ticket hit the trash can. In hindsight, we should have stayed with New England as that would have given us a small and easy hedge bet that would have guaranteed a pay day. Please check below if you followed our NFC Championship advice during the season.
AFC Championship Prediction: New England Patriots 24-10
Divisional to Conference Playoffs: 7:30 PM ET 20/01/18 Shaded Green = Best Buy
Odds Table Placement: Teams are listed by AFC playoff position after Divisional Weekend.
AFC Championship | ||||
New England Patriots | -360 to -340 | -330 to -320 | -350 to -360 | -350 to N/C |
Jacksonville Jaquars | +280 to +270 | +265 to +260 | +275 to +280 | +285 to +270 |
[faq title="2017-18 AFC Championship Futures Movement"]
08/01/18 AFC Championship Divisional Weekend
There were plenty of changes on our AFC Championship futures board as every team took a price hit – except Jacksonville. New England’s odds continue to fall as the Patriots dipped from -139 to -175. That means bettor’s wanting to back the Patriots must wager 175 units to earn a 100-unit return. Tom Brady & Crew host Tennessee in the first AFC Divisional duel at 8:15 PM ET on January 13, 2018, at Gillette Stadium. The Titans are huge -14 (-110) pups in that contest at Bodog and their AFC Championship line (+2800) is very bloated as well.
Far from impressive, other than on defense, Jacksonville posted their first playoff win since 2007 as they beat the Buffalo Bills 10-3 during Wild Card Weekend action. Heading out on the road now, the Jaguars AFC title line stayed at +800 everywhere except at Bodog who bumped them up the +850. Pittsburgh, who were jolted 30-9 at home vs Jacksonville in Week 5, had a week off to get healthy and prepare for the Jags. The Steelers (+500) AFC winning line stayed steady and they are 7.5 (-110) chalk at Betway to win the rematch.
AFC Championship Matchup Prediction: New England 35-14 vs Pittsburgh 42-45
Wild Card to Divisional Playoffs: 10:00 AM ET 08/01/18 Shaded Green = Best Buy
Odds Table Placement: Teams are listed by AFC playoff position after Wild Card Weekend.
01/01/18 Wild Card Weekend Odds Update
Checking out the AFC Championship odds, with all roads rolling through Gillette Stadium, it is not surprising that New England keeps sliding further into negative territory. While their defense is still a question mark, one needs to look no further than the offense to understand why the Pats are such huge favorites. The Patriots have five versatile running backs, TE Rob Gronkowski, plus WR Brandin Cooks, Danny Amendola and Chris Hogan to stretch the field when Tom Brady needs to air it out. That is a ton of weapons for any team to contend with.
Pittsburgh remains as the Patriots biggest obstacle as QB Ben Roethlisberger, Le’Veon Bell, Antonio Brown, JuJu Smith-Schuster, plus the best O-line in football, can match up with any team. The two AFC Wild Card games feature Buffalo at Jacksonville and Tennessee at Kansas City. While we see the Jaguars and Chiefs to advancing to the Divisional Round, their playoff runs will end when they have to travel to New England and Pittsburgh respectively one week later. Wild Card betting lines are up at top rated CSB recommended online sportsbooks.
Week 17 to Wild Card Price Update: 10:30 AM ET 01/01/18 Shaded Green = Best Buy
Odds Table Placement: Teams are listed by AFC playoff positioning after Week 17.
27/12/17 AFC Championship Week 17 Odds Update
Aiming for their seventh win over eight games versus New York, the Patriots host the Jets needing a win or a Steelers loss to clinch home-field advantage through the AFC playoffs. At the same time, Cleveland is in Pittsburgh, as the Steelers need a Pats loss plus a win to secure the top seed. The Browns should come to play as they are trying to avoid joining the 2008 Detroit as the only other team to post a 0-16 season. Winning will be easier said than done though as Cleveland has not won in the Steel City since way back on October 5, 2003.
Jacksonville and Kansas City are locked into the third and forth seeds and will host first round Wild Card games. Baltimore needs a win over Cincinnati while Tennessee looks for a win vs the Jaguars to lock down the fifth and sixth seeds. The Ravens are also in if the Titans and Bills both lose. If the Titans lose they need the Bills and Chargers to both lose to retain the sixth seed. Los Angeles needs a win, a Tennessee loss, plus a Ravens win and a Bills loss, to move past the Titans. A Buffalo win plus a Ravens loss earns the Bills a playoff spot.
Week 16 to Week 17 Price Update: 12:30 AM ET 27/12/17 Shaded Green = Best Buy
Odds Table Placement: Teams are listed by AFC playoff positioning after Week 16.
21/12/17 AFC Championship Week 16 Odds Update
Back in familiar territory, the top four CSB football betting bookmakers have moved the Patriots AFC Championship odds to a negative number. New England ends their season with home games against Buffalo and New York. The Pats control their own destiny as one win, coupled with Pittsburgh and Jacksonville both losing one, earns New England home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. That is not a given though as the Steelers visit hapless Houston (4-10) and then host Cleveland (0-14) to close out their regular season schedule.
Facing a slightly tougher path, the Jaguars last two games are on the road versus upstart San Francisco, who have won three straight, plus an AFC South rivalry tussle vs the Titans. After losing six of seven, Kansas City (8-6) has won two straight and the Chiefs need one win, at home against Miami or on the road versus Denver, to lock up the AFC West. Tennessee gets into the dance with a win – plus one loss by the Ravens and Bills. Baltimore, with winnable games vs the Colts (3-11) and Bengals (5-9), are aiming to lock up a Wild Card position.
Week 15 to Week 16 Price Update: 2:30 AM ET 21/12/17 Shaded Green = Best Buy
Odds Table Placement: Teams are listed by AFC playoff positioning after Week 15.
AFC Championship | ||||
New England Patriots | +140 to -111 | +125 to -125 | +110 to -110 | +100 to -110 |
Pittsburgh Steelers | +160 to +275 | +180 to +300 | +225 to +275 | +200 to +250 |
Jacksonville Jaquars | +800 to +650 | +800 to +650 | +900 to +700 | +1000 to +700 |
Kansas City Chiefs | +1400 to +800 | +1400 to +900 | +1400 to +800 | +1200 to +800 |
Tennessee Titans | +3300 to +5000 | +3300 to +6600 | +2500 to +4500 | +2200 to +5000 |
Buffalo Bills | +10K to +5000 | +10K to +6600 | +6000 to +5000 | +6600 to N/C |
AFC Playoff Line | Currently Out | Currently Out | Currently Out | Currently Out |
Baltimore Ravens | +2000 to +1600 | +2000 to +1600 | +1600 to +1400 | +2000 to +1600 |
Los Angeles Chargers | +7500 to +2500 | +800 to +2200 | +900 to +2200 | +1400 to +2500 |
Oakland Raiders | +10K to N/C | OTB | +5000 to +10K | +4000 to +10K |
Miami Dolphins | +15K to +25K | OTB | +10K to +25K | +10K to +25K |
New York Jets | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
Cincinnati Bengals | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
Denver Broncos | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
Houston Texans | OTB | OTB |
OTB | OTB |
Indianpolis Colts | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
Cleveland Browns | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
14/12/17 AFC Championship Week 15 Odds Update
Football fans receive an early Christmas gift this weekend as Pittsburgh hosts New England with the American Football Conference top overall seed on the line. A Steelers win, plus a Jacksonville loss or tie, clinches home field advantage throughout AFC playoffs for Le’Veon Bell & Crew. Pittsburgh can also clinch a first round BYE with a Week 15 win. Although New England can’t claim the top AFC seed, with a win in the Steel City, a win or tie will lock up a ninth straight AFC East title and 14th in 15 years. The Steelers are +3 home pups vs the Pats.
Rare Saturday NFL action is another early present as Detroit hosts Chicago at Ford Field and Los Angeles heads into Arrowhead Stadium to battle Kansas City. The Chiefs vs Chargers tilt is huge as both teams are sporting a 7-6 record and have a one game lead on Oakland in the AFC West battle. Though it’s based on their recent form, we are somewhat surprised that the Chargers AFC title best price (+900) at Bet365 is much lower the Chiefs (+1400) line at Bodog. The Rams visiting Seattle is another huge matchup on the Week 15 AFC schedule.
Week 14 to Week 15 Price Update: 2:30 PM ET 14/12/17 Shaded Green = Best Buy
Odds Table Placement: Teams are listed by playoff positioning in the AFC after Week 14.
AFC Championship | ||||
Pittsburgh Steelers | +225 to +160 | +190 to +180 | +225 to N/C | +220 to +200 |
New England Patriots | +100 to +140 | +110 to +125 | +100 to +110 | +100 to N/C |
Jacksonville Jaquars | +1200 to +800 | +1600 to +800 | +1200 to +900 | +1200 to +1000 |
Tennessee Titans | +2000 to +3300 | +1600 to +3300 | +1800 to +2500 | +1800 to +2200 |
Kansas City Chiefs | +1600 to +1400 | +1600 to +1400 | +1600 to +1400 | +1600 to +1200 |
Buffalo Bills | +10K to N/C | +12.5K to +10K | +10K to +6000 | +10K to +6600 |
AFC Playoff Line | Currently Out | Currently Out | Currently Out | Currently Out |
Baltimore Ravens | +1600 to +2000 | +2500 to +2000 | +1600 to N/C | +1800 to +2000 |
Los Angeles Chargers | +1200 to +750 | +1200 to +800 | +1200 to +900 | +1400 to N/C |
Oakland Raiders | +2000 to +10K | +1600 to +10K | +2000 to +5000 | +2200 to +4000 |
Miami Dolphins | +12.5K to +15K | +25K to +15K | +15K to +10K | +15K to +10K |
New York Jets | OTB | OTB | +20K to +30K | +20K to +50K |
Cincinnati Bengals | OTB | OTB | OTB | +50K to +25K |
Houston Texans | OTB | OTB |
OTB | +20K to +50K |
Denver Broncos | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
Indianpolis Colts | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
Cleveland Browns | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
7/12/17 AFC Championship Week 14 Odds Update
Making it a two-horse race, on paper at least, our top four recommended bookmakers have New England and Pittsburgh clear of the pack in the AFC Championship race. The Patriots can be purchased at (+110) at Bodog while the Steelers sweetest price (+225) is available at SportsInteraction and Bet365. Though four weeks remain – a first round postseason BYE is now a near lock for the AFC leaders. With @ Miami and VS Baltimore on their Sunday slates respectively, Brady vs Roethlisberger in Week 15 could be a battle for the top AFC seed.
Depending on your point of view, the other two AFC Divisional battles are either fantastic or mostly fights of futility. Put a fork in Houston and Indianapolis as Tennessee and Jacksonville are running neck-and-neck at 8-4 in the AFC South race. The Jaguars @ Titans Week 17 clash might decide the third seed in the AFC playoffs and both teams, with a 10-6 record, may still make it to the dance. In a three way 6-6 tie, Kansas City (1-6 last seven) is clinging to first in the AFC West but the Chargers have won three straight while the Raiders are on a 3-1 roll.
Week 13 to Week 14 Price Update: 10:30 AM ET 7/12/17 Shaded Green = Best Buy
Odds Table Placement: Teams are listed by AFC Standings playoff position after Week 13.
AFC Championship | ||||
Pittsburgh Steelers | +250 to +225 | +200 to +190 | +250 to +225 | +240 to +220 |
New England Patriots | +100 to N/C | +100 to +110 | +100 to N/C | +100 to N/C |
Tennessee Titans | +1800 to +2000 | +1800 to +1600 | +1800 to N/C | +2000 to +1800 |
Kansas City Chiefs | +1000 to +1600 | +1400 to +1600 | +1000 to +1600 | +900 to +1600 |
Jacksonville Jaquars | +1400 to +1200 | +1600 to N/C | +1400 to +1200 | +1400 to +1200 |
Baltimore Ravens | +2000 to +1600 | +3300 to +2500 | +2000 to +1600 | +2000 to +1800 |
AFC Playoff Line | OUT | OUT | OUT | OUT |
Los Angeles Chargers | +1400 to +1200 | +1600 to +1200 | +1400 to +1200 | +1400 to N/C |
Buffalo Bills | +5000 to +10K | +5000 to +12.5K | +5000 to +10K | +6600 to +10K |
Oakland Raiders | +2500 to +2000 | +3300 to +1600 | +2500 to +2000 | +2500 to +2200 |
New York Jets | +20K to N/C | +50K to +15K | +20K to N/C | +20K to N/C |
Miami Dolphins | +20K to +12.5K | +50K to +25K | +20K to +15K | +20K to +15K |
Cincinnati Bengals | +4000 to +6600 | +3300 to +10K | +5000 to +10K | +4000 to +10K |
Houston Texans | +12.5K to +22.5K | OTB |
+12.5K to +22.5K | +12.5K to +20K |
Indianpolis Colts | +50K to N/C | OTB | +50K to N/C | +25K to +50K |
Denver Broncos | +25K to +50K | OTB | OTB | +20K to 50K |
Cleveland Browns | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
30/11/17 AFC Championship Week 13 Odds Update
Thanks to winning runs, New England (9-2) has won seven in a row while Pittsburgh (9-2) has rolled to six straight wins, the AFC title race is now a two horse race at this point. That is solidified even more when one considers that Kansas City (6-5) has stumbled to a 1-5 record over their last six games. The Patriots, who play their next three matches on the road (BUF, MIA, PIT) will be a win, or a Buffalo loss, away from clinching a playoff berth if they beat the Bills in Orchard Park on Sunday. Lay 3-units on the -9 (-110) line at Bodog to back the Pats.
Due to Baltimore winning three of their last four games, Pittsburgh has work ahead to clinch the AFC North. That said, it is only a matter time as a Steelers win in Cincinnati this weekend, plus home victory over the Ravens in Week 14, would seal the deal. Apart from that, there are some great races playing out as Tennessee and Jacksonville are both 7-4 and tied atop the AFC South. Los Angeles has made things interesting in the AFC West as the Chargers are on a 5-2 roll and sit one game behind the crashing Chiefs who they play (in KC) in Week 15.
Final Score: New England Patriots win 23-3 over the Buffalo Bills.
Week 12 to Week 13 Price Update: 10:30 AM ET 30/11/17 Shaded Green = Best Buy
Odds Table Placement: Teams are listed by AFC Standings playoff position after Week 12.
AFC Championship | ||||
Pittsburgh Steelers | +275 to +250 | +200 to N/C | +250 to N/C | +250 to +240 |
New England Patriots | +110 to +100 | +110 to +100 | +110 to +100 | +110 to +100 |
Tennessee Titans | +2000 to +1800 | +2000 to +1800 | +2000 to +1800 | +1600 to +2000 |
Kansas City Chiefs | +700 to +1000 | +800 to +1400 | +650 to +1000 | +700 to +900 |
Jacksonville Jaquars | +900 to +1400 | +900 to +1600 | +1000 to +1400 | +900 to +1400 |
Baltimore Ravens | +2500 to +2000 | +4000 to +3300 | +2500 to +2000 | +2500 to +2000 |
AFC Playoff Line | OUT | OUT | OUT | OUT |
Buffalo Bills | +8000 to +5000 | +5000 to N/C | +8000 to +5000 | +10K to +6600 |
Cincinnati Bengals | +5000 to +4000 | +6600 to +3300 | +5000 to N/C | +5000 to +4000 |
Los Angeles Chargers | +2500 to +1400 | +2800 to +1600 | +2800 to +1400 | +2500 to +1400 |
Oakland Raiders | +3300 to +2500 | +6600 to +3300 | +3300 to +2500 | +2800 to +2500 |
New York Jets | +20K to N/C | +25K to +50K | +20K to N/C | +15K to +20K |
Miami Dolphins | +12.5K to +20K | +20K to +50K | +12.5K to +20K | +12.5K to +20K |
Houston Texans | +6600 to +12.5K | +10K to +20K |
+5000 to +12.5K | +5000 to +12.5K |
Indianpolis Colts | +25K to +50K | +50K to N/C | +25K to +50K | +20K to +25K |
Denver Broncos | +8000 to +25K | +20K to +50K | +7500 to +25K | +6600 to +20K |
Cleveland Browns | +200K to OTB | OTB | +300K to OTB | +100K to OTB |
23/11/17 AFC Championship Week 12 Odds Update
Steady becoming a two-horse race; New England and Pittsburgh are separating from the pack in the AFC Championship race. The Patriots, who are +110 across the board, are one win away from heading into negative territory and that should happen when Tom Brady & Crew mash Miami at home this weekend. The Steelers are 8-2, with a three-game lead on the Baltimore Ravens in the AFC North Division, and they have fallen to a +200 low price at Bodog. However, Pittsburgh can still be bought at +275 money line at SportsInteraction.
Kansas City still has a two-game lead in the dismal AFC West but the Chiefs are on a 1-4 slide. Although they are losing close contests, outscored by a slim 109-98 combined count, the Chiefs AFC title price ballooned to (+800) at Bodog. Jacksonville (7-3) took a one game lead on Tennessee (6-4) in the AFC South and the Jaguars sit alone in as fourth chalk with a (+1000) best price at Bet365. The way the Patriots and Steelers are rolling, and given their remaining schedules, a 2017 AFC Championship rematch battle appears to be a good bet.
Week 11 to Week 12 Price Update: 6:00 AM ET 23/11/17 Shaded Green = Best Buy
Odds Table Placement: Teams are listed by their AFC Standings position through Week 11.
AFC Championship | ||||
Pittsburgh Steelers | +350 to +275 | +225 to +200 | +333 to +250 | +325 to +250 |
New England Patriots | +125 to +110 | +130 to +110 | +125 to +110 | +125 to +110 |
Jacksonville Jaquars | +1200 to +900 | +1200 to +900 | +1000 to N/C | +1100 to +900 |
Kansas City Chiefs | +450 to +700 | +500 to +800 | +400 to +650 | +400 to +700 |
Tennessee Titans | +1400 to +2000 | +1400 to +2000 | +1200 to +2000 | +1200 to +1600 |
Baltimore Ravens | +4000 to +2500 | +5000 to +4000 | +3500 to +2500 | +4000 to +2500 |
Buffalo Bills | +4000 to +8000 | +5000 to +10K | +5000 to +8000 | +4000 to +10K |
Miami Dolphins | +12.5K to N/C | +20K to N/C | +10K to +12.5K | +10K to +12.5K |
New York Jets | +30K to +20K | +25K to N/C | +12.5K to +20K | +12.5K to +15K |
Cincinnati Bengals | +5000 to N/C | +10K to +6600 | +5000 to N/C | +5000 to N/C |
Houston Texans | +6600 to N/C | +10000 to N/C |
+6000 to +5000 | +6000 to +5000 |
Los Angeles Chargers | +4000 to +2500 | +7500 to +2800 | +5000 to +2800 | +5000 to +2500 |
Oakland Raiders | +1400 to +3300 | +1600 to +6600 | +1800 to +3300 | +1800 to +2800 |
Indianpolis Colts | +20K to +25K | +50K to N/C | +20K to +25K | +20K to N/C |
Denver Broncos | +8000 to N/C | +10K to +20K | +5000 to +7500 | +5000 to +6600 |
Cleveland Browns | +100K to +200K | OTB | +250K to +300K | +100K to N/C |
16/11/17 AFC Championship Week 11 Odds Update
Doing what Kansas City didn’t do, the Chiefs lost while New England and Pittsburgh were both on their Week 9 BYE, the Patriots and Patriots won while the Chiefs rested in Week 10. Tom Brady & Crew dismantling the Broncos in Denver pushed the Patriots AFC Championship price down at all four of our top ranked NFL betting sites. Steadily moving to a negative number, the Pats best value is now (+130) at Bodog. Struggling to put away the lowly Colts, bookmakers weren’t as generous toward Pittsburgh as the Steelers price fluctuated some.
Bodog and BetWay lowered the Steelers AFC title odds, Bet365 left it unchanged, while SportsInteraction inflated their line and are now offering a +350 best price on Pittsburgh. Kansas City went largely unchanged – except at Bodog who raised the Chiefs line to +500. There aren’t many squads left in the middle tier as Jacksonville (+1200) Tennessee (+1400) and Oakland (+1800) are the only teams with odds below +4000 at this point. Considering their talent, schedule and pedigree, a repeat of the 2017 AFC title fight is looming large.
Week 10 to Week 11 Price Update: 9:00 PM ET 15/11/17 Shaded Green = Best Buy
Odds Table Placement: Teams are listed by their AFC Standings position through Week 10.
AFC Championship | ||||
Pittsburgh Steelers | +300 to +350 | +300 to +225 | +333 to N/C | +350 to +325 |
New England Patriots | +150 to +125 | +150 to +130 | +137 to +125 | +150 to +125 |
Kansas City Chiefs | +450 to N/C | +450 to +500 | +400 to N/C | +400 to N/C |
Tennessee Titans | +1400 to N/C | +1400 to N/C | +1400 to +1200 | +1400 to +1200 |
Jacksonville Jaquars | +1200 to N/C | +1200 to N/C | +1100 to +1000 | +1200 to +1000 |
Buffalo Bills | +3300 to +4000 | +3300 to +5000 | +3000 to +5000 | +2500 to +4000 |
Baltimore Ravens | +3300 to +4000 | +4000 to +5000 | +3500 to N/C | +3300 to +4000 |
Oakland Raiders | +1400 to N/C | +1600 to N/C | +1600 to +1800 | +1600 to +1800 |
Miami Dolphins | +10K to +12.5K | +10K to +20K | +6600 to +10K | +6600 to +10000 |
New York Jets | +30000 to N/C | +12.5K to +25K | +12500 to N/C | +15K to +12.5K |
Houston Texans | +5000 to +6600 | +5000 to +10000 | +4000 to +6600 | +3300 to +6000 |
Cincinnati Bengals | +3300 to +5000 | +5000 to +10K | +5000 to N/C | +4000 to +5000 |
Los Angeles Chargers | +5000 to +4000 | +5000 to +7500 | +3000 to +5000 | +3300 to +5000 |
Denver Broncos | +4000 to +8000 | +4000 to +10K | +4000 to +5000 | +4000 to +5000 |
Indianpolis Colts | +15K to +20000 | +15K to +50K | +20K to N/C | +15K to +20K |
Cleveland Browns | +100K to N/C | +200K to OTB | +200K to +250K | +100K to N/C |
08/11/17 AFC Championship Week 10 Odds Update
New England, Pittsburgh and Kansas City remain in a three-team title chase in the American Football Conference. Though enjoying a BYE, the Patriots and Steelers gained ground on the Chiefs who are priced between +400 and +450 despite a recent 1-3 stumble. New England’s +150 line stayed steady at our top ranked NFL betting sites – except Bet365 who moved the Patriots (+160 to +137) down slightly. Pittsburgh’s line slipped at three of four betting shops with the lone holdout being BetWay who held the Steelers steady with a +350 price.
Oakland (4-5) is back in the AFC Championship conversation as they won 27-24 on the road in Miami in a match that was 27-16 until a late TD by the Dolphins. The Silver & Black dipped most dramatically at Bodog as they cut their line (+2500 to +1600) which is the Raiders best current value. Tennessee and Jacksonville remain on top of the second tier as they are 5-3 with the Titans owning a head-to-head tie-breaker. That said, the Jaguars +1200 best value at SportsInteraction is 200 units better the Music City Crew who are +1400 across the board.
Week 9 to Week 10 Price Update: 2:00 PM ET 08/11/17 Shaded Green = Best Buy
Odds Table Placement: Teams are listed by the AFC Standings through Week 9.
AFC Championship | ||||
Pittsburgh Steelers | +350 to +300 | +375 to +300 | +350 to +333 | +350 to N/C |
New England Patiots | +400 to +450 | +400 to +450 | +350 to +400 | +350 to +400 |
Kansas City Chiefs | +400 to +450 | +400 to +450 | +350 to +400 | +350 to +400 |
Tennessee Titans | +1800 to +1400 | +1800 to +1400 | +1600 to +1400 | +1600 to +1400 |
Jacksonville Jaquars | +1800 to +1200 | +1800 to +1200 | +1600 to +1100 | +1600 to +1200 |
Buffalo Bills | +2200 to +3300 | +2000 to +3300 | +1400 to +3000 | +1800 to +2500 |
Miami Dolphins | +6600 to +10000 | +6600 to +10000 | +5000 to +6600 | +5000 to +6600 |
Baltimore Ravens | +3300 to +4000 | +3300 to +4000 | +2800 to +3500 | +2500 to +3300 |
Oakland Raiders | +2500 to +1400 | +2500 to +1600 | +2200 to +1600 | +2000 to +1600 |
New York Jets | +30K to +12.5K | +30K to +12.5K | +20K to +12.5K | +20K to +15K |
Houston Texans | +2000 to +5000 | +2000 to +5000 | +2000 to +4000 | +1800 to +3300 |
Cincinnati Bengals | +3300 to +5000 | +3300 to +5000 | +3300 to +5000 | +3300 to +4000 |
Los Angeles Chargers | +5000 to N/C | +5000 to N/C | +3300 to +3000 | +3300 to N/C |
Denver Broncos | +3300 to +4000 | +3000 to +4000 | +3000 to +4000 | +2800 to +4000 |
Indianpolis Colts | +30K to +15K | +30K to +15K | +25K to +20K | +15K to N/C |
Cleveland Browns | +200K to +100K | +200K to OTB | +200K to N/C | +100K to N/C |
02/11/17 AFC Championship Week 9 Odds Update
Continuing their very compelling race – no one gave up ground atop the American Football Conference standings during Week 8 action. New England, with a (+160) AFC Championship best price at Bet653, plus Pittsburgh (+375) and Kansas City (+400) who have their highest lines at Bodog, were all victorious and remain tied for first with a 6-2 mark. The Patriots and Steelers are both on a BYE this week. That means the Chiefs, who get their break next week, can go a win up if they cruise past the Cowboys who will be without stud RB Ezekiel Elliott.
Circle The Wagons! If the NFL postseason began this weekend, Buffalo (5-2) would be at the playoff party for the first time since they finished 11-5 back in 1999. Buffalo, with a +2000 price at SportsInteraction, continue to get the job done on defense (16.4 PPG) and with a solid LeSean McCoy led running game. Prime time tests remain however as the best team in New York State will play the Patriots twice and the Chiefs once down the stretch. Do not waste a dime on Miami as the Dolphins are in disarray and they just traded star RB Jay Ajayi.
AFC Underdog Tip: Solid defense and ground game points to buy Jacksonville (+1800)
Week 8 to Week 9 Price Update: 10:00 PM ET 01/11/17 Shaded Green = Best Buy
Odds Table Placement: Teams are listed by the AFC Standings through Week 8.
AFC Championship | ||||
Pittsburgh Steelers | +375 to +350 | +375 to N/C | +425 to +350 | +400 to +350 |
Kansas City Chiefs | +400 to N/C | +400 to N/C | +400 to +350 | +400 to +350 |
New England Patriots | +150 to N/C | +150 to N/C | +150 to +160 | +150 to N/C |
Buffalo Bills | +2200 to +2000 | +2200 to +2000 | +2000 to +1400 | +2000 to +1800 |
Tennessee Titans | +1800 to N/C | +1800 to N/C | +1600 to N/C | +1600 to N/C |
Jacksonville Jaquars | +1600 to +1800 | +1600 to +1800 | +1600 to N/C | +1800 to +1600 |
Miami Dolphins | +3300 to +6600 | +3300 to +6600 | +2800 to +5000 | +5000 to N/C |
Baltimore Ravens | +5000 to +3300 | +5000 to +3300 | +3300 to +2800 | +3300 to +2500 |
Houston Texans | +2000 to N/C | +2200 to +2000 | +1600 to +2000 | +1600 to +1800 |
Cincinnati Bengals | +5000 to +3300 | +5000 to +3300 | +3300 to N/C | +3300 to N/C |
Denver Broncos | +2200 to +3300 | +2000 to +3300 | +1600 to +3000 | +1800 to +2800 |
New York Jets | +10000 to + 30K | +20000 to +30K | +15000 to +25K | +15000 to +20K |
Los Angeles Chargers | +5000 to N/C | +3300 to +5000 | +2500 to +3300 | +3300 to N/C |
Oakland Raiders | +1600 to +2500 | +1800 to +2500 | +1600 to +2200 | +1600 to +2000 |
Indianpolis Colts | +20000 to +30K | +20000 to +30K | +10000 to +25K | +10000 to +15K |
Cleveland Browns | +100K to +200K | +200K to OTB | +100K to +200K | +100K to N/C |
26/10/17 AFC Championship Week 8 Odds Update
Clear as mud, now that Kansas City (5-2) has lost two straight, the AFC Championship race doesn’t have any teams that resemble a lock. Believing New England would get better on defense – the Patriots held Atlanta to their lowest point total since they lost 38-0 in Carolina during Week 14 in 2015. The Pats, Bills and Dolphins have two losses in the AFC East and those three squads will all face each other twice during the final six weeks. Leading the NFL MVP race, Tom Brady & Crew host the Los Angeles Chargers prior to their Week 9 BYE.
After bashing the Bengals at home – Pittsburgh is now first overall atop the AFC standings. Dropping a heartbreaker on the final play, after penalties wiped out the previous three final plays, the Chiefs 31-30 loss in Oakland drops Kansas City into the second slot. The Steelers, Chiefs and Patriots are 5-2 and we see that race staying close the rest of the way. Houston, Tennessee and Jacksonville (our 24/6/17 AFC pup with a shot) have a good battle brewing and the AFC South has a chance at having two playoff teams for the first time since 2012.
19/10/17 AFC Championship Week 7 Odds Update
Tom Brady & Co. had their hands full with the New Jets during Week 6 but in the end, and like so many times prior, the Pats posted a 24-17 win. That was enough for top ranked CSB sportsbooks to keep the Champs as top chalk to win the 2018 AFC Championship. Winning 19-13 on the road in Kansas City, Pittsburgh handed the Chiefs their first loss of the season. The victory moved the Steelers into a virtual dead-heat with KC as (+400) second favorites. Since we are invested in all three of those teams already – we will stand pat at this point.
Finding an underdog with a chance has turned into a tough task in the AFC. Fresh off a BYE, and playing at home in Mile High Country, Denver (+1200) failed miserably in Week 6 as they dropped a 23-10 decision to New York. That’s the Giants (1-5) first win of the year and they did it with a skeleton squad. Houston didn’t have a problem during a 33-17 pounding of the Browns but the Texans (+1600) have injury issues that didn’t show vs Cleveland. Tennessee ended an 0-11 run vs Indianapolis and we still like the Titans to win the AFC South title.
Week 7 AFC Championship Wait and Watch: Tennessee Titans (+1600) at BetWay.
10/10/17 AFC Championship Week 6 Odds Update
Preseason underdogs are steadily moving up our AFC Championship futures board. Kansas City and Denver both carried a +1200 ML into Week 1 but the Chiefs (5-0) and Broncos (3-1) now sit first and second in the overall AFC standings. We aren’t sold on the Mile High Crew yet but KCC RB Kareem Hunt & Co. look like the real deal. Provided injuries to TE Travis Kelce and Canadian OG Laurent Duvernay-Tardif (McGill University) are not long term, and while it contains many rivalry battles, the Chiefs schedule is fairly soft the rest of the way.
Rebounding is still possible but our Raiders AFC prediction doesn’t look good. The play of QB Ben Roethlisberger is also a concern, but we are less worried about our Pittsburgh AFC title tickets. Big Ben is about to get stud RT Marcus Gilbert back from injury, as early as this week, so that will help. Houston has a problem after losing stars JJ Watt and Whitney Mercilus for the season during Week 5 action. With the Colts and Titans also dealing with key injuries, and despite QB Blake Bortles, the Jaguars are pups with a chance in the AFC South now.
Week 6 AFC Championship Add: Kansas City (+300) Three Units at BetWay
5/10/17 AFC Championship Week 5 Odds Update
Springing off the page, though we rarely start at the bottom, it is difficult to avoid noticing that top ranked CSB bookmakers are sliding the pretender’s way down on their futures boards. Bodog leads the way as they have fattened up the price of the NFL bottom feeders. We won’t be surprised if teams like Cleveland receive an “Off The Board” kiss of death before we hit the half-mile pole. The big return is tempting but stay clear of cellar dwellers.
Leading Tampa Bay in the Week 5 Thursday night fight 16-7, that is currently in progress, New England (2-2) is still clear chalk to win the AFC Championship. Kansas City (4-0) and Pittsburgh (3-1) have closed the gap some while preseason darling Oakland (2-2) has bloated from +700 to a +1100 line at Bet365. That move is primary due to sporadic play – plus the week-to-week back injury QB Derek Carr is dealing with. We still like our Steelers AFC pick.
Week 5 AFC Championship Advice: Beware of backing Buffalo (+5000 to +2500)
28/9/17 AFC Championship Week 4 Odds Update
Bill Belichick is now 9-0 at home vs rookie QB’s but the Deshaun Watson W did not impress and NEP has had a sluggish start. Sill, SportsInteraction left the Brady Bunch at +162 to win the AFC Championship while pumping up Pittsburgh (+500) and Oakland (+650) by 50 units each. Kansas City (+900 to +650) joined the Raiders as third chalk. The Titans odds continue to tumble (+1600 to +1000) as Tennessee is now tied with Denver as fourth favorites. Decent on defence, and loaded in the backfield, the Titans (-110) are our AFC South Pennant pick.
21/9/17 AFC Championship Week 3 Odds Update
Falling back to the pack slightly, after a Week 1 loss vs KCC, New England has pulled way from the pack again as their AFC Championship price moved from +195 to +162. Second favorite Pittsburgh gained some value, going from +400 to +450 while the Raiders (+600) line remained unchanged. The Chiefs (+900) and Denver Broncos (+1000) round out the current top five AFC title contenders. Although the AFC West Division appears to be a bit of a beast – we remain fairly content with our Oakland plus Pittsburgh AFC winner picks
14/9/17 AFC Championship Week 2 Odds Update
Favorites losing on opening day can often upset the apple cart and that’s the case with our Week 2 AFC Championship odds update. The Pats dropped to +160 chalk prior Week I but their loss to the Chiefs has pushed them back up to +195 ML odds at SportsInteraction. Pittsburgh continues to lose value as their odds went from +525 to +400 while the Raiders are third favorites with a +600 AFC Championship price. Kansas City saw their number sink to +850 and Denver rounds out the top five teams as their +1200 money line held steady.
7/9/17 AFC Championship Week 1 Odds Update
Checking out the final AFC Championship preseason lines, it is not surprising that New England is still top chalk. The Patriots line dropped again (+175 to +160) as they prepare to host the Kansas City Chiefs tonight. Perhaps sensing everything will be alright with Le’Veon Bell’s contract, plus having WR Martavis Bryant back in the fold, the Steelers price dropped from +600 to +525 and we are adding two units on Pittsburgh at SportsInteraction.
26/8/17 Championship Lines Update
Price changes are the main story on the AFC Championship futures board since our last SportsInteraction update. New England remains on the top perch as their +175 ML went unchanged. Oakland and Pittsburgh both lost 100 units in value as they are now tied as second favorite with a +600 price. Houston and Denver both went from +900 to +1200 and joined Kansas City in a third favorite tie. Cleveland and Buffalo are still huge pups and their +10000 AFC Championship price is not worth consideration. Watch for our NFL American Football Conference Championship pick once the preseason filler matches are complete.
4/8/17 AFC Championship Odds Update
Although NFC teams began preseason play on August 3, 2017, an AFC squad doesn’t see “action” until August 9, 2017. That is when the Houston Texans will clash with the Carolina Panthers at 7:30 PM ET at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, North Carolina. The AFC Championship prices have stalled at SportsInteraction but those lines will start moving soon.
New England (+175) is quietly working on a third title in four years and they are still runaway top chalk. While a deal of some sort will get worked out, RB Le’Veon Bell has not reported to training camp in Pittsburgh. Houston losing Fuller and Miami losing Tannehill will eventually have an impact on their odds and title hopes. Stay tuned for updates as X-Games play out.
24/6/17 AFC Championship Price Update
With the NFL preseason now just 40 days away, it opens with the Cowboys vs Cardinals Hall of Fame Game on August 3, 2017; it stands to reason that New England is (+175) chalk to win the 2018 AFC Championship. Oakland and Pittsburgh are well off the Pats pace as the Steelers and Raiders are both tagged with a +700 AFC title money line price. Tied with +900 lines, the Denver Broncos and Houston Texans round out the top five AFC title favorites.
Loaded on offense, RB Le’Veon Bell and WR Antonio Brown are both top five fantasy football picks, we are a little surprised by the Steelers lofty line. At this very early stage – we have bet 100 units at SportsInteraction on Pittsburgh and Oakland to win the AFC Championship. NFL bettors looking for a “way out there” longshot are getting (+4000) on the Jacksonville Jaguars. We see the Florida Cats winning more than the 6.5 (-182) games projected at SIA.
2017-18 NFC Championship Futures Movement
13/02/18 NFC 2017-18 Betting Results Wrap Up
Making hay while the sun was shining was our National Football Conference mantra during the 2017-18 NFL season. Although we stumbled with the Packers, Lions and Vikings, our Philadelphia calls to win the NFC and Super Bowl LII more than compensated for those loses. In the end, the Eagles awe-inspiring Championship run returned a generous 3300 units.
Jumping on Minnesota, to win the NFC in Week 9, is a move we’d make again as the Vikings advanced to the NFC Championship game. Backing Green Bay, in Week 2, proved costly when the Packers lost All-World QB Aaron Rodgers in Week 6 while the Detroit wager was a flyer. We’ll be back with full NFC coverage during the 2018-19 season so please stay tuned!
16/01/18 NFC Championship Sunday Update
Advocates that the National Football Conference would be a wild race throughout, since the preseason, a Philadelphia vs Minnesota NFC title game is a fitting conclusion. Both teams had a BYE during the Wild Card round – prior to their Divisional Weekend home games. As the #1 seed, the Eagles hosted Atlanta and eliminated the Falcons during a 15-10 defensive battle at Lincoln Financial Field. Philadelphia is 2-0 in NFC Championship games thanks to home wins over the Dallas Cowboys (20-17) in 1981 and Atlanta Falcons (27-10) in 2005.
Reaching any mountaintop is a tough task – especially when obstacles suddenly appear from time to time. Minnesota is two steps from the metaphorical NFL peak and they have done so after losing their starting running back and quarterback during the regular season. Though mostly ancient history, the Vikings are playing in a ninth NFC Championship. After winning three in row, Minnesota has lost five straight NFC title fights. That includes a heartbreaking 31-28 OT loss on the road vs the New Orleans Saints during their last appearance in 2010.
20/01/18 Hedge Update: Loyal readers of this space are in the best possible shape with their NFC Championship futures bets. Purchasing Philadelphia (+800) before Week 6, plus Minnesota (+1000) prior to Week 9, means we stand to earn a 1500 return if the Eagles win and an 800 cash out if the Vikings win. Hedge Advice: Bettor’s wanting to even out the guaranteed final haul should wager on the Vikings (-155) NFC title game money line. At the current odds, a 500-unit wager on Minnesota returns +1000 Eagles and +1122 Vikings.
NFC Champion Prediction: Minnesota Vikings 7-38
Divisional to Conference Playoffs: 7:30 PM ET 20/01/18 Shaded Green = Best Buy
Odds Table Placement: Teams are listed by NFC playoff position after Divisional Weekend.
NFC Championship | ||||
Philadelphia Eagles | +145 to +135 | +140 to +135 | +150 to +135 | +145 to +135 |
Minnesota Vikings | -155 to -160 | -160 to -155 | -170 to -155 | -170 to -160 |
08/01/18 NFC Divisional Weekend Update
Price moves were prevalent in the NFC as three of four remaining contenders saw their odds shrink considerably. Minnesota’s line dipped to an NFC low (+125) at SportsInteraction and Betway. Bodog is still has the Vikings at +160 and punters are advised to buy that line while they can. Led by QB Drew Brees, New Orleans took out Carolina (31-26) and their odds fell across the board. The Vikings are -4 (-115) chalk at Bet365 for their 4:40 PM ET Divisional battle with the Saints on January 14, 2018, at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, Minnesota.
Forecasting a young Los Angeles squad would struggle under the bright NHL playoff lights, the Rams vs Falcons matchup played out as pretty much as we expected it would as Atlanta cruised to a 26-13 victory. The defending Champs line fell by two thirds at CSB top ranked CSB sportsbooks. A trip to Philadelphia, against the #1 seeded Eagles who are now +500 overall NFC underdogs is up next. That contest goes at 1:30 PM ET on January 13, 2018, at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia and the Eagles are -3 dogs with various level of juice.
NFC Championship Matchup Prediction: Minnesota 29-24 vs Philadelphia 15-10
Wild Card to Divisional Playoffs: 10:00 AM ET 08/01/18 Shaded Green = Best Buy
Odds Table Placement: Teams are listed by NFC playoff position after Wild Card Weekend.
NFC Championship | ||||
Philadelphia Eagles | +400 to +500 | +450 to +500 | +300 to +450 | +350 to +450 |
Minnesota Vikings | +162 to +125 | +160 to N/C | +180 to +130 | +175 to +125 |
New Orleans Saints | +400 to +275 | +375 to +250 | +500 to +300 | +450 to +300 |
Atlanta Falcons | +900 to +300 | +1200 to +300 | +1100 to +333 | +1200 to +333 |
01/01/18 Wild Card Weekend Odds Update
Minnesota, who finished with the league’s top scoring defense that allowed 15.8 PPG, has taken over as the top NFC contender. The Vikings are looking to be the first team to play a Super Bowl on their home turf and their line has fallen steadily since Philadelphia lost QB Carson Wentz. The Eagles join the Vikings on a first round BYE and will get either #6 Atlanta if they beat #3 Los Angeles or the winner of the #4 New Orleans vs # 5 Carolina match if the Rams take out the Falcons. The Vikings get the highest seed from Wild Card Weekend.
Back to the postseason from the first time since the 2005 season, the Los Angeles Rams host the defending NFC Champion Atlanta Falcons in the first NFC Wild Card match on Saturday. These teams played in SoCal last year and the Falcons rolled the Rams 42-14 but Los Angeles has improved while Atlanta has regressed some. New Orleans and Carolina will battle for the third time after the Saints sweep the regular season series with lopsided wins in Week 3 (34-13) and Week 13 (31-21). Expect both first round NFC playoff games to be high scoring.
Week 17 to Wild Card Price Update: 10:30 AM ET 01/01/18 Shaded Green = Best Buy
Odds Table Placement: Teams are listed by NFC playoff positioning after Week 17.
NFC Championship | ||||
Philadelphia Eagles | +400 to N/C | +400 to +450 | +400 to +300 | +350 to N/C |
Minnesota Vikings | +150 to +162 | +150 to +160 | +225 to +180 | +225 to +175 |
Los Angeles Rams | +400 to N/C | +400 to N/C | +425 to +450 | +450 to N/C |
New Orleans Saints | +400 to N/C | +400 to +375 | +425 to +500 | +400 to +450 |
Carolina Panthers | +900 to +1000 | +900 to +1000 | +800 to +1100 | +900 to +1200 |
Atlanta Falcons | +1400 to +900 | +1400 to +1200 | +900 to +1100 | +1000 to +1200 |
27/12/17 NFC Championship Week 17 Odds Update
Following a less than impressive 19-10 Christmas Day win versus Oakland, Philadelphia has locked up home-field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs. A win is a win but the Eagles don’t look anywhere near as dominant as they did three weeks ago. Though we doubt they will need help – Minnesota has several ways to claim the other first round BYE. A win over the lowly Chicago Bears will do it but a Carolina loss or tie OR wins by New Orleans or Los Angeles would also give the Vikings next week off. Both teams play early games
Afternoon games will decide the NFC South winner plus the three through six seeds. There a bunch of scenarios as the current order; Rams, Saints, Panthers, Falcons and Seahawks, could see wholesale changes depending on the Week 17 results. Los Angeles, New Orleans and Carolina have all secured a playoff berth but they could all flip their current seeds. Atlanta needs to defeat the Panthers at home to retain the sixth seed. The Falcons can also get in if they lose and the Arizona Cardinals find a way to beat the Seahawks in Seattle.
Week 16 to Week 17 Price Update: 10:30 AM ET 01/01/18 Shaded Green = Best Buy
Odds Table Placement: Teams are listed by NFC playoff positioning after Week 16.
NFC Championship | ||||
Philadelphia Eagles | +400 to N/C | +375 to +400 | +400 to N/C | +400 to +350 |
Minnesota Vikings | +250 to +150 | +250 to +150 | +250 to +225 | +250 to +225 |
Los Angeles Rams | +450 to +400 | +500 to +400 | +400 to +425 | +400 to +450 |
New Orleans Saints | +450 to +400 | +450 to +400 | +450 to +425 | +375 to +400 |
Carolina Panthers | +850 to +900 | +850 to +900 | +900 to +800 | +900 to N/C |
Atlanta Falcons | +750 to +1400 | +750 to +1400 | +800 to +900 | +800 to +1000 |
NFC Playoff Line | Currently Out | Currently Out | Currently Out | Currently Out |
Seattle Seahawks | +2800 to +4000 | +2800 to +4000 | +2200 to +1600 | +2800 to +2500 |
Detroit Lions | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
Dallas Cowboys | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
Green Bay Packers | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
Washington Redskins | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
Ariziona Cardinals | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
San Francisco 49ers | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
Chicago Bears | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
New York Giants | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
21/12/17 NFC Championship Week 16 Odds Update
Playing out like we thought it would, since the preseason, the NFC playoff picture is still fairly clouded. With QB Nick Foles (4 TD) guiding the ship, Philadelphia looked decent on offense, though not so good on defense, during their 34-29 Week 15 win on the road vs New York. Still, a win is a win and the Eagles need one more during their final two games at home vs Oakland and Dallas to clinch home-field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs. Falling to second chalk last week, the Eagles NFC title price was inflated slightly again this week.
Minnesota, needing two wins plus two Philly losses to claim the top seed, is consensus NFC chalk with a (+250) price. The Vikings are at Green Bay (QB Aaron Rodgers is back on IR) and then home versus Chicago. Being as Super Bowl LII will play out at US Bank Stadium, the Vikings can become the first team to host and play in the NFL title game. Los Angeles, who close @ Titans and vs 49ers, earn a BYE with two wins and two Vikings losses. With a win, the Saints, Panthers and Falcons are in – ending the Lions, Cowboys and Seahawks seasons.
Week 15 to Week 16 Price Update: 2:30 AM ET 21/12/17 Shaded Green = Best Buy
Odds Table Placement: Teams are listed by NFC playoff positioning after Week 15.
NFC Championship | ||||
Philadelphia Eagles | +375 to +400 | +350 to +375 | +375 to +400 | +350 to +400 |
Minnesota Vikings | +275 to +250 | +300 to +250 | +300 to +250 | +250 to N/C |
Los Angeles Rams | +750 to +450 | +750 to +500 | +650 to +400 | +550 to +400 |
New Orleans Saints | +525 to +450 | +550 to +450 | +500 to +450 | +500 to +375 |
Carolina Panthers | +1100 to +850 | +1100 to +850 | +1000 to +900 | +900 to N/C |
Atlanta Falcons | +800 to +750 | +800 to +750 | +700 to +800 | +700 to +800 |
NFC Playoff Line | Currently Out | Currently Out | Currently Out | Currently Out |
Detroit Lions | +7500 to +4000 | +7500 to +6600 | +3300 to N/C | +3500 to +4000 |
Seattle Seahawks | +800 to +2800 | +800 to +2800 | +700 to +2200 | +600 to +2800 |
Dallas Cowboys | +5000 to +1800 | +4000 to +2000 | +2800 to +2200 | +3000 to +2200 |
Green Bay Packers | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
Washington Redskins | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
Ariziona Cardinals | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
San Francisco 49ers | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
Chicago Bears | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
New York Giants | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
14/12/17 NFC Championship Week 15 Odds Update
Already wide open, the Carson Wentz injury has complicated the NFC Championship lines even more. The Vikings, Saints and Rams all losing during Week 14 action adds to the odds tightening up. Philadelphia has clinched a playoff berth – Minnesota will join them with a win over Cincinnati at home this weekend. Nick Foles is a “capable” backup pivot so Philly’s price only moved up by 100 units at all of our top rated NFL betting sportsbooks. The Eagles are at the Giants, plus home vs the Raiders and Cowboys, to close out their regular season slate.
One has to wonder how a young Los Angeles team will react after the Rams let a 28-24 lead slip away vs Philadelphia at home last week. That’s particularly true given that they are on the road in Seattle this weekend. The Seahawks posted a 16-10 road victory against the Rams in Week 5 and another win would give the Hawks a huge tie breaker edge in NFC West title race. Despite their loss to Atlanta, the Saints still control the NFC South race but the Falcons and Carolina Panthers both still have a decent shot at claiming a postseason berth as well.
Week 14 to Week 15 Price Update: 2:30 PM ET 14/12/17 Shaded Green = Best Buy
Odds Table Placement: Teams are listed by NFC Standings playoff position after Week 14.
NFC Championship | ||||
Philadelphia Eagles | +275 to +375 | +250 to +350 | +275 to +375 | +250 to +350 |
Minnesota Vikings | +350 to +275 | +350 to +300 | +350 to +300 | +330 to +250 |
Los Angeles Rams | +600 to +750 | +600 to +750 | +600 to +650 | +600 to +550 |
New Orleans Saints | +500 to +525 | +400 to +550 | +500 to N/C | +450 to +500 |
Carolina Panthers | +1200 to +1100 | +1400 to +1100 | +1200 to +1000 | +1200 to +900 |
Atlanta Falcons | +1100 to +800 | +1400 to +800 | +1100 to +700 | +1100 to +700 |
NFC Playoff Line | Currently Out | Currently Out | Currently Out | Currently Out |
Seattle Seahawks | +600 to +800 | +800 to N/C | +600 to +700 | +650 to +600 |
Detroit Lions | +5000 to +7500 | +5000 to +7500 | +5000 to +3300 | +5000 to +3500 |
Green Bay Packers | +3000 to +900 | +1600 to +900 | +3000 to +2500 | +4000 to +2000 |
Dallas Cowboys | +3000 to +5000 | +5000 to +4000 | +3000 to +2800 | +4000 to +3000 |
Ariziona Cardinals | OTB | OTB | +10K to +30K | +10K to N/C |
Washington Redskins | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
Chicago Bears | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
San Francisco 49ers | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
New York Giants | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
7/12/17 NFC Championship Week 14 Odds Update
Jumbled throughout the top seven, several Week 14 contests had an affect up the National Football Conference standings – and the prices on our NFC Championship futures board. Not the end of the world, considering the contest was played in Seattle, the Eagles loss to the Seahawks moved their odds up to a (+275) best price at Bet365 and SIA. The health of TE Zach Ertz (concussion) is a major concern for Philly moving forward. The Eagles are slated to play in fire-ravaged Los Angeles this week vs the Rams (9-3) who are just one game back.
Though not an overwhelming victory, Minnesota did just enough to get past Atlanta (14-9) on the road, the Vikings (10-2) price took a hit as their best line tumbled (+450 to +350) at three of our top four sportsbooks. Looking at their remaining slate – QB Case Keenum & Crew have a solid shot at claiming the top NFC seed with a 13-3 record. After the Falcons and Carolina both lost last week, New Orleans is in control of the NFC South. A Saints Week 15 win, coupled with a Panthers loss to the Vikings, earns Drew Brees & Co. a playoff berth.
Week 13 to Week 14 Price Update: 10:30 AM ET 7/12/17 Shaded Green = Best Buy
Odds Table Placement: Teams are listed by NFC Standings playoff position after Week 13.
NFC Championship | ||||
Minnesota Vikings | +450 to +350 | +450 to +350 | +450 to +350 | +400 to +333 |
Philadelphia Eagles | +200 to +275 | +175 to +250 | +200 to +275 | +200 to +250 |
Los Angeles Rams | +600 to N/C | +650 to +600 | +600 to N/C | +650 to +600 |
New Orleans Saints | +600 to +500 | +700 to +400 | +600 to +500 | +650 to +450 |
Carolina Panthers | +1100 to +1200 | +900 to +1400 | +1000 to +1200 | +1100 to +1200 |
Seattle Seahawks | +700 to +600 | +1200 to +800 | +750 to +600 | +700 to +650 |
NFC Playoff Line | OUT | OUT | OUT | OUT |
Atlanta Falcons | +700 to +1100 | +600 to +1400 | +700 to +1100 | +700 to +1100 |
Detroit Lions | +3300 to +5000 | +3300 to +5000 | +3300 to +5000 | +3300 to +5000 |
Green Bay Packers | +6600 to +3000 | +10K to +1600 | +5000 to +3000 | +6000 to +4000 |
Dallas Cowboys | +5000 to +3000 | +7500 to +5000 | +6600 to +3000 | +5000 to +4000 |
Washington Redskins | +5000 to +7500 | +6600 to +15K | +4000 to +7500 | +5000 to +8000 |
Ariziona Cardinals | +25K to +12.5K | +10K to +25K | +6600 to +10K | +7500 to +10K |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +15K to +25K | OTB | +15K to +20K | +12.5K to +20K |
Chicago Bears | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
San Francisco 49ers | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
New York Giants | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
30/11/17 NFC Championship Week 13 Odds Update
Rolling into final five weeks – there are plenty of twists and turns ahead in the NFC. Despite a nine game winning streak, during which they have pounded opponents by a 301-147 count, Philadelphia (10-1) still needs mindful of Minnesota (9-2) who have won seven straight. The next two weeks are important to both teams as the Eagles play the Seahawks and Rams on the road while the Vikings visit the Falcons and Panthers. A Philadelphia sweep, coupled with a 1-1 mark by Minnesota, would certainly go a long way towards deciding the #1 NFC seed.
Equally hot, the race for the last four NFC playoff positions is a long way from being decided as well. Los Angeles (8-3) has a one-game lead over Seattle (7-4) in the NFC West chase and the Seahawks will host the Rams in Week 15. Winners of four and three straight, Carolina (8-3) and Atlanta (7-4) are in a fierce fight with New Orleans (8-3) in the tight NFC South. The Panthers and Saints square off in the Bayou this week while the Falcons still have two games (WK 13 & 16) versus Drew Brees & Crew. Atlanta and Carolina clash in Week 17 in Georgia.
Week 12 to Week 13 Price Update: 10:30 AM ET 30/11/17 Shaded Green = Best Buy
Odds Table Placement: Teams are listed by their NFC Standings position after Week 12.
NFC Championship | ||||
Philadelphia Eagles | +200 to N/C | +190 to +175 | +200 to N/C | +225 to +200 |
Minnesota Vikings | +600 to +450 | +550 to +450 | +550 to +450 | +600 to +400 |
Los Angeles Rams | +900 to +600 | +800 to +650 | +900 to +600 | +900 to +650 |
New Orleans Saints | +450 to +600 | +375 to +700 | +450 to +600 | +475 to +600 |
Carolina Panthers | +1100 to N/C | +1100 to +900 | +1100 to +1000 | +1100 to N/C |
Atlanta Falcons | +800 to +700 | +1100 to +600 | +800 to +700 | +900 to +700 |
NFC Playoff Line | OUT | OUT | OUT | OUT |
Seattle Seahawks | +900 to +700 | +1400 to +1200 | +900 to +750 | +800 to +700 |
Detroit Lions | +1600 to +3300 | +1400 to +3300 | +1600 to +3300 | +1600 to +3300 |
Green Bay Packers | +4000 to +6600 | +6600 to +10K | +4000 to +5000 | +4000 to +6000 |
Dallas Cowboys | +2200 to +5000 | +3300 to +7500 | +2200 to +6600 | +2000 to +5000 |
Washington Redskins | +5000 to N/C | +10K to +6600 | +5000 to +4000 | +5000 to N/C |
Ariziona Cardinals | +10K to +25K | +25K to +10K | +8000 to +6600 | +10K to +7500 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +6600 to +15K | +15K to +50K | +10K to +15K | +6600 to +12.5K |
Chicago Bears | +25K to +50K | +50K to N/C | +20K to +50k | +10K to +25K |
New York Giants | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
San Francisco 49ers | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
23/11/17 NFC Championship Week 12 Odds Update
Running red-hot, Philadelphia (9-1) has rattled off eight straight wins and they are clear top chalk in NFC with a (+200) line at BetWay. The Eagles are sporting an NFL best +132 RF/RA differential which is 28 points better than the mark Jacksonville has posted. Not conceding anything to the Eagles, Minnesota (8-2) is second overall in NFC as the Vikings (+600 at SIA) have won six straight. New Orleans (8-2) continues to be the surprise team in the NFL as the Saints (+450 at Bet365) have matched Philly with eight wins. The NFC title race is fantastic.
Los Angeles came back to earth, after a mashing in Minnesota, and bookmakers sold out on the Rams as they are now priced between +800 and +900 as fourth favorites. After a 1-4 slide, Atlanta has won two in row but the Falcons have a tough road ahead with two games against New Orleans plus one against both Minnesota and Carolina who have won three in a row. The defending NFC Champs are priced between +800 at Bet365 and +1100 at Bodog while Carolina has a +1100 line across the board. The Eagles remain as the NFC best bet.
Week 11 to Week 12 Price Update: 6:00 AM ET 23/11/17 Shaded Green = Best Buy
Odds Table Placement: Teams are listed by their NFC Standings position after Week 11.
NFC Championship | ||||
Philadelphia Eagles | +250 to +200 | +240 to +190 | +240 to +200 | +225 to +200 |
Minnesota Vikings | +750 to +600 | +800 to +550 | +750 to +550 | +700 to +600 |
New Orleans Saints | +500 to +450 | +500 to +375 | +500 to +450 | +475 to +450 |
Los Angeles Rams | +500 to +900 | +500 to +800 | +600 to +900 | +600 to +900 |
Carolina Panthers | +1100 to N/C | +1100 to N/C | +1100 to N/C | +1100 to N/C |
Atlanta Falcons | +1400 to +800 | +1400 to +1100 | +1100 to +800 | +1200 to +900 |
Detroit Lions | +1600 to N/C | +1600 to +1400 | +1600 to N/C | +1600 to N/C |
Seattle Seahawks | +600 to +900 | +700 to +1400 | +500 to +900 | +550 to +800 |
Green Bay Packers | +4000 to N/C | +2800 to +6600 | +3500 to +4000 | +4000 to N/C |
Dallas Cowboys | +1600 to +2200 | +1800 to +3300 | +1600 to +2200 | +1600 to +2000 |
Washington Redskins | +4000 to +5000 | +5000 to +10K | +4000 to +5000 | +4000 to +5000 |
Ariziona Cardinals | +8000 to +10K | +10K to +25K | +4000 to +8000 | +8000 to +10K |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +6600 to N/C | +10K to +15K | +8000 to +10K | +8000 to +6600 |
Chicago Bears | +10K to +20K | +15K to +50K | +8000 to +20k | +10K to N/C |
New York Giants | +100K to N/C | OTB | +50K to +100K | +50K to N/C |
San Francisco 49ers | +100K to +200K | OTB | +200K to +250K | +100K to N/C |
16/11/17 NFC Championship Week 11 Odds Update
Slightly surprised by bookmakers boosting Philadelphia’s Super Bowl LII line, while the Eagles were on a BYE, we are more surprised that their NFC Championship odds were jacked up across the board. The moves were only slight but Philadelphia, who has a (+250) best value at SportsInteraction, is just four wins away from locking up a playoff berth. Linemakers are split on the second to fourth favorites as New Orleans (+475 BetWay) Los Angeles (+500 Bodog) and Seattle (+500 Bet365) continue to run neck and neck in that heated battle.
Following a 0-2 start, that pushed their NCF title price to +3300, New Orleans has won seven straight and their line has fallen steadily. The Saints face a tougher road in the second half as they won’t be facing QB’s like Jay Cutler (29) Brett Hundley (33) Mitchell Trubisky (34) Jameis Winston (24) and Tyrod Taylor (18) very often. Numbers in brackets are those pivots current points per game fantasy football rankings. With lowest chalk lines at BetWay, Minnesota (+800) Carolina (+1200) and defending NFC Champion Atlanta (+1400) are also in the mix.
08/11/17 NFC Championship Week 10 Odds Update
Hotter than Las Vegas Boulevard in July, Philadelphia has pummelled opponents by a margin of 283-179, the Eagles have opened up a large gap in the National Football Conference race. Priced from +200 at BetWay to +225 at Bodog, Philly heads into their BYE week with an NFL best 8-1 record and a three-win NFC East lead over Dallas. Despite their underwhelming play through eight games, Seattle (5-3) remains as consensus second chalk but linemakers pushed the Seahawks odds up and their +600 line at SIA is a new season high. Stay off the Hawks.
New Orleans, Minnesota and Los Angeles are all 6-2 and lead the second tier as at least one of our top bookmakers have each of them priced at +800. Dallas, who have won three in a row, are also at +800 everywhere except BetWay who have the Cowboys (5-3) line at +900. Bookmakers appear to have given up on Atlanta repeating as NFC Champs as the Falcons have ballooned (+900 to +1400) week over week everywhere. Detroit pounding the Packers, 30-17 in Green Bay, moved the Lions odds down (+1800 to +1600) on the Bet365 board.
20/11/17 NFC Championship Week 9 Odds Update
Led by Philadelphia, who keep fattening up their top contender status, the National Football Conference standings are somewhat bottlenecked. In a classic “the rich get richer” move, the Eagles landed Ajayi, which adds another weapon to their already stacked arsenal on offence. That addition, plus a solid 33-10 shredding of San Francisco, pushed the Eagles price down to (+275) at Bet365 and up to (+225) overall chalk at BetWay. Seattle is second favorite as they slugged it out with Houston, in a CFL style shootout, before scoring late to top the Texans.
Minnesota, New Orleans and Los Angeles own the third to fifth NFC playoff positions. The Vikings (6-2) are leading the NFC North and, while lacking some weapons on offense, they have a favorable season ending slate. Playing decent defense, while still potent on offense, the Saints (5-2) have won five straight but their toughest sledding lays ahead and we don’t suggest buying the Bayou Boys (+1000) price at Bodog. The LA Rams savoured their 33-0 annihilation of Arizona during a Week 8 Bye and they to have a tough second half slate.
NFC Championship Add: Buy Minnesota Vikings (+1000) One Unit at Bet365.
26/10/17 NFC Championship Week 8 Odds Update
Clarity, though only slight and possibly fleeting, is a word we can use for the first time this season when describing the NFC playoff picture. After whacking Washington, for the second time this year, Philadelphia is consensus top chalk at the CSB top ranked sportsbooks. It was a costly win though as the Eagles lost nine-time Pro Bowl LT Jason Peters and rising star LB Jordan Hicks for the season. The former is trouble for QB Carson Wentz who is enjoying an MVP caliber season thanks in part to Peters excellent blind-side offensive line protection.
Ranging from +275 at Bet635 to +333 at Bodog, the Eagles top second favorite Seattle who are priced between +375 and +450 at BetWay and SportsInteraction. The love the Seahawks (4-2) are getting is surprising as their win over the Rams is only one of four that is a quality win. The Hawks other three victories are against teams (SF IND NYG) with a combined 3-18 record. Bookmakers feel defending Champion Atlanta can turn things around as the Falcons are bunched with Minnesota, Los Angeles and Dallas in the third and fourth chalk spots.
19/10/17 NFC Championship Week 7 Odds Update
We knew the NFC Championship race would be loaded with pitfalls but we didn’t forecast QB Aaron Rodgers having his collarbone crushed. We don’t see the Packers folding up their tent but Bet365 moved their line (+300 to +1000) a ton. A little late on the 5-1 Eagles, we picked up Philadelphia at +800 and they’re now top chalk with a line from +350 at BetWay to +425 at Bodog. Stacked on offense, after a 30-17 Week 1 win versus the Redskins in DC, Philly aims for a season series sweep of NFC East rival Washington at The Linc during MNF.
Defending NFC Champ Atlanta (+450 to +750) have not looked right this season. It’s tough to figure out as they have MVP QB in Matt Ryan, highly productive running backs Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman, plus Julio Jones who is arguably the best wideout in the NFL. Coming out of their BYE we felt the Falcons would be worth watching – especially with Jones reportedly healthy. The Dirty Birds 20-17 home loss to Miami last week, after being up 17-0 at halftime, is concerning. Defense has a chance at leading Minnesota to the NFC North title.
Week 7 NFC Championship Wait and Watch: Minnesota Vikings (+1600) at Bodog.
10/10/17 NFC Championship Week 6 Odds Update
Soaring into the NFC Championship conversation, the Philadelphia Eagles have raced out to a 4-1 start and they are a tiebreaker ahead of the Green Bay Packers and Carolina Panthers in the NFC standings. Adding to their fortunes, the Eagles have victories over Washington (2-3) and New York (0-5) and they appear to be the class of the NFC East Division. Green Bay, who have dealt with their share of injuries, helped the Eagles cause with their Week 5 win over Dallas who have regressed considerably after their hot run during the 2016 NFL season.
Injuries are a big story across the board in the NFL season this season. Atlanta knows all about that as the Falcons spent their BYE week trying to get wide receivers Julio Jones and Mohamed Sanu healthy. The defending NFC Champs looked horrible during their Week 4 loss in Buffalo (23-17) but they are still a team to watch as they have a (-550) best price at Bodog. Following a pair of wins, over New England and Detroit, Carolina sits third overall in the NFC race but we caution against getting too excited about the Panthers title chances.
Week 6 NFC Championship Buy: Philadelphia (+800) 2-Units @ SportsInteraction
5/10/17 NFC Championship Week 5 Odds Update
Position and price changes were many in the NFC following Week 4 action. Void of a clear leader, six teams are 3-1 while another seven are 2-2, NFC prices bunched week over week. After swapping top chalk positions prior to Week 4, the Packers 35-14 bashing of the Bears, plus the Falcons falling 23-17 to Buffalo, pushed Green Bay back to the top perch. After a lackluster effort at home, Atlanta will use their Week 5 BYE to regroup and get healthy.
Underdogs have also taken a hit in the NFC Championship race – though the moves are not as drastic as the AFC dumps. As has been the case since the season opened, we have a muddled mess in the middle as the gap from Seattle (+500) to Tampa Bay (+1400) is filled with five other teams. Sitting with a 3-1 record in the NFC North, a tie-breaker better the Packers, Detroit is getting rare props as their +2800 preseason price is now ancient history.
Week 5 NFC Championship Advice: Add Detroit (+1200) One Unit at BetWay.
28/9/17 NFC Championship Week 4 Odds Update
Buckle up as there will be plenty of zigs and zags leading up to Championship Sunday on Jan 21, 2018. Despite struggling for 56 minutes, at home vs the Cincy Kittens, BetWay pushed the Packers (+450 to +400) back into the top NFC chalk slot. Though Atlanta’s road wins were suspect, over Chicago and Detroit, the Falcons fell (+500 to +375) and the defending Champs landed on the top perch with GBP. Dallas made a big move into the second slot (+1100 to +500) while Seattle (+400 to +600) slid to third overall NFC Championship chalk.
21/09/17 NFC Championship Week 3 Odds Update
There was plenty of movement on the NFC Championship board at SportsInteraction as Seattle (+500 to +400) surpassed Green Bay (+400 to +450) as the top favorite. The Seahawks lost to the Packers, and then barely beat the 49ers, so we don’t see the move as justifiable. Atlanta (+600 to +500) and Dallas (+550 to +600) traded the third and fourth chalk positions while Tampa Bay (+1800 to +1100) was the biggest upward mover as the Buccaneers now round out the top five contenders in what is a murky NFC title chase.
14/09/17 NFC Championship Week 2 Odds Update
Despite the Packers defensive domination of the Seahawks, Green Bay (+400) and Seattle (+500) held steady as the top favorites in the NFC. Dallas dropped from +650 to +550 and edged past Atlanta as the Cowboys moved into the third favorite spot while the Falcons dropped to fourth but their +600 odds went unchanged on the board at SportsInteraction. Following impressive Week 1 wins, though over mediocre teams, Carolina and Minnesota round out the top five contenders as they both have a +1000 NFC Championship price.
Week 2 Best Buy: Our Packers +3 (-120) vs Atlanta selection crashed and burned.
2018 NFC Championship Prediction: Green Bay (+400) NFC Champions Three Units
07/09/17 NFC Championship Week 1 Odds Update
Movement was scarce on NFC Championship futures board as Green Bay, Seattle, Atlanta and Dallas retained their price since our update a week ago. Despite selecting QB Matt Ryan, plus RB’s Devante Freeman and Tevon Coleman, on my Fantasy Football team, yours truly still has doubts that the Dirty Birds will get back to the dance. Green Bay and Seattle lines will change after they square off at Lambeau Field on Sunday. Since the top contender list is still a long one – we’ll wait at least another week before making our NFC Championship call.
26/08/17 NFC Championship Price Update
Green Bay continues to lead the way on the SportsInteraction NFC Championship futures board as the Packers +400 ML is down from their +500 pre X-Game odds. Seattle (+500) and Atlanta (+600) both passed Dallas who saw their line inflate from +500 to +650 as they deal with Elliott’s suspension. An appeal, that will favor Zeke, will be heard on August 29 and the Cowboys price will fall. Chicago (+3300 to +7500) is closing in on San Francisco (+10000) who remain as NFC dogs. We’re watching Tampa Bay (+3300) as a possible dark horse.
04/08/17 NFC Championship Lines Update
Since our last update, Green Bay separated some from the pack on the NFC Championship futures board at SportsInteraction. The Packers line shrunk from +500 to +400 as they now stand alone as top chalk in the NFC. Partly due to questions surrounding a possible long suspension to RB Ezekiel Elliott (Zeke is appealing his six games) Dallas has dropped out a tie with GBP and into a tie with Atlanta and Seattle as second favorites with a +600 money line.
Middle of the packs teams remained relatively unchanged but Philadelphia lost +300 in value as the Eagles are now tied with their NFC East rival the Washington Redskins as sixth favorites (behind ten teams) at +2200. The Lions, Bears, Rams and 49ers remain as the longest of the longshots. Once the preseason kicks into gear, all of the NFL odds will change depending on how teams play – and who they lose to injury. Stay tuned for regular price updates here.
24/06/17 NFC Championship Odds Update
Similar to mnay seasons past, there are a handful of contenders tightly bunched on the NFC Championship betting board at SportsInteraction. The upstart Dallas Cowboys and Green Bay Packers are tied at the top with a +500 NFC title price, while the Seattle Seahawks and 2016 NFC Champion Atlanta Falcons are not far back with +550 and +600 odds respectively.
Earning a playoff berth last season, the NY Giants round out the top five NFC squads with a +900 price. After a four-year NFL playoff absence, the G-Men had some cupcakes on their 2016 schedule – they have a tougher slate in 2017. A group of nine teams have a line from +1200 to +3300 while the LA Rams (+6600) and San Francisco 49ers (+10000) are NFC pups.




