Game 1 of the World Series between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Toronto Blue Jays will get underway at 8 p.m. ET on Friday night.
Our best Dodgers vs. Blue Jays player prop bet for Game 1 of the World Series is Alejandro Kirk over 0.5 hits.
Alejandro Kirk over 0.5 hits
Alejandro Kirk over 0.5 hits
Kirk has recorded at least one hit in five of his last six games and in 87 of his 141 games played (62% hit rate) this season, which means we’re getting fair value on this prop at -165 odds with a 62.2% implied probability. Kirk’s hit rate improves to 66% this season against left-handed pitchers, though, which is good news seeing as Blake Snell will toe the rubber for the Dodgers in Game 1.
Kirk is also one of the few Blue Jays players that has had some previous success against Snell, going 3-for-5 (.600 batting average) with a walk in his career against the southpaw, albeit in a small sample size. No other Blue Jay has a batting average greater than .250 against Snell.
Toronto’s catcher has thrived at the plate this season, ranking in the 91st percentile in xBA (.290) and the 95th percentile in K% (11.7). His 50.8% hard-hit rate also ranks in the 91st percentile in the majors. He’s smashed three home runs and recorded seven RBIs through 11 games this postseason, recording at least one hit in eight of those playoff contests.
Kirk is also a great long shot bet at 30-1 odds to potentially win the World Series MVP.