Last Updated: | Published: January 22, 2026
The Premier League spotlight turns to the Emirates this weekend as Arsenal host Manchester United in a high-stakes clash that could reshape the top-four race.
Mikel Arteta’s Gunners are chasing consistency after a mixed run of results, while Erik ten Hag’s side will aim to prove their progress with a statement performance on the road.
Both soccer clubs are battling for key positioning in the table, and with so much history and pride at play, this fixture once again promises intensity, drama, and plenty of talking points.
Our best bet for Sunday’s Premier League clash between Arsenal and Manchester United is both teams to score.
Arsenal vs. Manchester United best bet
Both teams to score
- Arsenal have the best defensive record in the Premier League. However, they have conceded in seven of their last nine competitive matches, with their opponents averaging a goal per game over that period.
- Mikel Arteta’s team have also conceded in four of their last five matches at the Emirates. They were imperious at this ground in the opening months of the season, but that has started to slip in recent weeks.
- Manchester United also carry plenty of threat. They have the second-highest xG (expected goals) in the Premier League, and they looked truly menacing against Manchester City last weekend.
- Manchester United are averaging 1.73 goals per league game, 0.09 fewer than Arsenal, who are the runaway leaders in the Premier League. Michael Carrick certainly has the personnel to cause problems for the Gunners here.
- Arsenal beat Manchester United 1-0 at Old Trafford back in August, but United had 2 attempts in that game and were unfortunate not to score. They will hope to be more incisive this time around.
- Both teams have scored in 10 of United’s 11 away league matches this season, with those seeing an average of 3.36 goals.
Arsenal vs. Manchester United match context
- Premier League leaders Arsenal host Manchester United in the final match of Sunday’s 23rd round in what is undoubtedly this week’s most significant fixture in the English top division.
- Arsenal are top of the table following a 0-0 draw with Nottingham Forest last week, a result that extended their lead to seven points due to defeats for Manchester City and Aston Villa.
- Mikel Arteta’s side are excelling not only in England but also in the Champions League. Their 3-1 victory at San Siro against Inter on Tuesday night confirmed Arsenal as currently the most in-form team in Europe and a legitimate contender for multiple titles this campaign.
- Manchester United trail Arsenal by 15 points but are in the thick of the battle for next season’s Champions League qualification. Last weekend was highly positive for the Red Devils and new manager Michael Carrick, who marked his debut with a convincing 2-0 victory against Manchester City at Old Trafford.
- Arsenal have won each of their last four Premier League home games against Manchester United, and, unsurprisingly, bookmakers have the Gunners as strong favourites, with odds suggesting a victory probability of just over 64%. In a match expected to be high-scoring, both teams are anticipated to find the net at least once.
Arsenal vs. Manchester United odds analysis
- As you’d expect, Arsenal are the favourites to win this game, with their odds implying they have around 65% chance of victory. A Manchester United win, on the other hand, would be a shock result, with the odds implying less than a 17% chance of an away win.
- The Asian handicap for this game is set at -1.0 for Arsenal, meaning they would need to win the match by two goals for punters backing the home side on this market to win. A one-goal margin of victory would result in a returned stake.
- The Asian goal line for this match is set at 2.5, 3.0, so there would need to be four goals in the match for ‘Overs’ bettors to earn a full profit. Three goals in the match would result in a half-win. Manchester United matches have seen the second-most goals in the Premier League, which could tempt some bettors.
- Victor Gyokeres scored in the Champions League midweek, and he is the most likely scorer in this game, according to the bookmakers. Matheus Cunha and Benjamin Sesko are the shortest-priced Manchester United players in the anytime goal-scorer market, but there is a chance that neither will start here.