
Arsenal travel to Goodison Park on Saturday looking to maintain their push for the Premier League title as they face an Everton side fighting to climb away from the relegation zone. The Gunners come into this soccer clash riding momentum and sitting near the top of the table, while the Toffees desperately need points to ease their survival concerns.
Our best best bet for Everton vs. Arsenal is Arsenal to win to nil.
Everton vs. Arsenal best bet
Arsenal to win to nil
- Arsenal have kept eight clean sheets this season, currently on par with Chelsea. Across the top five leagues, only Roma (eight) has conceded fewer goals than the Gunners.
- While Arsenal is enjoying the return of William Saliba, the hosts face serious issues in attack. Iliman Ndiaye is away at the Africa Cup of Nations, and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hallis is likely out due to a hamstring injury. Jack Grealish, who experienced tightness, is expected to recover in time for the match.
- Even with a full squad, the Toffees have not been attack-oriented. Everton averages 1.1 goals per game, the third-lowest in the league, accumulating a total of 19.5 xG (expected goals) in 14 games. The lack of a clinical attack could leave David Moyes’ team without a goal.
- While Mikel Arteta’s team often struggles against opponents who deploy a low block, their ability to control possession and limit opposition chances makes them likely to keep a clean sheet against an underpowered Everton attack.
- Despite winning two of their last three home games, Everton’s depth and bench options have been lacking, making it difficult for them to pose a significant threat to a top-of-the-table Arsenal.
Everton vs. Arsenal match context
- On Saturday evening, Premier League leaders Arsenal travel to Liverpool to face ninth-placed Everton, aiming to maintain their two-point lead over Manchester City and remain top of the Premier League at Christmas.
- Arsenal have slightly slowed their pace in the last five matches, securing 10 points, and struggled last weekend to overcome bottom-side Wolves, winning 2-1. The Gunners have lost only two matches this season, both away from home against Liverpool and Aston Villa.
- Everton, on the other hand, comes into this match following a defeat to another London club, Chelsea, which has hampered their push for European competition qualification next season. David Moyes’ side has won three of their last five matches but ranks third-worst in the Premier League for goals scored, with only 18. Arsenal, on the other hand, have the league’s best defensive record with only 10 goals conceded.
- According to bookmakers, Arsenal are expected to win the match comfortably, with implied odds giving Mikel Arteta’s team a greater than 62% chance of victory.
Everton vs. Arsenal odds analysis
- The Everton vs Arsenal odds have the visitors as away favourites, according to the bookmakers. The 1×2 market odds imply a 62% probability of an Arsenal win. Everton, in contrast, have an 18% chance of winning.
- The Asian handicap market is set at 0.75. The Everton +0.75 Asian handicap will yield full profits if Everton can avoid defeat. If Everton loses by a one-goal margin, the -0.75 Asian handicap would return half of all stakes, offering a level of security in the event of an unfortunate defeat.
- The Asian goal line of over/under 2.25 has been set in the Everton vs Arsenal odds. This is the smallest Asian goal line in the Premier League ahead of the next matchday, with two goals ensuring returns for ‘overs’ punters. The returns for two goals on an over 2.25 Asian goal line would be half of one’s stake, with three goals required to yield profit.
- Ten Arsenal players have been priced shorter than Everton’s most favoured in the anytime goalscorer market. Viktor Gyokeres is the favourite to find the net, with Gabriel Jesus, who’s recently returned from injury, and Bukayo Saka in third. Thierno Barry is Everton’s favourite to score in the market, despite only having one Premier League goal to his name.
