Join Canada Sports Betting’s Nick Martin as he handicaps the best NHL player prop bets available from Tuesday’s 10-game slate.
We kicked off our week with a win on what was ultimately our only prop Monday, pushing our yearly record to +10.26 units across 102 selections. Tuesday’s ten-game slate offers plenty of intriguing angles, and I’ll outline my two favourites below.
Best bet—Marco Kasper Over 1.5 Shots on Goal: +100 (bet365, Play to -110)
Kasper showed plenty of promise at the tail end of his rookie season last year, registering nine goals, 14 points, and 47 shots over his final 20 games of the campaign. He’s been one of only a few skaters to offer disappointing results for the Detroit Red Wings this season and has generally not held a very noteworthy role as a result.
Kasper has been much more impactful over the last month and has been rewarded with a spot on the Red Wings’ top line alongside Dylan Larkin and Alex DeBrincat as a result.
Over the last five games, Kasper has recorded two goals and six points and seen his average time on ice rise to 15:21. He’s generated 14 shots on goal in that span and averaged 4.2 shot attempts per game.
The Los Angeles Kings have not been quite as stingy defensively of late, as they have allowed 28.98 shots against per 60 over the last five games. They still play a very defensive brand of hockey, but have been outplayed more consistently than in years past and currently present as a more livable matchup for opposing shooters.
Based on the promise Kasper showed last season and his current usage, this feels like a good time to buy on a talented young skater who has seemingly found his confidence of late in the prop market. If a market were to become available for Kasper to record a point at +120 or longer, I would also be backing Kasper in that regard, but a price of +100 for him to record over 1.5 shots still seems to provide strong value.
Kasper Over 1.5 Shots on Goal
Best bet—Connor Garland Over 2.5 Shots on Goal: +205 (bet365, Play to +195)
After an excellent start to the season, Garland has been held pointless in ten consecutive matchups and averaged only 1.2 shots per game in that span. Those statistics won’t make Garland a very popular play in the prop market Tuesday evening, at least not for bettors targeting him to go over his props, but this seems like a sharp time to buy low on the Canucks winger.
Garland looked particularly off when he first returned from his most recent injury, but looked much more involved in Sunday’s loss to the Pittsburgh Penguins, recording four shots on goal from a high total of eight attempts.
He’s generally been skating on fairly ineffective lines recently, but Brock Boeser’s injury should open the door for Garland to move back into the top-six, and likely the team’s top power play, assuming they do not completely reshuffle the top unit in putting a left shot into Boeser’s spot.
The San Jose Sharks have become more sound defensively of late than they have been in ages, but still present as a solid target with a 48.92% expected goal share and allowing 27.8 shots against per 60 over the last ten games.
Garland was threatening and highly involved on Sunday versus the Penguins, and at +205, this seems like a good spot to target an outlier performance in terms of shots on goal, given his expected usage.