Two of the biggest soccer clubs in the Premier League will clash on Saturday when Chelsea takes on Tottenham at Hotspur Stadium.
The Spurs were incisive last weekend, beating Everton 3-0 at the Hill Dickinson Stadium. Micky Van de Ven netted two headed goals from corners, helping Tottenham to move up to third in the table.
Chelsea, on the other hand, suffered a shock 2-1 home defeat against Sunderland. Some Enzo Maresca’s side to challenge for the title, but an inability to string wins together means that a Champions League place is the aim.
The Blues are ninth in the table heading into matchday 10, three points off the top four, and three points behind Tottenham. Defeat here would put pressure on Enzo Maresca.
Despite recent woes, the away side is the marginal favorite to win according to the Tottenham vs Chelsea odds.
Tottenham vs. Chelsea predictions
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
Only three teams have reached the 17-goal mark in the Premier League so far this season, with Chelsea and Tottenham being two of them. These two high-scoring teams are set to face off on matchday 10, and goals look guaranteed.
Chelsea conceded a goal in five of their last six games, including in their clash against League One Lincoln. The Blues conceded an average of 1.2 goals per game.
Across the top five leagues, looking at the last five games, both of these teams are in the top 10 based on goals scored. Chelsea has scored eight goals, and Tottenham nine in this period.
Simultaneously, both teams rank among the poorest performers in terms of expected goals against (xGA), with the Blues conceding 9.02 xGA and Spurs at 6.06 xGA.
Our internal prediction model, BETSiE, expects a tight match with a total of 2.95 goals. Enzo Maresca’s team is given a slight edge with 1.51 expected goals compared to Tottenham’s 1.44.
With both teams primarily focused on attacking, we expect an open game. The 1X2 market is divided, implying either could take the win.
As a result, we are opting to bet in a very entertaining game at the Tottenham Stadium with a selection that has won in three of both sides’ last five games.
Tottenham vs. Chelsea odds discussion
The Tottenham vs Chelsea odds provide a tight betting market, with the away team as marginal odds-against favorites on the 1×2 market. The +145 price for Chelsea to win the game implies a 40.8% probability of a victory, whilst Spurs’ odds suggest a 38% chance of achieving three points.
With the online sportsbooks unsure of which team will win, an Asian handicap of 0.0 has been applied to both teams. In this scenario, all Asian handicap bettors will receive their stakes back in full if the match ends as a draw. This handicap is often utilized when the teams are evenly matched, with a draw being a possible outcome.
Notably, our internal data-projection model, BETSiE, has forecast a match goal output of 2.95. BETSiE aligns with the oddsmakers on how close this match might be, assigning Spurs 1.44xG (expected goals) and Chelsea 1.51xG. The expected goal difference of 0.07xG indicates this will be the most evenly matched game of matchday 10, along with Sunderland vs Everton (0.07xG difference).
With the result seemingly difficult to predict, perhaps the Asian goal line of over/under 2.75 goals will entice bettors to wager on the game. BETSiE’s 2.95xG suggests a 52.8% probability that this fixture will head over the 2.75 Asian goal line.