NHL Player Prop Picks For March 10

In this article, Canada Sports Betting’s Nick Martin breaks down two NHL player prop picks that provide value at online sportsbooks on March 10.

We got right with a 2-0 sweep Monday, pushing our record to +14.79 units on these player prop guides this season. Hopefully, we can keep it rolling Tuesday as we attack an excellent 13-game slate featuring numerous exciting matchups with playoff significance.

Check out my best NHL player prop bets for March 10 below and tail my picks at any of the top NHL betting sites in Canada.

Alexis Lafreniere Over 2.5 Shots on Goal: +135

These articles have not featured a prop involving Lafreniere since December 18th, and given that I tend to outline “over” picks, that’s probably a good thing. However, the former first overall pick has elevated his level of play of late while skating in a heightened role due to the departure of Artemi Panarin.

Lafreniere had his best game of the season Monday versus the Philadelphia Flyers, as he recorded a goal and an assist and was named the game’s second star. The eye test was more impressive than his stat line, as Lafreniere had some utterly dominant sequences in the offensive zone, which helped him generate four shots on target.

It wouldn’t be surprising if Tuesday’s matchup versus the Calgary Flames features similarly poor defending as we saw on Monday from the Flyers. The Flames have allowed 32.7 shots against per 60 over the last 10 games. While Rasmus Andersson and MacKenzie Weegar have not had great seasons by any means, the defensive core is undoubtedly much weaker now that they are gone, and losing Nazem Kadri also hurts their defensive upside.

Lafreniere is currently skating on the Rangers’ top line alongside Mika Zibanejad and Gabriel Perrault, as well as on the team’s top power-play unit, which has been quite rare over the last two seasons. Over the last three games, Lafreniere has recorded nine shots on goal and 18 shot attempts, while averaging 19:40 of ice time.

Considering the long price of +135 and the favourable matchup, there appears to be value in riding with Lafreniere’s surging shot volume Tuesday.

Martin Necas Over 1.5 Points: +125

The Edmonton Oilers and Colorado Avalanche will face off in arguably the most intriguing matchup of the evening, in a game featuring a rare total of seven goals. The Oilers have allowed 4.00 goals against per game over the last 15 matchups, but have scored 4.13 goals per game themselves.

It does seem reasonable to believe that Edmonton’s defensive play will improve thanks to the deadline acquisitions of Connor Murphy and Jason Dickinson, who have both fared well defensively this season while playing the vast majority of their minutes versus opposing superstars.

Still, the Oilers’ goaltending remains a huge concern, and it still appears to be a reach to assume they will be able to defend Colorado’s top line overly well in this matchup, particularly on the road where head coach Kris Knoblauch will not have last change.

Martin Nečas had a fantastic showing at the Olympics for Czechia, as he recorded eight points across five games and looked to be one of the most threatening skaters in the tournament. Since the restart, he’s been among the most dominant players in the NHL, recording 14 points in seven games played.

While we haven’t seen much of the unit yet, it wouldn’t be surprising if the Avs’ new-look top line of Necas, Nathan MacKinnon, and Valeri Nichushkin proves to be the most dominant iteration of the top unit we have seen from Colorado this season. At a minimum, it seems reasonable to believe the unit will be as effective as the Necas, MacKinnon and Artturi Lehkonen combination that head coach Jared Bednar has most commonly leaned on prior to Lehkonen’s injury.

I’m riding with the masses in expecting the Avalanche to score four or more versus an Oilers side that has plenty to prove in terms of goal suppression, and at +125, we are getting a good number to back Colorado’s hottest skater recording at least two points in this matchup.

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