Last Updated: | Published: February 6, 2026
Anfield plays host to a blockbuster clash on Saturday as Liverpool welcome Manchester City in an English Premier League match that could have huge implications for the title race. Both sides arrive with star‑studded attacks, elite managers on the touchline, and little margin for error, setting the stage for another high-intensity chapter in one of modern soccer‘s fiercest rivalries.
Our best bet for Saturday’s EPL match between Liverpool and Manchester City is for both teams to score and over 2.5 goals scored.
Liverpool vs. Manchester City best bet
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals scored
- Liverpool have scored 16 goals across their last four matches in all competitions. They now face a Manchester City side expected to be without key defenders Joško Gvardiol, Rúben Dias and John Stones, which will increase the likelihood of the hosts finding the net at Anfield.
- Hugo Ekitike is set to lead the line in Alexander Isak’s absence. Since arriving from Frankfurt, he has produced a goal contribution every 112 minutes on average in the Premier League – the best return for a Liverpool debut season since Mohamed Salah in 2017/18.
- Defensively, however, Liverpool have been less convincing. They have kept only four clean sheets in 12 home league fixtures, posting a record of W7/D3/L2, compared with just five without a win at Anfield across the entire 2024/25 campaign: W14/D4/L1.
- Erling Haaland, meanwhile, has yet to score a Premier League goal at Anfield and has registered only one goal in his last seven appearances in all competitions for City. He will face a Liverpool backline also disrupted by injuries to Joe Gomez, Jeremie Frimpong, Conor Bradley and summer signing Giovanni Leoni, with Dominik Szoboszlai again a possible makeshift option at right-back.
- Given both sides’ attacking quality and defensive absences, a high-scoring contest with goals for each team appears a realistic outcome.
Liverpool vs. Manchester City Match Context
- Manchester City need a win and will take to the field already knowing the result of league leaders Arsenal against Sunderland. A defeat at Liverpool could leave them nine points behind the top.
- Pep Guardiola’s side drew 2-2 last week away to Tottenham and have won just one of their six league matches in 2026.
- Liverpool are showing strong signs of recovery, having lost only one of their last 12 Premier League matches and secured a 4-1 victory over Newcastle at home last Saturday. The Reds also need a win as they are currently sixth, just two points behind Manchester United in fourth place.
- Liverpool have lost just one of their last 22 Premier League home games against Manchester City, which is why they are the favourites according to bookmakers for Sunday’s clash. The latest odds give Arne Slot’s side a roughly 44% chance of winning the encounter, which is expected to see at least three goals.
Liverpool vs. Manchester City Odds Analysis
- Liverpool vs Manchester City odds represent a tight betting contest. Liverpool’s 1×2 market price implies a 43% chance of a home victory, while City’s odds suggest a 36% chance of an away win.
- The Asian handicap line is set at 0.0, which is effectively the ‘Draw no bet’ market. Backing either Liverpool or Manchester City on this line means all stakes are refunded if the match ends as a draw, with only a win for your chosen side returning profit. Liverpool’s record of just one defeat in their last 22 home league games against City might entice bettors to opt for the hosts.
- The Asian goal line is set at over/under 3.0 goals. None of the last five head-to-heads have reached the 3.0 goal line. Therefore, ‘unders’ bettors undoubtedly have recent history on their side.
- Erling Haaland has failed to score in all three Premier League away games at Anfield, making it just one of just two grounds he’s played at but not scored at. Despite the Anfield blank for Haaland, the Manchester City forward is priced as the market favourite in the anytime goalscorer market. He’s the only player to be priced at odds-on.