Canada Sports Betting’s Greg Warren dives deep into Twins vs. Blue Jays odds for Friday’s AL clash (April 10, 2026, 7:07 p.m. ET at Rogers Centre), where surging Minnesota (+120 ML at bet365) faces Toronto (-140) in a pitching mismatch ripe for value.
Twins vs. Blue Jays best bet
Twins moneyline: +120
Twins moneyline
The Twins have some serious momentum after completing a four-game sweep of the Detroit Tigers and also hold the edge in Friday’s starting pitching matchup with the Blue Jays.
This is somewhat of a revenge spot for Woods Richardson after the Blue Jays traded him away as a minor leaguer in 2021, and he’s thrown the ball quite well across his first two starts of the season.
On the other hand, Toronto is relying on a veteran starting pitcher, Patrick Corbin, that no one wanted to sign ahead of the season. He’s making this start on short notice after a brief one-game stint in the minor leagues, so it’s not realistic to expect a lengthy and quality outing.
Side with the underdog Twins on the moneyline in the opener of this three-game series, but always shop around for the most favourable odds at the best MLB betting sites.
Twins vs. Blue Jays odds
| Twins moneyline odds | +120 |
| Blue Jays moneyline odds | -140 |
| Run line odds | Blue Jays -1.5 (+140), Twins +1.5 (-165) |
| Game total | Over 9 runs (-120), Under 9 runs (+100) |
| Date/time | April 10, 7:07 p.m. ET |
Betting the Twins (7-6 SU, 8-5 ATS, 6-7 o/u)
The Twins enter this series as winners of four straight games after completing a home sweep of the Tigers, who managed just 12 runs against Minnesota across the four-game series.
Minnesota’s starting pitching staff owns the 10th-best combined ERA (3.26) out of the gate while holding the opposition to a .235 batting average. Its relievers have struggled to a bloated 4.72 ERA (21st in majors), though, while walking 29 batters in 47 2/3 innings of work.
Offensively, the Twins rank amongst the middle of the pack in baseball, but they’ve already struck out 124 times across 13 games, the sixth-most in baseball.
Betting the Blue Jays (5-7 SU, 3-9 ATS, 5-7 o/u)
The bruised and battered Blue Jays enter this series with some momentum after salvaging the final contest of their three-game series with Shohei Ohtani and the Los Angeles Dodgers on Wednesday to snap a six-game losing streak.
Thursday’s off-day came at the perfect time for the Blue Jays, whose relievers have already thrown 59 innings across 12 games, the third-most in the majors in that span. The day off should provide manager John Schneider with a full array of bullpen options entering this series, which is especially critical on Friday given the uncertainty around Corbin’s endurance.
Offensively, the Blue Jays have sputtered out of the gate, posting a .650 team OPS (23rd in majors) while scoring just 41 runs through 12 games. Only the Seattle Mariners (40) and Cincinnati Reds (39) have scored fewer runs than the Blue Jays this season.
Probable starting pitchers
Minnesota: RHP Simeon Woods Richardson (0-1, 2.31 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 4.63 K/0)
Woods Richardson, a former Blue Jays farmhand, has been solid in two starts, allowing three earned runs across 11 2/3 innings against the Tampa Bay Rays and Kansas Royals. However, he has coughed up a pair of home runs while recording a modest 6:3 K:BB ratio.
The right-hander held the opposition to a .214 xBA in 23 appearances last season, ranking him in the 81st percentile of qualified pitchers.
Toronto: LHP Patrick Corbin (no record)
Corbin will make his debut with the Blue Jays after being signed to a one-year deal a week ago because of a rash of injuries to the starting rotation (see below section).
The 36-year-old lefty made just one minor league start with the Blue Jays, but he was effective, throwing five innings of one-run ball with nine strikeouts at the Single-A level.
Corbin, a former two-time All-Star and World Series champion in 2019 with the Washington Nationals, recorded a 7-11 record with a 4.40 ERA in over 155 innings for the Texas Rangers last season.
Bettors shouldn’t expect a lengthy outing for the southpaw, as he’ll likely be capped at around 80 pitches for this appearance while he still builds his stamina.
Notable injuries
The following players are on the injured list for the Blue Jays:
- OF Anthony Santander (shoulder)
- P Cody Ponce (knee)
- C Alejandro Kirk (thumb)
- P Trey Yesavage (shoulder)
- P Jose Berrios (elbow)
- P Shane Bieber (elbow)
- P Yimi Garcia (elbow)
- P Bowden Francis (elbow)
- OF Addison Barger (ankle)
P Max Scherzer (forearm) is day-to-day.
The following players on the injured list for the Twins:
- P Pablo Lopez (elbow)
- P Travis Adams (triceps)
- P David Festa (shoulder)
Weather
Forecasts are calling for cold temperatures and rain in Toronto, so the retractable dome at Rogers Centre will be closed.
Twins vs. Blue Jays betting trends
- The Twins have hit the game total under in 16 of their past 22 games dating back to last season.
- Toronto has covered the F5 innings run line in 15 of its past 22 games at home dating back to last season.
- The Blue Jays have hit the team total over in 25 of their past 40 games at home dating back to last season.
Twins vs. Blue Jays player prop trends
- Twins outfielder Matt Wallner has hit safely in six straight games and is -125 to extend his hitting streak.
- Twins catcher Victor Caratini has gone over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs in four straight games and is -118 to extend that streak.
- Twins outfielder Byron Buxton has drawn a walk in four straight games and is +172 to extend that streak to five straight.
- Twins infielder Josh Bell has driven in a run in three straight games and in seven of 13 games (54%) this season. He’s +180 to record an RBI.
- There are no player current props available for Blue Jays infielder/outfielder Davis Schneider as of Friday morning, but if he does draw into the lineup, he’s 3-for-5 with three home runs in his career against Woods Richardson.