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Liverpool welcome PSG to Anfield for the second leg of the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals, seeking a famous European comeback — and the latest Liverpool vs. PSG prediction points to a huge night under the lights in Merseyside.
The fixture is set for Tuesday, 14th April 2026, with the match scheduled to kick off at 8 p.m. local time.
The Reds face a significant challenge after the first leg in France ended in a 2-0 victory for the Parisians, leaving the chances of qualifying for the semi-final heavily in the visitors’ favour.
Liverpool vs. PSG Prediction
PSG to win
- PSG don’t need to win at Anfield to secure their place in the semi-finals of the Champions League, but there was a clear gulf between the two teams in the first leg, and Luis Enrique’s side should have sufficient quality to win.
- PSG are enjoying a run of five straight wins across all competitions. During that run, they have scored an average of 3.4 goals per game, 2.8 more than they have conceded.
- Since the knockout stages of the 2024/25 Champions League began, PSG have lost just four of their 23 matches in this competition, winning 15. There have been several impressive performances from PSG during that run, and the first leg against Liverpool was up there with the best. Enrique’s team dominated possession and restricted Arne Slot’s team to an xG (expected goals) of just 0.17.
- PSG also have more time to prepare for this fixture. Their Ligue 1 clash with Lens was postponed, meaning Enrique won’t need to manage his players’ fitness. Instead, Les Parisiens will be on the training pitch, hoping to mastermind another win over Liverpool.
- Liverpool were beaten 1-0 at Anfield by PSG last season. Arne Slot’s current side have performed significantly worse than that Liverpool team, and they face a PSG side that beat Chelsea 3-0 away in England in the last round.
BETSiE Projection
Projected Chance of Winning
| Liverpool | Draw | PSG |
| 41.1% | 21.1% | 37.8% |
Projected Goal Totals
| Liverpool | Match Total | PSG |
| 1.66 | 3.19 | 1.52 |
Liverpool vs. PSG match context
- The winner of this tie will face either Bayern or Real Madrid in the Champions League semi-final, with Bayern holding a 2-1 lead after the first leg.
- In the first leg in Paris, the current Champions League holders scored after 11 minutes thanks to Desire Doue and doubled their lead in the second half with Khvicha Kvaratskhelia. But PSG had several chances to score even more goals as Liverpool failed to register an attempt on target in a Champions League match for the first time since 2020.
- Betting markets currently give PSG an implied probability of about 88% to progress to the semi-finals, though Liverpool are handed a chance of approximately 52% to win this home leg on the night, according to the latest bookmakers’ odds.
Liverpool vs. PSG odds analysis
- Home advantage means Liverpool are the slight favourites to win this game, with the odds suggesting they have around a 44% chance of winning on the night.
- However, PSG are the overwhelming favourites to reach the semi-finals of the Champions League, with around an 85% chance of advancing thanks to the two-goal lead they take into this fixture.
- The Asian handicap is set at 0.0, +0.5 for PSG, meaning those looking to back the away side on this market will earn a half-win should the match end in a draw.
- The bookmakers are expecting a high-scoring fixture, with the Asian goal line at 3.0 or 3.5. There would need to be four goals or more in this match for goals backers to win. Exactly three goals would result in those bettors losing half of their stake.
- According to the bookmakers, Hugo Ekitike is the most likely scorer, with around a 44% chance of finding the net. Ousmane Dembele is the shortest-priced PSG player in the anytime goalscorer betting.